January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
Brwncntysnwdog
Rain Shower
Posts: 6
Joined: Mon Dec 27, 2021 4:02 am
Location: Florence, KY

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by Brwncntysnwdog »

tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:26 pm Radar has a narrow band of flurries even across NKY headed my way. No clue if it is hitting the ground yet. Precip is SE of us moving to the NW until it pivots then the precip will end from NW to SE. So the more the precip pivots NW of your location, the longer it is that you'll stay in the snow.
I monitor these highway cams.

https://www.ohgo.com/cincinnati?lt=38.9 ... 0000000745
Florence, KY
User avatar
BookNerdCarp
EF0 Tornado
Posts: 350
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:57 pm

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by BookNerdCarp »

Bgoney wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:59 pm
BookNerdCarp wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:50 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:44 pm Matts hood





shower.PNG
Nothing hitting the ground yet. Had a little sleet earlier


Matt, are you in Ripley or Georgetown
I’m in Ripley. Right on the river.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22856
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Brwncntysnwdog wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:00 pm
tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:26 pm Radar has a narrow band of flurries even across NKY headed my way. No clue if it is hitting the ground yet. Precip is SE of us moving to the NW until it pivots then the precip will end from NW to SE. So the more the precip pivots NW of your location, the longer it is that you'll stay in the snow.
I monitor these highway cams.

https://www.ohgo.com/cincinnati?lt=38.9 ... 0000000745
Yeah, I've been watching them too. :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Trevor
Site Admin
Posts: 1731
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 4:38 pm
Location: Blue Ash, OH

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by Trevor »

That “spoke” of precip just may be an illustration of where the cutoff will occur.
Silverton, OH

More active on my FB page...come follow me! :-)
https://www.facebook.com/cwc513
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22856
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by tron777 »

12Z Euro's back to giving CVG 0.17" of QPF. DAY gets 0.13"

CMH

MON 00Z 17-JAN -1.3 -0.6 1006 79 99 0.08 545 540
MON 06Z 17-JAN -2.8 -4.1 999 92 98 0.36 534 535
MON 12Z 17-JAN -4.4 -9.1 1001 72 92 0.09 528 527
MON 18Z 17-JAN -2.1 -11.2 1005 71 81 0.01 529 525
TUE 00Z 18-JAN -1.5 -9.9 1011 80 23 0.01 535 526

FGX

MON 00Z 17-JAN -1.2 -1.9 1004 95 99 0.35 543 540
MON 06Z 17-JAN -1.8 -4.0 1001 94 100 0.37 535 535
MON 12Z 17-JAN -4.6 -9.6 1005 64 90 0.02 530 526
MON 18Z 17-JAN -2.6 -10.6 1009 72 69 0.01 532 525
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

Low getting ready to transfer


low.gif
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by tpweather »

Snowing here
young pup
EF4 Tornado
Posts: 733
Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2021 7:13 pm
Location: Grandview ( Westside of downtown CMH)

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by young pup »

tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:08 pm 12Z Euro's back to giving CVG 0.17" of QPF. DAY gets 0.13"

CMH

MON 00Z 17-JAN -1.3 -0.6 1006 79 99 0.08 545 540
MON 06Z 17-JAN -2.8 -4.1 999 92 98 0.36 534 535
MON 12Z 17-JAN -4.4 -9.1 1001 72 92 0.09 528 527
MON 18Z 17-JAN -2.1 -11.2 1005 71 81 0.01 529 525
TUE 00Z 18-JAN -1.5 -9.9 1011 80 23 0.01 535 526

FGX

MON 00Z 17-JAN -1.2 -1.9 1004 95 99 0.35 543 540
MON 06Z 17-JAN -1.8 -4.0 1001 94 100 0.37 535 535
MON 12Z 17-JAN -4.6 -9.6 1005 64 90 0.02 530 526
MON 18Z 17-JAN -2.6 -10.6 1009 72 69 0.01 532 525
Thanks for the numbers. We shall see what we end up with.
User avatar
Trevor
Site Admin
Posts: 1731
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 4:38 pm
Location: Blue Ash, OH

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by Trevor »

It’s subtle, but there is for sure a more westward component to radar echoes.
Silverton, OH

More active on my FB page...come follow me! :-)
https://www.facebook.com/cwc513
nkyoutdoors
Rain Shower
Posts: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 22, 2021 9:58 am
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by nkyoutdoors »

Looks like we are getting MPING reports now.
A677DE89-5A08-43E7-BA3F-8BBBCCFC0D7F.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Mjr
Rain Shower
Posts: 98
Joined: Fri Aug 06, 2021 11:21 pm
Location: Amelia/Pierce Township

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by Mjr »

Brother-in-law’s lives in Hammersville no precipitation yet
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22856
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Trevor wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:12 pm It’s subtle, but there is for sure a more westward component to radar echoes.
Wondering the same thing... Need to see that continue for as long as possible.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22856
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by tron777 »

tpweather wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:11 pmSnowing here
A good sign for me then.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22856
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Bgoney wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:11 pm Low getting ready to transfer



low.gif
Was hoping it would hold off, but as long as the process takes like the next 6 hours, then we'll be fine. :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
young pup
EF4 Tornado
Posts: 733
Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2021 7:13 pm
Location: Grandview ( Westside of downtown CMH)

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by young pup »

tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:20 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:11 pm Low getting ready to transfer



low.gif
Was hoping it would hold off, but as long as the process takes like the next 6 hours, then we'll be fine. :lol:

I was just going to ask is this sooner than expected????
kywthrluvr
Rain Shower
Posts: 71
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by kywthrluvr »

Got some flurries coming down here.
Leslie
Florence, KY
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22856
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by tron777 »

young pup wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:27 pm
tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:20 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:11 pm Low getting ready to transfer



low.gif
Was hoping it would hold off, but as long as the process takes like the next 6 hours, then we'll be fine. :lol:

I was just going to ask is this sooner than expected????
No not really. I was hoping the models were wrong on that part lol
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
nkyoutdoors
Rain Shower
Posts: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 22, 2021 9:58 am
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by nkyoutdoors »

Flurries here now.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22856
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by tron777 »

kywthrluvr wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:29 pm Got some flurries coming down here.
Nothing here yet, but a salt truck just went by already. :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22856
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by tron777 »

That band broke up right over me. Still yet to see a flake. But more is coming.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
mainevilleweather
Thunder Storm
Posts: 205
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2022 11:11 am

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by mainevilleweather »

flurries in Maineville
User avatar
fyrfyter
Thunder Storm
Posts: 297
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:35 pm
Location: Mack/Green Township, OH

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by fyrfyter »

tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:44 pm That band broke up right over me. Still yet to see a flake. But more is coming.
They are rapidly dying as they enter the area… Cincy split from the East!
~Aaron
Mack/Green Township, OH


My Current Conditions
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22856
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by tron777 »

The "meat and potatoes" of this system is approaching the Maysville area now.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22856
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by tron777 »

fyrfyter wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:50 pm
tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 16, 2022 1:44 pm That band broke up right over me. Still yet to see a flake. But more is coming.
They are rapidly dying as they enter the area… Cincy split from the East!
The dome - Just like in summer. :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22856
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
101 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

KYZ091>093-095-OHZ045-053-054-062-071-077-170000-
Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Grant-Union OH-Clark-Madison-Greene-Warren-
Hamilton-
Including the cities of Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook,
Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria,
Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Marysville, Springfield,
London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia,
Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, and Cincinnati
101 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

...LIGHT SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...

Light snow will develop through the afternoon and continue through
the evening hours. While significant accumulations are not expected,
light accumulations of generally an inch, to as much as two inches,
will be possible, depending on exact location.

These light accumulations may create slippery conditions on roads
and untreated surfaces. Please exercise extra caution if traveling
through this evening.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
Post Reply