February 2024 Weather Discussion

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
User avatar
Angelika
Heavy Rain
Posts: 134
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:33 pm
Location: Fairfield, Ohio

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Angelika »

Is this a weather balloon? Sorry it's so far away. I didn't know what forum to post it in. Please move it if you need to.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Angela
--
On the border of Hamilton and Butler Counties in Fairfield Ohio
User avatar
MJSun
Thunder Storm
Posts: 209
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:42 pm
Location: Batavia Tshp (h)/Norwood (w)

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by MJSun »

So... March, will we get all the snowstorms that should have happened in January? LOL! I told a recent transplant from the South that January thinks it's March and April thinks it's January.
Mollie
Cincinnati: Batavia/Amelia (H), Norwood (W)


The extent of my weather knowledge is pointing at the sky and saying what color it is.

:bouncymulti:
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22853
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

MJSun wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 3:56 pm So... March, will we get all the snowstorms that should have happened in January? LOL! I told a recent transplant from the South that January thinks it's March and April thinks it's January.
You just never know! We can see anything. 80s like in 2012 or snow and the 20s like in 2008. March can be a very interesting month from a snow and severe wx standpoint.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22853
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Angelika wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 3:12 pm Is this a weather balloon? Sorry it's so far away. I didn't know what forum to post it in. Please move it if you need to.
It might be. NWS does have an office in Key West.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

Finally looks like February. Best kind of snow , no shoveling.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22853
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Bgoney wrote: Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:22 am Finally looks like February. Best kind of snow , no shoveling.
It kind if looks like a March or April snow to me, because of the no shoveling part lol
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

I’m up to 6” totals for the season. Woo-hoo. Still hoping I can reach double digits
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6417
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 4:13 pm
Angelika wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 3:12 pm Is this a weather balloon? Sorry it's so far away. I didn't know what forum to post it in. Please move it if you need to.
It might be. NWS does have an office in Key West.
Hopefully a weather balloon and not another Chinese spy one. ;)
Eric

Greenville, OH
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6417
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

CVG reached 40, DAY 36 and CMH 38 yesterday.

Both CVG / DAY got to 26 and CMH 27 during the predawn today.
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22853
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

15 this morning as expected due to the snowpack, clear skies, and light winds. The snow will take a big hit today with sunshine and SW winds gusting to 30 mph this afternoon. U30s to the L40s are expected for most areas.

The weather for next week is quiet with a warming trend. Expecting 50 for Pres Day (after another very cold morning), then the 50s for Tues, near 60 Wed, and back into the 50s on Thurs. Rain moves in by Thurs afternoon and ends overnight. That is our next system to deal with. Thinking 0.25 to 0.50" rainfall amounts at this time. Then a nice weekend on tap. Then we close February out with more rainy / stormy conditions.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

IMG_1462.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
Trevor
Site Admin
Posts: 1731
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 4:38 pm
Location: Blue Ash, OH

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Trevor »

tron777 wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 8:17 am 15 this morning as expected due to the snowpack, clear skies, and light winds. The snow will take a big hit today with sunshine and SW winds gusting to 30 mph this afternoon. U30s to the L40s are expected for most areas.

The weather for next week is quiet with a warming trend. Expecting 50 for Pres Day (after another very cold morning), then the 50s for Tues, near 60 Wed, and back into the 50s on Thurs. Rain moves in by Thurs afternoon and ends overnight. That is our next system to deal with. Thinking 0.25 to 0.50" rainfall amounts at this time. Then a nice weekend on tap. Then we close February out with more rainy / stormy conditions.
Watching the signal for well above normal temps and possible severe thunderstorms as we close out the month.
Silverton, OH

More active on my FB page...come follow me! :-)
https://www.facebook.com/cwc513
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

Trevor wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 9:09 am
tron777 wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 8:17 am 15 this morning as expected due to the snowpack, clear skies, and light winds. The snow will take a big hit today with sunshine and SW winds gusting to 30 mph this afternoon. U30s to the L40s are expected for most areas.

The weather for next week is quiet with a warming trend. Expecting 50 for Pres Day (after another very cold morning), then the 50s for Tues, near 60 Wed, and back into the 50s on Thurs. Rain moves in by Thurs afternoon and ends overnight. That is our next system to deal with. Thinking 0.25 to 0.50" rainfall amounts at this time. Then a nice weekend on tap. Then we close February out with more rainy / stormy conditions.
Watching the signal for well above normal temps and possible severe thunderstorms as we close out the month.
Certainly looks interesting for active weather at least for the central part of the country. It’s the first time all season I’ve seen the polar jet with any kind of meat to it showing up in the long range, even showing it with more strength than the STJ at day 10. Should make for some potent cutters for the mid section of country for that time period


Jet.gif
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22853
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Bgoney wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 9:26 am
Trevor wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 9:09 am
tron777 wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 8:17 am 15 this morning as expected due to the snowpack, clear skies, and light winds. The snow will take a big hit today with sunshine and SW winds gusting to 30 mph this afternoon. U30s to the L40s are expected for most areas.

The weather for next week is quiet with a warming trend. Expecting 50 for Pres Day (after another very cold morning), then the 50s for Tues, near 60 Wed, and back into the 50s on Thurs. Rain moves in by Thurs afternoon and ends overnight. That is our next system to deal with. Thinking 0.25 to 0.50" rainfall amounts at this time. Then a nice weekend on tap. Then we close February out with more rainy / stormy conditions.
Watching the signal for well above normal temps and possible severe thunderstorms as we close out the month.
Certainly looks interesting for active weather at least for the central part of the country. It’s the first time all season I’ve seen the polar jet with any kind of meat to it showing up in the long range, even showing it with more strength than the STJ at day 10. Should make for some potent cutters for the mid section of country for that time period



Jet.gif
I agree. A deep -PNA appears to be coming with a trough out West and a ridge for The East Coast. Perfect set up for Plains Severe wx and perhaps the OV too.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

-70°F at Delyankir, Russia Yesterday, just another day in Siberian paradise.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

Activity has died off considerably in phase 8 , and to a lesser degree in 6/7 where most tropical activity remains



IMG_1465.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22853
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Bgoney wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 10:22 am -70°F at Delyankir, Russia Yesterday, just another day in Siberian paradise.
Amazing kind of cold for someone like me to think about but you learn how to adapt and survive.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22853
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Bgoney wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 10:54 am Activity has died off considerably in phase 8 , and to a lesser degree in 6/7 where most tropical activity remains




IMG_1465.jpeg
As of 2/16 it's still in Phase 7 per the Aussies and diving towards the neutral circle.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22853
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

The Fantasy 12Z GFS long term today has a classic late winter / early spring pattern. We get the advancing warm front on Feb 28-th, then the cold front on Leap Year Day. 3/3 a clipper passes thru. :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22853
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Euro's starting to look more stormy towards the end of its run today.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

44 here. Ground is snow free
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22853
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Bgoney wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 4:20 pm 44 here. Ground is snow free
Ditto... minus a few shaded areas.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
Pete1
Heavy Rain
Posts: 164
Joined: Thu Nov 04, 2021 1:49 am
Location: Burlington

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Pete1 »

tron777 wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 5:03 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 4:20 pm 44 here. Ground is snow free
Ditto... minus a few shaded areas.
Well Les. We had one day of snow cover. I guess it’s better than 0 days of snow cover. Still pathetic, but the snow gods seemed to have turned their backs on us.

I still blame Jason and his snowblower. lol The day he showed the world that snowblower was the day it all went bad for us. lol

If you read this Jason, I’m just kidding ….lol
Burlington, KY
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6417
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

CVG reached 44, DAY 35 and CMH 37 today.
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
Trevor
Site Admin
Posts: 1731
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 4:38 pm
Location: Blue Ash, OH

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Post by Trevor »

Watching Thu for a sneaky strong t’storm threat. Nothing major but isolated small hail and gusty winds possible.

00z GFS advertising quite a large multi-day severe weather outbreak a week from Tuesday. Also something to watch.
Silverton, OH

More active on my FB page...come follow me! :-)
https://www.facebook.com/cwc513
Post Reply