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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:00 pm
by Brwncntysnwdog
tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:26 pm Radar has a narrow band of flurries even across NKY headed my way. No clue if it is hitting the ground yet. Precip is SE of us moving to the NW until it pivots then the precip will end from NW to SE. So the more the precip pivots NW of your location, the longer it is that you'll stay in the snow.
I monitor these highway cams.

https://www.ohgo.com/cincinnati?lt=38.9 ... 0000000745

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:00 pm
by BookNerdCarp
Bgoney wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:59 pm
BookNerdCarp wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:50 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:44 pm Matts hood





shower.PNG
Nothing hitting the ground yet. Had a little sleet earlier


Matt, are you in Ripley or Georgetown
I’m in Ripley. Right on the river.

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:03 pm
by tron777
Brwncntysnwdog wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:00 pm
tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:26 pm Radar has a narrow band of flurries even across NKY headed my way. No clue if it is hitting the ground yet. Precip is SE of us moving to the NW until it pivots then the precip will end from NW to SE. So the more the precip pivots NW of your location, the longer it is that you'll stay in the snow.
I monitor these highway cams.

https://www.ohgo.com/cincinnati?lt=38.9 ... 0000000745
Yeah, I've been watching them too. :lol:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:05 pm
by Trevor
That “spoke” of precip just may be an illustration of where the cutoff will occur.

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:08 pm
by tron777
12Z Euro's back to giving CVG 0.17" of QPF. DAY gets 0.13"

CMH

MON 00Z 17-JAN -1.3 -0.6 1006 79 99 0.08 545 540
MON 06Z 17-JAN -2.8 -4.1 999 92 98 0.36 534 535
MON 12Z 17-JAN -4.4 -9.1 1001 72 92 0.09 528 527
MON 18Z 17-JAN -2.1 -11.2 1005 71 81 0.01 529 525
TUE 00Z 18-JAN -1.5 -9.9 1011 80 23 0.01 535 526

FGX

MON 00Z 17-JAN -1.2 -1.9 1004 95 99 0.35 543 540
MON 06Z 17-JAN -1.8 -4.0 1001 94 100 0.37 535 535
MON 12Z 17-JAN -4.6 -9.6 1005 64 90 0.02 530 526
MON 18Z 17-JAN -2.6 -10.6 1009 72 69 0.01 532 525

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:11 pm
by Bgoney
Low getting ready to transfer


low.gif

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:11 pm
by tpweather
Snowing here

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:11 pm
by young pup
tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:08 pm 12Z Euro's back to giving CVG 0.17" of QPF. DAY gets 0.13"

CMH

MON 00Z 17-JAN -1.3 -0.6 1006 79 99 0.08 545 540
MON 06Z 17-JAN -2.8 -4.1 999 92 98 0.36 534 535
MON 12Z 17-JAN -4.4 -9.1 1001 72 92 0.09 528 527
MON 18Z 17-JAN -2.1 -11.2 1005 71 81 0.01 529 525
TUE 00Z 18-JAN -1.5 -9.9 1011 80 23 0.01 535 526

FGX

MON 00Z 17-JAN -1.2 -1.9 1004 95 99 0.35 543 540
MON 06Z 17-JAN -1.8 -4.0 1001 94 100 0.37 535 535
MON 12Z 17-JAN -4.6 -9.6 1005 64 90 0.02 530 526
MON 18Z 17-JAN -2.6 -10.6 1009 72 69 0.01 532 525
Thanks for the numbers. We shall see what we end up with.

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:12 pm
by Trevor
It’s subtle, but there is for sure a more westward component to radar echoes.

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:14 pm
by nkyoutdoors
Looks like we are getting MPING reports now.
A677DE89-5A08-43E7-BA3F-8BBBCCFC0D7F.png

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:17 pm
by Mjr
Brother-in-law’s lives in Hammersville no precipitation yet

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:18 pm
by tron777
Trevor wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:12 pm It’s subtle, but there is for sure a more westward component to radar echoes.
Wondering the same thing... Need to see that continue for as long as possible.

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:19 pm
by tron777
tpweather wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:11 pmSnowing here
A good sign for me then.

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:20 pm
by tron777
Bgoney wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:11 pm Low getting ready to transfer



low.gif
Was hoping it would hold off, but as long as the process takes like the next 6 hours, then we'll be fine. :lol:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:27 pm
by young pup
tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:20 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:11 pm Low getting ready to transfer



low.gif
Was hoping it would hold off, but as long as the process takes like the next 6 hours, then we'll be fine. :lol:

I was just going to ask is this sooner than expected????

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:29 pm
by kywthrluvr
Got some flurries coming down here.

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:32 pm
by tron777
young pup wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:27 pm
tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:20 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:11 pm Low getting ready to transfer



low.gif
Was hoping it would hold off, but as long as the process takes like the next 6 hours, then we'll be fine. :lol:

I was just going to ask is this sooner than expected????
No not really. I was hoping the models were wrong on that part lol

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:35 pm
by nkyoutdoors
Flurries here now.

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:37 pm
by tron777
kywthrluvr wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:29 pm Got some flurries coming down here.
Nothing here yet, but a salt truck just went by already. :lol:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:44 pm
by tron777
That band broke up right over me. Still yet to see a flake. But more is coming.

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:50 pm
by mainevilleweather
flurries in Maineville

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:50 pm
by fyrfyter
tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:44 pm That band broke up right over me. Still yet to see a flake. But more is coming.
They are rapidly dying as they enter the area… Cincy split from the East!

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:52 pm
by tron777
The "meat and potatoes" of this system is approaching the Maysville area now.

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:52 pm
by tron777
fyrfyter wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:50 pm
tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:44 pm That band broke up right over me. Still yet to see a flake. But more is coming.
They are rapidly dying as they enter the area… Cincy split from the East!
The dome - Just like in summer. :lol:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:55 pm
by tron777
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
101 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

KYZ091>093-095-OHZ045-053-054-062-071-077-170000-
Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Grant-Union OH-Clark-Madison-Greene-Warren-
Hamilton-
Including the cities of Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook,
Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria,
Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Marysville, Springfield,
London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia,
Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, and Cincinnati
101 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

...LIGHT SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...

Light snow will develop through the afternoon and continue through
the evening hours. While significant accumulations are not expected,
light accumulations of generally an inch, to as much as two inches,
will be possible, depending on exact location.

These light accumulations may create slippery conditions on roads
and untreated surfaces. Please exercise extra caution if traveling
through this evening.