Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

Good morning Les. Looks like a small band of light rain in our area
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2164
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Picked up 0.16" this morning in my hood.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

tpweather wrote: Fri Oct 27, 2023 7:53 am Good morning Les. Looks like a small band of light rain in our area
Yeah... we're on the board with a hundredth or two. I'm sure glad I got those leaves mulched yesterday. I worked on them until I couldn't see anymore. :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

It looks like we have one more band of light rain to move thru then that should be about it for today. Clearing skies are noted back across ILL and SW IN and that will be in here for this afternoon to boost us into the mid 70s for our high temp.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4345
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

IMG_0760.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

That's a very impressive map for it to be late Oct / early Nov time period. I can't wait! Let the allergy season be gone!!! (At least until Spring) :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Updated rainfall totals:

CVG - 0.04"
Me - 0.06"
Boone Co mesonet: 0.08"
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
winterstormjoe
EF1 Tornado
Posts: 402
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 9:13 am
Location: Westwood/Cheviot

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by winterstormjoe »

tron777 wrote: Fri Oct 27, 2023 9:43 am It looks like we have one more band of light rain to move thru then that should be about it for today. Clearing skies are noted back across ILL and SW IN and that will be in here for this afternoon to boost us into the mid 70s for our high temp.
Nice downpour here along with this morning's rain, a pre-soaker to the rains coming later this weekend and Monday! :)

Sun will be out soon!!
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

A more localized look - Visible Satellite:

1kmv.gif
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Updated totals:

CVG - 0.08"
Me - 0.10"
Boone Co mesonet - 0.11"
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Mostly sunny now IMBY. It's almost getting hot outside. Temps will soar now for the next few hours.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

12Z GFS has the better rains now over us like the Euro did yesterday. 12Z Canadian has about 1.5" for us with 2"+ NW of Cincinnati. I think a lot of us stand the chance at getting an inch plus with this system should the front stall on top of us which is what is now being suggested by the guidance. The 12Z NAM has 1 to 1.5" of rain for the Tri-state on Northward as well.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
winterstormjoe
EF1 Tornado
Posts: 402
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 9:13 am
Location: Westwood/Cheviot

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by winterstormjoe »

Stepped outside and it feels like a humid spring day with the sun, 70 degrees and the wet sidewalks. Picked up .21 so far for the day!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

winterstormjoe wrote: Fri Oct 27, 2023 1:32 pm Stepped outside and it feels like a humid spring day with the sun, 70 degrees and the wet sidewalks. Picked up .21 so far for the day!
You certainly can feel those lower 60 degree dews. 8-)

EDIT: Dew now up to 65 at CVG. Actual temp is 73.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Not a lot of change from the 12Z Euro. Most AV posters get a good 1"+ soaking. Isolated 1.5" amounts in a few pockets as well.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

73 at CVG today, 74 here. Still sitting at 71 as of this post. Watching a line of t-storms back across Central ILL. Whatever is left from it could be our late tonight / AM rain chance tomorrow. I still expect a lot of dry hours too until the main rain threat finally moves in sometime late Sat or Sat night. As previously stated, Sunday is a wash out of a day. Good day to drink beer, watch football and post on AV. ;)
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

Good Evening and a brisk 39 with a windchill of 29. This finally feels like winter and yes the local area will get a nice dose and it feel cold but wonderful. Have not moved the totals up but the higher end close to an inch seems more and more likely.
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6417
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

CVG reached 74, DAY 73 and CMH 68 today.
Last edited by MVWxObserver on Sat Oct 28, 2023 9:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
Eric

Greenville, OH
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6417
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

My rain gauge is somewhere in our post-move mess in the garage. :lol: I can't even begin to wonder where it is there. ;)

May have to sit out on measuring this next system, too. Oh well ...

Currently 64 here in G'ville and progged for around 52 early Sat morning.
Eric

Greenville, OH
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6417
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

----
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Eric

Greenville, OH
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6417
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

----
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Good morning all! The front just slipped thru CVG as winds are gusty out of the north and temps have fallen from the mid 60s down to 61. After this batch of light rain moves out, we will be dry for a while until the next low moves up along the front to bring us more rainfall (some heavy at times) by tonight into tomorrow morning. A short break then the last low moves thru Sunday evening ending Mon morning.

9am totals:

CVG - 0.11"
Me - 0.13"
Boone Co mesonet - 0.14"

Temps should hold steady in the lower 60s today then drop a few degrees tonight into the mid and UJ50s. Our high tomorrow struggles to hit 60 degrees then we fall on into the 40s Sun night and stay there all day Monday. Halloween is still cold and dry with highs in the mid 40s. Temps for the kiddies for the Cincy area:

6pm Low 40s
7pm Near 40
8pm U30s
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6417
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

Currently 46 here in G'ville and progged to top out at around 54.
Eric

Greenville, OH
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

Concerning the rain over the next 48 hours and yes widely scattered today. Overnight especially closer to morning will be the first round and then a second wave later Sunday. Still going with .5-1.0 but have no doubt moved closer to the 1 inch range. Like most systems some folks may get a little less and some a little more. The most likely folks to get more will probably be to the west in southern Indiana and folks to get less east of CVG. Again until the rain starts hard to exactly pinpoint totals. I know some models were heading towards the 2 inch mark and that will be less common though a location that gets hit hard with both waves could end up with that much but I believe that will not be the norm. No matter what the rain will help in the drought department and quite a bit of folks with drought conditions are getting in on the rain whether it was this past week in Wisconsin and in the future for us and folks in Texas. Will it be enough to end the drought conditions and here in Wisconsin no doubt but locally and in Texas probably not enough but always good to see the rain come in before winter because heavy rains in the winter can cause problems if the ground is frozen and much of it drains off instead of soaking into the ground.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22837
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Rocktober 2023 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

I do not think that this will be enough rain to end the drought here locally, but it could change the drought category. Instead of D1 hopefully back towards D0.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
Post Reply