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Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:10 pm
by cloudy72
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 2:16 pm
WOW! Euro says to get out the BBQ's , golf clubs, shorts and flip flops next Wed and Thurs! 500 MB heights peak at 585 DM with 850 MB temps around 15C! I wonder if 70 degrees is attainable? That would be record highs. The record high at CVG for that period is 66 and 67 degrees respectively so 70s would shatter that!
With such an anomalous ridge being shown, I wouldn't be surprised to see this happen unfortunately.
Temp departure from normal next Wed-Thu! Check out the northern Miss Valley! Insanity!
ecmwf-deterministic-ecentus-t2m_f_anom_1day-9656000.png
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:13 pm
by cloudy72
More thunderboomers Friday night/early Saturday?
ecmwf-deterministic-ecentus-lightning_density_last6-9202400.png
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:22 pm
by tron777
cloudy72 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:10 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 2:16 pm
WOW! Euro says to get out the BBQ's , golf clubs, shorts and flip flops next Wed and Thurs! 500 MB heights peak at 585 DM with 850 MB temps around 15C! I wonder if 70 degrees is attainable? That would be record highs. The record high at CVG for that period is 66 and 67 degrees respectively so 70s would shatter that!
With such an anomalous ridge being shown, I wouldn't be surprised to see this happen unfortunately.
Temp departure from normal next Wed-Thu! Check out the northern Miss Valley! Insanity!
ecmwf-deterministic-ecentus-t2m_f_anom_1day-9656000.png
Wow.. that is just not right, Mike!
It's ridiculous! No wonder why Trev has been quiet. No need for him to rock the boat I guess.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:49 pm
by tron777
The GEFS isn't doing this yet, but in the Day 10-15 range, the EPS has a nice -EPO finally! However, the stout -PNA is still killing us with a monster SE ridge. So we've still got some issues to deal with even if this is correct.
EPS.png
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:56 pm
by Trevor
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:22 pm
cloudy72 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:10 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 2:16 pm
WOW! Euro says to get out the BBQ's , golf clubs, shorts and flip flops next Wed and Thurs! 500 MB heights peak at 585 DM with 850 MB temps around 15C! I wonder if 70 degrees is attainable? That would be record highs. The record high at CVG for that period is 66 and 67 degrees respectively so 70s would shatter that!
With such an anomalous ridge being shown, I wouldn't be surprised to see this happen unfortunately.
Temp departure from normal next Wed-Thu! Check out the northern Miss Valley! Insanity!
ecmwf-deterministic-ecentus-t2m_f_anom_1day-9656000.png
Wow.. that is just not right, Mike!
It's ridiculous! No wonder why Trev has been quiet. No need for him to rock the boat I guess.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:59 pm
by tron777
Trevor wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:56 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:22 pm
cloudy72 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 3:10 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 2:16 pm
WOW! Euro says to get out the BBQ's , golf clubs, shorts and flip flops next Wed and Thurs! 500 MB heights peak at 585 DM with 850 MB temps around 15C! I wonder if 70 degrees is attainable? That would be record highs. The record high at CVG for that period is 66 and 67 degrees respectively so 70s would shatter that!
With such an anomalous ridge being shown, I wouldn't be surprised to see this happen unfortunately.
Temp departure from normal next Wed-Thu! Check out the northern Miss Valley! Insanity!
ecmwf-deterministic-ecentus-t2m_f_anom_1day-9656000.png
Wow.. that is just not right, Mike!
It's ridiculous! No wonder why Trev has been quiet. No need for him to rock the boat I guess.
There you are!
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 4:14 pm
by Bgoney
Indian summer in mid December.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 4:15 pm
by cloudy72
So no virga here - seeing a few flurries currently and 26.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 4:18 pm
by tron777
cloudy72 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 4:15 pm
So no virga here - seeing a few flurries currently and 26.
Awesome! Nothing here yet. 29 for my high. 28 now. Getting ready to leave to get my haircut shortly. Hope to see some flakes before bedtime this evening even though the mega torch is coming. This will have to do for my snow fix for a while.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 5:06 pm
by cloudy72
My temp has actually dropped to 23 and dewpoint is up to 19 with the light snow falling.
EDIT: Rooftops and grassy areas starting to get a bit white.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 5:24 pm
by tron777
Still nothing but virga here. 28 /10, same as CVG.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 5:39 pm
by cloudy72
My wife is driving home from work in Kettering (S Dayton suburb) reporting the roads are starting to get snow covered and icy there.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 5:57 pm
by cloudy72
Here is a traffic cam from Whipp Rd/Far Hills Ave in Kettering. You can see a bit of snow on sidewalks and a glaze look to the road. And yes the traffic sucks here in dry weather!
SR-48_Whipp.jpg
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 6:41 pm
by Bgoney
More bells and whistles upcoming from the EU........
NEW: ECMWF is planning an upgrade for late 2022 known as the 48r1. This upgrade will increase ensemble horizontal resolution from 18km to 9km. The ECMWF extended that runs twice a week (Mon-Thu) will run daily from hour 0 instead of hr 360. The ensemble members will increase from 51 , to 100
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 6:47 pm
by tron777
Bgoney wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 6:41 pm
More bells and whistles upcoming from the EU........
NEW: ECMWF is planning an upgrade for late 2022 known as the 48r1. This upgrade will increase ensemble horizontal resolution from 18km to 9km. The ECMWF extended that runs twice a week (Mon-Thu) will run daily from hour 0 instead of hr 360. The ensemble members will increase from 51 , to 100
Awesome! Should be just in time for the winter of 22-23 then. It'll be interesting doubling the amount of Ensemble members too!
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 6:55 pm
by tron777
Anyone besides Mike seeing any snow this evening? Only virga under the dome here.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 7:29 pm
by young pup
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 6:55 pm
Anyone besides Mike seeing any snow this evening? Only virga under the dome here.
I thought I saw a couple of flakes. Turns out it was neighbors walking by.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 7:39 pm
by tron777
young pup wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 7:29 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 6:55 pm
Anyone besides Mike seeing any snow this evening? Only virga under the dome here.
I thought I saw a couple of flakes. Turns out it was neighbors walking by.
That's about I'll I've seen too!
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 7:55 pm
by cloudy72
Saw a tweet from NWS Louisville - “ We've received several reports of dustings or minor snow accumulations across portions of southern Indiana this evening. Let us know if you're seeing anything out your way! #inwx #kywx”
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 8:19 pm
by Sargent51
Nice little garbage can topper out here in Maineville/Morrow area.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 8:28 pm
by Ddmeyer004
Very light dusting covering cars in Mason
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 8:35 pm
by young pup
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 7:39 pm
young pup wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 7:29 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 6:55 pm
Anyone besides Mike seeing any snow this evening? Only virga under the dome here.
I thought I saw a couple of flakes. Turns out it was neighbors walking by.
That's about I'll I've seen too!
Actually got some light snow falling now. Dusting on cars so far.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 8:49 pm
by Pete1
Well to try and put somewhat of a positive spin on the upcoming mega torch next week, at least it isn’t happening on Christmas and maybe we are getting it out of the way now.... I hope.
A spring like Christmas with temps in the 70s should be considered a criminal act.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 9:42 pm
by Wxlrnr
Atmosphere finally moistened up. Took the garbage out at 9:30, tiny dots falling here in Hyde Park. Just took the dog out and actual snow flurries now.
Re: December 2021 Weather Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:26 pm
by MVWxObserver
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