Absolute Vorticity

Yep, I'm sure Tim is wearing out that new foot wedge

CVG maxed out at 57 today. 58 here as I posted earlier here. We won't drop much into the 40s. I'd say lows in that 45 to 50 range for many due to increasing southerly flow ahead of our next rain maker by Wed night and Thurs. Temps may drop fast early but actually rise later on. It wouldn't surprise me if it's cooler when you go to bed vs when you wake up tomorrow morning. Tomorrow is a nice day if you don't mind the wind. Upper 60s! Wonder if anyone can clip 70? LOU will, but I mean in our CWA? Gonna be close in our far south without a doubt.

Don't need the wind again. Unless it's going the same direction I want leaves to go. Still a lot of leaves on trees around here. Oaks of course, some maples, a lot pear trees. I guess if it's windy and will bring them down.

We are already in the U50s to L60s across the area thanks to the warm front. Look for windy conditions out of the South and SW today ahead of our front. Once it passes, temps drop tonight and rain moves in as well. Rain ends Thurs morning with highs only in the 40s.

Not much change to report really guys. Still looking at a dry Fri and Sat with rain moving in on Sunday. TBD if we can see some flakes on Monday or not, next week. Cold for Thanksgiving Week as a whole. Still looking at a system moving in by Black Friday or Thanksgiving weekend. P-type TBD but rain or snow are possible from this distance.

SnowTalk! https://www.wave3.com/2021/11/17/snowta ... blog-1117/

Ya gotta love those GFS teaser maps at 384 hours!

Up to 64 here (about 15 degrees above normal).

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 12:23 pm Ya gotta love those GFS teaser maps at 384 hours!

I saw that... like the Euro teaser from the other day at 240 hours.

67 as of 3pm at CVG!

68 here today, CVG also topped out at 68. No changes thru the weekend to what I've already posted. Colder then normal all of next week but low confidence on any weather systems that develop for the travel period. Model solutions are flip flopping really bad.

Currently 61 here in Greenville.

As for now, until possibly any readjustments?, the high today in CVG 68, CMH 67, and DAY 65.

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:59 pm 68 here today, CVG also topped out at 68. No changes thru the weekend to what I've already posted. Colder then normal all of next week but low confidence on any weather systems that develop for the travel period. Model solutions are flip flopping really bad.

No changes for me from our posts last night for the rest of month. PAC not cooperating with the rest of favorable tellies

3.4 region slowly but steadily gaining back its strength

NH Snowmass healthy

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 7:00 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:59 pm 68 here today, CVG also topped out at 68. No changes thru the weekend to what I've already posted. Colder then normal all of next week but low confidence on any weather systems that develop for the travel period. Model solutions are flip flopping really bad.

No changes for me from our posts last night for the rest of month. PAC not cooperating with the rest of favorable tellies

The Pacific has been the thorn in our side for sure. It's okay since it's still Nov, but as we roll into Met winter, you'd really like to see some changes there. We see a -EPO for a while on the guidance then it goes away. The -WPO is good but coupled with a +EPO just doesn't do us any good. Just hope we don't lose the blocking up top. At least if that holds you have a small chance for wintry weather given the right timing.

I had shorts on today. Quite possibly the last time this year. It felt nice out.

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From 68 to 42 and rain / wind. It goes without saying, wet leaves can make for tough driving conditions so be safe out there this morning. 0.31" at CVG as of 6am. Will check mine shortly.

40 here with 0.32" of rain.

Down to 41 here - rainfall total of 0.65".

SnowTalk! https://www.wave3.com/2021/11/18/snowta ... blog-1118/

BTW - it was 63 in my hood at midnight. Definitely feels like a shock to the system compared to yesterday's late season warmth!

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 18, 2021 8:05 am BTW - it was 63 in my hood at midnight. Definitely feels like a shock to the system compared to yesterday's late season warmth!

I had 64 around 1am then the front passed. Dropped to 40. Quite a shock indeed.

40.5 and picked up .40". I put down last treatment of fertilizer yesterday between the wind gusts. I think I am ready for winter now