September 2024 Weather Discussion

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

CVG - 2.61" - Updated total as of 10am.

Been looking at a lot of the Local Storm Reports out of the various NWS Offices that cover the S Apps. Wow!

GSP - Greensville, SC https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=0
MRX - Morristown, TN - https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=MRX
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4327
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

https://x.com/nikoliasgoninus/status/18 ... 95237?s=46

Town of chimney rock. To the right of the “red old rock” sign (he pans right later in the video) where there is nothing, was building after building as far as you could see.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

The damage in the Asheville and Greenville areas plus other place in that part of the world is much greater than in Florida imo. Heard report this morning that in Asheville power was out for the entire city and no cell phone service available. Hard to imagine.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

tpweather wrote: Sat Sep 28, 2024 10:45 am The damage in the Asheville and Greenville areas plus other place in that part of the world is much greater than in Florida imo. Heard report this morning that in Asheville power was out for the entire city and no cell phone service available. Hard to imagine.
Absolutely! I was watching The Weather Channel this morning and they were covering FL way more then the S Apps region, which was the reason why I turned it off! :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Bgoney wrote: Sat Sep 28, 2024 10:43 am https://x.com/nikoliasgoninus/status/18 ... 95237?s=46

Town of chimney rock. To the right of the “red old rock” sign (he pans right later in the video) where there is nothing, was building after building as far as you could see.
My God! :o
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Rainfall reports into ILN over the last 24 hours:

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/af ... dxhxss4SIg
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

tron777 wrote: Sat Sep 28, 2024 11:31 am Rainfall reports into ILN over the last 24 hours:

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/af ... dxhxss4SIg
Very nice and most folks received a decent amount of rainfall. Today just a steady light rain that is adding up slowly so really a perfect rain
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

tpweather wrote: Sat Sep 28, 2024 11:52 am
tron777 wrote: Sat Sep 28, 2024 11:31 am Rainfall reports into ILN over the last 24 hours:

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/af ... dxhxss4SIg
Very nice and most folks received a decent amount of rainfall. Today just a steady light rain that is adding up slowly so really a perfect rain
Agreed Tim... we are avg 0.01 to 0.05" per hour.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6405
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

Bgoney wrote: Sat Sep 28, 2024 7:21 am Been going to the Asheville/west North Carolina area for years, and to see the complete devastation of nearly all the little towns and parks and popular sightseeing areas that we’ve visited is just unbelievable. That whole massive area is a disaster and changed forever . Saw where they issued a statement saying “every road should be considered impassable in and around the Asheville/ west NC until proper engineering inspections
My folks, maternal grandmother, and I went to Biltmore Estate in May 1995 e.g. Devastation on that property and beautiful gardens etc.

My folks and I have some friends (a former pastor of ours) who reside and are managers of The Cove (Rev. Billy Graham) Center near Asheville, too.

What a beast witch HeLLene! :o :cry:
Last edited by MVWxObserver on Sat Sep 28, 2024 1:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Eric

Greenville, OH
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6405
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

tron777 wrote: Sat Sep 28, 2024 11:17 am
Bgoney wrote: Sat Sep 28, 2024 10:43 am https://x.com/nikoliasgoninus/status/18 ... 95237?s=46

Town of chimney rock. To the right of the “red old rock” sign (he pans right later in the video) where there is nothing, was building after building as far as you could see.
My God! :o
Absolutely mind blowing!! :o
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

12Z GFS continues to show scattered showers tomorrow and by Monday it's moving out. That'll wrap up Sept! 2.7" now at CVG for the event total.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

wind Gusts.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

2.88" now at CVG.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6405
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

Both CVG / DAY got to 69 and CMH 70 on Sat.
Last edited by MVWxObserver on Mon Sep 30, 2024 9:42 am, edited 2 times in total.
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Good morning! 3.24" now for the event total at CVG. Showers are becoming more scattered now as expected but we will see a few more showers today esp this morning. Temps in the low to mid 70s.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4327
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

IMG_2362.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

Good Morning and my total as of 7am is 3.64. Can I make it to 4 inches and could be tough as showers are more isolated today though a little pop of the sun and a quick downpour may do the trick. Thanks for the map Bgoney. That area between Greenville and Asheville just got destroyed. Check the outages and going to take weeks to take care of the them.
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

We are almost finished with September and has been a very busy month compared to most September's as that month is usually one of the calmest months of the year. Started out very cool but then a week or so of heat then we finish the month out with heavy rains. Looking at the grass last night and all it takes around here is some heavy rain and late September to green things up quickly. Of course there will be some seeding as usual but glad to see the needed rain.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

My lawn is coming back too! After things dry out a bit, I'll need to pick up the tree debris and then mow and grind up some leaves. I'm actually glad we have a dry and sunny period coming up to be honest. :lol:

Definitely feel bad for the folks to our south who got destroyed by Helene. My prayers are with them as they slowly begin to pick up the pieces in the weeks and months to come. Hopefully the next tropical system will be much further to the SE for the track in the hopes that the Helene impacted areas get missed! We will be tracking that wave in the Atlantic tropical thread and probably in the Rocktober thread too in case we are impacted by it again. My early thoughts are that it is a miss to the SE with the worst of it for our local area.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

For 9/27:

Code: Select all

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT COLUMBUS OH...
A record rainfall of 1.44 inches was set at Columbus, Ohio yesterday (9/27).  This breaks the old record of 1.29 inches set in 1886.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6405
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

tron777 wrote: Sun Sep 29, 2024 10:53 am My lawn is coming back too! After things dry out a bit, I'll need to pick up the tree debris and then mow and grind up some leaves. I'm actually glad we have a dry and sunny period coming up to be honest. :lol:

Definitely feel bad for the folks to our south who got destroyed by Helene. My prayers are with them as they slowly begin to pick up the pieces in the weeks and months to come. Hopefully the next tropical system will be much further to the SE for the track in the hopes that the Helene impacted areas get missed! We will be tracking that wave in the Atlantic tropical thread and probably in the Rocktober thread too in case we are impacted by it again. My early thoughts are that it is a miss to the SE with the worst of it for our local area.
Are models and ensembles showing that low for next weekend potentially being tropical storm status? Just wondering Bro since your wording was with the worst of it for our local area.
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

MVWxObserver wrote: Sun Sep 29, 2024 3:43 pm
tron777 wrote: Sun Sep 29, 2024 10:53 am My lawn is coming back too! After things dry out a bit, I'll need to pick up the tree debris and then mow and grind up some leaves. I'm actually glad we have a dry and sunny period coming up to be honest. :lol:

Definitely feel bad for the folks to our south who got destroyed by Helene. My prayers are with them as they slowly begin to pick up the pieces in the weeks and months to come. Hopefully the next tropical system will be much further to the SE for the track in the hopes that the Helene impacted areas get missed! We will be tracking that wave in the Atlantic tropical thread and probably in the Rocktober thread too in case we are impacted by it again. My early thoughts are that it is a miss to the SE with the worst of it for our local area.
Are models and ensembles showing that low for next weekend potentially being tropical storm status? Just wondering Bro since your wording was with the worst of it for our local area.
I'm sorry Bro. I didn't type that correctly. I meant to say that I think it'll be a miss to the SE with the worst of the weather also being to our SE. Sorry about that. :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6405
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

tron777 wrote: Sun Sep 29, 2024 3:48 pm
MVWxObserver wrote: Sun Sep 29, 2024 3:43 pm
tron777 wrote: Sun Sep 29, 2024 10:53 am My lawn is coming back too! After things dry out a bit, I'll need to pick up the tree debris and then mow and grind up some leaves. I'm actually glad we have a dry and sunny period coming up to be honest. :lol:

Definitely feel bad for the folks to our south who got destroyed by Helene. My prayers are with them as they slowly begin to pick up the pieces in the weeks and months to come. Hopefully the next tropical system will be much further to the SE for the track in the hopes that the Helene impacted areas get missed! We will be tracking that wave in the Atlantic tropical thread and probably in the Rocktober thread too in case we are impacted by it again. My early thoughts are that it is a miss to the SE with the worst of it for our local area.
Are models and ensembles showing that low for next weekend potentially being tropical storm status? Just wondering Bro since your wording was with the worst of it for our local area.
I'm sorry Bro. I didn't type that correctly. I meant to say that I think it'll be a miss to the SE with the worst of the weather also being to our SE. Sorry about that. :lol:
:lol:

Thank you Bro. :)
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22800
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

A 30% chance of a shower to end Sept tomorrow with highs in the mid 70s. We will still have humid conditions until that cold front crosses the area Tues night / Wed.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6405
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

tron777 wrote: Sun Sep 29, 2024 5:53 pm A 30% chance of a shower to end Sept tomorrow with highs in the mid 70s. We will still have humid conditions until that cold front crosses the area Tues night / Wed.
Glad it will dry out for a while late week since my Dad and I have another Bocce ball league game with a couple of friends here in the 'hood. :)
Eric

Greenville, OH
Post Reply