Absolute Vorticity

1000 MB Surface low over Western KY is moving NE and has a date with us in Cincinnati. It's going to move right up the I-71 corridor towards Cleveland. The dry slot is already punching into areas SE of I-71.

Indianapolis looks to be in the jackpot this morning. Looks like 6+ easily there.

In Piqua at the moment headed to Wapakoneta. Sleet In Piqua. I would expect to get back into the snow by the time I get to Wapa.

Have a solid 1.5 inches this morning. Probably closer to 2 inches fell, but has compacted already. Get your slush cleaned off before the temperature drops and your drive way is an ice rink.

Indy northward was in a good spot. Best snows are usually 100-150+- miles north/NW of surface low and track

About 4” in Oxford before the compression started

I was able to see moderate snow falling around 3 am when I got up briefly and my street was starting to get covered. Got up again at 5 am and just drizzle and my street was already cleared. I measured an inch and a quarter. Decided to go in to work this morning as most of the roads were just wet and a light rain falling just enough to keep the salt spray from the roads at bay. I'll be WFH tomorrow and Friday as it sounds like the roads may be actually a little more slick than this morning.

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 8:30 am

fyrfyter wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 7:58 am Over reaction from what happened on Sunday. Both Mets and schools.

EDIT: I do think the HRRR seemed to do the best again when the event got closer. It was more granular in the precip and that’s how it went.

Most schools absolutely overreacted thanks to some Mets and social media. Luckily here in Boone Co they did it right. No delays no nothing. Just a regular day here. Yet last night Milford Schools closed and now my brother has an unnecessary house full of kids today.

Boone County had a 2 hour delay this morning. I couldn’t figure out why except maybe what little snow we had coincided with the early bus routes.

kywthrluvr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:36 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 8:30 am

fyrfyter wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 7:58 am Over reaction from what happened on Sunday. Both Mets and schools.

EDIT: I do think the HRRR seemed to do the best again when the event got closer. It was more granular in the precip and that’s how it went.

Most schools absolutely overreacted thanks to some Mets and social media. Luckily here in Boone Co they did it right. No delays no nothing. Just a regular day here. Yet last night Milford Schools closed and now my brother has an unnecessary house full of kids today.

Boone County had a 2 hour delay this morning. I couldn’t figure out why except maybe what little snow we had coincided with the early bus routes.

The 2 hour delay in Boone county was absolutely ridiculous. Incompetence at its finest!!!

All it did was completely mess up parents work day schedules.

Pete1 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:41 am

kywthrluvr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:36 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 8:30 am

fyrfyter wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 7:58 am Over reaction from what happened on Sunday. Both Mets and schools.

EDIT: I do think the HRRR seemed to do the best again when the event got closer. It was more granular in the precip and that’s how it went.

Most schools absolutely overreacted thanks to some Mets and social media. Luckily here in Boone Co they did it right. No delays no nothing. Just a regular day here. Yet last night Milford Schools closed and now my brother has an unnecessary house full of kids today.

Boone County had a 2 hour delay this morning. I couldn’t figure out why except maybe what little snow we had coincided with the early bus routes.

The 2 hour delay in Boone county was absolutely ridiculous. All it did was completely mess up parents work day schedules.

I’m sure it did. I don't have kids in school any more but saw it on TV and was completely confused when I looked outside.

kywthrluvr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:42 am

Pete1 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:41 am

kywthrluvr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:36 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 8:30 am

fyrfyter wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 7:58 am Over reaction from what happened on Sunday. Both Mets and schools.

EDIT: I do think the HRRR seemed to do the best again when the event got closer. It was more granular in the precip and that’s how it went.

Most schools absolutely overreacted thanks to some Mets and social media. Luckily here in Boone Co they did it right. No delays no nothing. Just a regular day here. Yet last night Milford Schools closed and now my brother has an unnecessary house full of kids today.

Boone County had a 2 hour delay this morning. I couldn’t figure out why except maybe what little snow we had coincided with the early bus routes.

The 2 hour delay in Boone county was absolutely ridiculous. All it did was completely mess up parents work day schedules.

I’m sure it did. I don't have kids in school any more but saw it on TV and was completely confused when I looked outside.

Did they get more snow in the northwest side of Boone County is the only reason for the 2 hour delay. I know the airport got a few hours of snow.

The snowfall graident was so tough with this system. A few miles made the difference between 4" that you guys have reported in our N and NW counties to maybe a 1/2" or so IMBY. I have not seen a report out of CVG. Seeing some 5" reports in N. Montgomery Co North of Dayton Metro.

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:49 am The snowfall graident was so tough with this system. A few miles made the difference between 4" that you guys have reported in our N and NW counties to maybe a 1/2" or so IMBY. I have not seen a report out of CVG. Seeing some 5" reports in N. Montgomery Co North of Dayton Metro.

Les the airport showed 0.28 inches of precip before it changed to rain but not sure how much accumulated. I got let me check out my window again and I got zero.

Tera Blake said CVG got .9” of snow

The one reason this storm was not a much more impactful storm is lack of arctic air. Even where its snowing temps are near 32. Next week arctic air is heading south and east but the southeast ridge over Florida is going to make it a nice fight between heat miser and snow miser. This also gives the coastal Northeast a better shot of winter weather as for the most part they have been spared in the bigger cities. What does this mean for us and probably more forecasting headaches lol

kywthrluvr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:55 am Tera Blake said CVG got .9” of snow

Thanks I had not heard of any reports.

Winter weather up here in NE Ohio. 5-10++ inches likely here by tomorrow evening when you add the snow, goo, and LES tomorrow.

I will report 4 inches it is now turning to a slushy mess.

The slushy mess is slippery to walk in! Took the dogs out and really had to be careful.

I wonder if that was part of the school closings. Early schools would have kids and teachers slipping and sliding in the parking lots.

kywthrluvr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:55 am Tera Blake said CVG got .9” of snow

Thank you Leslie!

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 9:57 am The one reason this storm was not a much more impactful storm is lack of arctic air. Even where its snowing temps are near 32. Next week arctic air is heading south and east but the southeast ridge over Florida is going to make it a nice fight between heat miser and snow miser. This also gives the coastal Northeast a better shot of winter weather as for the most part they have been spared in the bigger cities. What does this mean for us and probably more forecasting headaches lol

Great post! For some examples, my Mom's Sister who lives NW of STL in St. Charles, MO was supposed to get hammered! Not the case. They only got 2-3". I also have relatives in Somerset, MI which is in the NE corner of Hillsdale Co in the southern part of the state. They were also supposed to be in the jackpot zone. Granted, the storm for them just started around 6 or 7am this morning, and so far, they only have a couple of inches or so on the ground. Ground temps are warm and no arctic air as you said, Tim. The only way these storms can work out is to have 1"+ per hour snowfall rates. Then the snow will stick and pile up faster then it can melt. Otherwise, the snowfall forecast is going to underperform almost every time. Something to think about with future systems when we have no cold air to work with. That is why Sunday worked out as well as it did. We had 1"+ per hour snowfall rates for several hours and boom! 3-6" fell in the areas that kept getting the heavier bands.

Snowbrain2 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 25, 2023 10:14 am
Winter weather up here in NE Ohio. 5-10++ inches likely here by tomorrow evening when you add the snow, goo, and LES tomorrow.

Gorgeous Jeff! Enjoy it my friend!

MD issued for N IN, NW Ohio and Southern Lower Mich for heavy snow:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0105.html