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Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:13 pm
by tpweather
Matt that was very funny
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:25 pm
by Bgoney
Hey Tim, I think 8-12 is a good number above that 5-8" on the map , but I hope we can those higher numbers down further for our Dayon people
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:29 pm
by MVWxObserver
At least now in the frz rain dept, ILN is calling for less than a tenth of accretion for up this way.
Prayers and thoughts with all from CO, NM to ME with this storm for safety and warmth i.e. etc.
Last Feb here in Greenville we got around 11 inches from a storm and are all prepped for Fri for another clear out.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:41 pm
by tpweather
Bgoney wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:25 pm
Hey Tim, I think 8-12 is a good number above that 5-8" on the map , but I hope we can those higher numbers down further for our Dayon people
Bgoney, just a close call and trying to figure out Thursday afternoon where that heavy snow setup is going to be . I believe we are both on the same page but I have maybe 20 miles further south.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:51 pm
by MVWxObserver
snowbo wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 4:17 pm
fyrfyter wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 4:15 pm
Ryan wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 4:01 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 3:55 pm
Sleet is better then the ice, but it's still going to be a *itch to remove lol
Indeed with the cold temperatures Saturday, going to need a pick axe
I’m just going to get out a blowtorch!
I have one that I use to burn weeds in pavement or gravel. Would work on ice too!
Hey Bo,
My dad may have to use his blowtorch on our mix / snowed over trash cart lid on Fri morning as I'm rolling it out to a corner at the foot of our driveway tomorrow.
I even wonder if Rumpke crews i.e. will be able to get out and about for their routes on Thurs and Fri.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:07 pm
by tron777
Good evening all! 18Z Euro is running, let's take a look...
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:07 pm
by BookNerdCarp
It’s here!
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:13 pm
by tron777
18Z Euro text data, same ole, same ole. Rain, frz rain, sleet, then snow for CVG.
Code: Select all
CVG
THU 12Z 03-FEB -1.5 2.7 1023 97 99 0.19 563 545
THU 18Z 03-FEB -2.3 1.5 1023 95 95 0.45 564 545
FRI 00Z 04-FEB -4.2 -1.2 1025 89 98 0.48 564 544
FRI 06Z 04-FEB -5.5 -2.5 1026 83 100 0.12 563 542
FRI 12Z 04-FEB -7.3 -4.8 1028 82 100 0.06 559 538
FRI 18Z 04-FEB -5.9 -7.4 1030 69 98 0.05 555 533
HAO
THU 12Z 03-FEB -2.1 1.4 1024 93 99 0.15 562 543
THU 18Z 03-FEB -2.8 0.4 1025 87 97 0.32 563 544
FRI 00Z 04-FEB -4.7 -2.4 1026 90 98 0.39 563 543
FRI 06Z 04-FEB -6.1 -3.5 1027 82 99 0.11 562 541
FRI 12Z 04-FEB -7.7 -5.5 1028 78 100 0.05 558 536
FRI 18Z 04-FEB -7.1 -7.8 1030 72 94 0.05 554 531
MGY
THU 06Z 03-FEB -0.1 1.7 1020 95 96 0.31 560 544
THU 12Z 03-FEB -3.2 -0.6 1025 89 99 0.18 561 542
THU 18Z 03-FEB -4.1 -1.3 1026 88 99 0.25 562 541
FRI 00Z 04-FEB -5.5 -3.5 1027 87 98 0.31 562 541
FRI 06Z 04-FEB -7.3 -4.5 1028 84 98 0.09 560 539
FRI 12Z 04-FEB -9.1 -6.1 1029 79 98 0.04 557 535
FRI 18Z 04-FEB -8.9 -8.2 1030 82 86 0.02 553 530
DAY
THU 12Z 03-FEB -1.6 1.2 1024 93 99 0.14 562 543
THU 18Z 03-FEB -2.2 0.1 1025 86 99 0.29 562 543
FRI 00Z 04-FEB -4.3 -2.3 1025 86 98 0.42 562 543
FRI 06Z 04-FEB -5.4 -3.4 1026 84 99 0.14 561 541
FRI 12Z 04-FEB -7.3 -5.3 1027 83 100 0.06 558 537
FRI 18Z 04-FEB -7.4 -7.7 1028 74 97 0.04 553 532
CMH
THU 18Z 03-FEB -0.2 4.6 1022 99 96 0.45 566 549
FRI 00Z 04-FEB -1.8 2.3 1022 98 99 0.74 567 550
FRI 06Z 04-FEB -3.3 0.7 1024 95 99 0.33 566 547
FRI 12Z 04-FEB -4.8 -1.8 1025 87 98 0.15 562 543
FRI 18Z 04-FEB -5.4 -5.8 1028 73 99 0.08 558 536
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:41 pm
by tron777
For those keeping track at home.
fztp.gif
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:44 pm
by snowbo
How does the position of the front compared to what the models are showing?
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:46 pm
by tron777
Reports of rain changing to snow now in Western ILL, Peoria, IL.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:49 pm
by tron777
snowbo wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:44 pm
How does the position of the front compared to what the models are showing?
Looks fine to me. 18Z GFS has snow in Western ILL and temps in the 20s by 8pm and it's matching it with the reports coming in of the rain changing to snow there now.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:54 pm
by tron777
RGEM also has that "tail" dropping 1-2" on Friday across the Cincy Tri-state area. Euro / GFS / CMC have it. ILN has us dry on Fri and the warning expiring at 7am Fri. If this still shows up tomorrow, it should be extended IMO.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:58 pm
by tron777
18Z GEFS Snowfall Mean and Members
GEFS.png
GEFSMembers.png
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:02 pm
by mainevilleweather
Ensemble 13 please
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:03 pm
by tron777
Half of 'em look good for the Metro.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:07 pm
by tron777
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:14 pm
by tron777
I figured it's time to break 'em out! Both are needed for the forum coverage area with this system!
Hammer Time.JPG
Ice Ice Baby.JPG
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:18 pm
by tron777
WPC Threats Map as of 4pm.
WPC.jpg
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:18 pm
by mainevilleweather
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:03 pm
Half of 'em look good for the Metro.
But that's my favorite
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:21 pm
by Browneyedgirl
mainevilleweather wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:18 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:03 pm
Half of 'em look good for the Metro.
But that's my favorite
Mine too. I’ll second your vote.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:24 pm
by tron777
MD issued for heavy snow now for Northern MO and Western ILL.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0102.html
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:30 pm
by Pete1
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:14 pm
I figured it's time to break 'em out! Both are needed for the forum coverage area with this system!
Hammer Time.JPG
Ice Ice Baby.JPG
There they are!!!!! Its officially game on now!!!
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:37 pm
by tron777
Kind of long range still for the HRRR, but 0Z run has N Cincy burbs and I-70 Crew changing over Wed night after midnight thru 6am from NW to SE across the area. For the Metro and CVG Land area from NW to SE in the 6am to 9am time period Thurs.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:41 pm
by mainevilleweather
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 8:37 pm
Kind of long range still for the HRRR, but 0Z run has N Cincy burbs and I-70 Crew changing over Wed night after midnight thru 6am from NW to SE across the area. For the Metro and CVG Land area from NW to SE in the 6am to 9am time period Thurs.
Looks like another sleet fest model.