January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

[BookNerdCarp]

US 68 bridge over the Ohio at Maysville, KY.


Maysville.jpg

That’s five minutes from my house.

[BookNerdCarp]

Pretty good band over us now Pete! Should be mod snow really for a lot of folks along and SE of I-71. Dave... should be ripping good in Mason too! Matt... I know you're loving it out there!

One eye on the window and one eye on the football game

[Kennyaker]

I’m surprised they didn’t issue more advisories west.

[tron777]

7:08pm update from the boys:

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
00Z ILN sounding shows a warm nose of 1.5C at 2900 ft AGL. This
is much warmer than any numerical guidance was showing,
including most recent HRRR and RAP runs. Thus precipitation type
has been a wintry mix with many areas reporting extended periods
of sleet and/or freezing rain.

Still believe that guidance trends are correct in that lower
levels will be cooling soon resulting in a change over to snow.
Already starting to see that in northeast Kentucky and south
central Ohio. So forecast update blended observed conditions
into previous forecast over the next few hours. However, that is
going to result in a decrease in snow amounts with an inclusion
of some ice.

[Ddmeyer004]

Les just went under WWA in Mason…..saw that coming earlier today. Calling for 1-3 inches now. Looks like we had a shift west

[Kennyaker]

I guess I spoke to soon lol

[MJSun]

Coming down strong in Batavia Twsp ... With a cameo from our pup.

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[Trevor]

Ripping here in Deer Park.

[BookNerdCarp]

Looks like it did actually go a little more west than thought. Wonderful for all who are in that area.

[tron777]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
739 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

KYZ090>092-094-095-OHZ045-052-053-062-071-077-170845-
/O.EXA.KILN.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-220117T1200Z/
Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Owen-Grant-Union OH-Champaign-Clark-Greene-
Warren-Hamilton-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook,
Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Owenton, Williamstown,
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Marysville, Urbana, Springfield,
Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro,
and Cincinnati
739 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow continuing. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3
inches.

* WHERE...Portions of Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio
and Northern Kentucky.

* WHEN...From noon today to 7 AM EST Monday.

[tron777]

29 / 26 here with light snow as of 8pm. Same at CVG. Probably have a nice 1/2" or so down and should get an inch or so here before all is said and done. Nice!

[BookNerdCarp]

Current measurement 2 inches. 1/4 ice

[sbpstudios]

Moderate snowfall in Eastgate at the moment. We have a little over an inch on the ground so far.

[Pete1]

Coming down strong in Batavia Twsp ... With a cameo from our pup.

PXL_20220117_004821725.jpg

PXL_20220117_004652180.jpg

Pics didn’t show up

[Pete1]

Coming down strong in Batavia Twsp ... With a cameo from our pup.

PXL_20220117_004821725.jpg

PXL_20220117_004652180.jpg

Pics didn’t show up

Nevermind. I see them now. Good pics

[cloudy72]

Still snowing decently here

[tron777]

Fantastic TROWAL signature with this system and a wonderful deformation zone with mid level f-gen forcing. A classic OV snow storm, just set up a bit further east then we would have liked it. Almost had ourselves a monster! A better outcome then the last thread we started at least so that's something.

[BookNerdCarp]

This is from West Union in Adams County.

[tpweather]

Finally got back to the weather as I watched a wild game as the Cowboys are once again done early in the playoffs. Over an inch as every flake is sticking and that always helps in mid-January. Still such a sharp cutoff from snow to no snow and very close to the Indiana/Ohio and Kentucky/Indiana borders which is usually the furthest west precip makes it in these kind of storms.

[tron777]

Image to go along with my nerdy post above. Image credit goes to Met. Jim Sullivan, NWS Cleveland.

SetUp.gif

[tron777]

Finally got back to the weather as I watched a wild game as the Cowboys are once again done early in the playoffs. Over an inch as every flake is sticking and that always helps in mid-January. Still such a sharp cutoff from snow to no snow and very close to the Indiana/Ohio and Kentucky/Indiana borders which is usually the furthest west precip makes it in these kind of storms.

Getting added to the advisory exceeded my expectations with this event lol

[mainevilleweather]

Got a cool video if the new truck headlights I installed this week. Snow is really coming down!

[tpweather]

Les this was a wild storm to figure out and so many variables and just shows you mother nature always wins no matter how hard we work to get a decent forecast. Good thing is over the next 2 weeks more winter weather on the way and by next weekend could see another big storm somewhre east of the Mississippi.

[Sawdoggie]

We have about 5” and still coming down out here at my farm near Ripley.

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[tron777]

Les this was a wild storm to figure out and so many variables and just shows you mother nature always wins no matter how hard we work to get a decent forecast. Good thing is over the next 2 weeks more winter weather on the way and by next weekend could see another big storm somewhere east of the Mississippi.

Yes Sir, Tim! I see two more potential southern systems. Both want to push well east of the area but we're close enough like with this system, that we could get clipped. I see clipper and cold wx in between these two southern systems. !st one is due in next weekend and another towards the end of the month, beg of Feb. Pattern looks great into Feb at this time.