July 2021 Weather Discussion

[tron777]

Cells are starting to take more of a SE turn so Tri-state area will need to keep our eyes open as well.

[tron777]

81 officially at CVG today, 79 now due to clouds. Dewpoint is around 70 so plenty of fuel for storms to work with. Effective shear is around 20 or 25 knots so not much, but enough for a few clusters of storms to develop. Had we had a little better shear and CAPE, this could have been a bigger event. It still could turn into something but the isolated call I think is good. Was surprised to see the SPC bump us up to a slight risk anyway, but what do I know?

[tron777]

82 for my high, 81 currently as we await the storms to see what's going to happen that are too the west.

[tron777]

Glad I watered my plants. Everything staying to my SW. The Dome is keeping it away from the Metro.

[cloudy72]

Dome wins another one here today - had a brief downpour take the south detour earlier. LOL. Will be watering tonight for sure.

[MVWxObserver]

1651 UNK 1 E ARLINGTON RUSH IN 3961 8555 POLE BARN DAMAGED AND AN OLD CORN CRIB DESTROYED AT 5632 WEST BASE ROAD. (IND)

1654 UNK 3 ESE ARLINGTON RUSH IN 3960 8551 SIGNIFICANT ROOF AND SIDE WALL DAMAGE TO HOUSE AND OUTBUILDING. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (IND)

1700 UNK 3 SW RUSHVILLE RUSH IN 3958 8549 TREES DAMAGED AND ITEMS FROM YARD BLOWN INTO FIELDS AT 2219 S 250 W. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (IND)

1701 UNK RUSHVILLE RUSH IN 3962 8545 TREES DOWN ON THE NORTH SIDE OF RUSHVILLE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (IND)

1707 UNK 1 SSW RUSHVILLE RUSH IN 3961 8545 REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN. (IND)

1715 UNK 1 ESE NEW SALEM RUSH IN 3953 8533 LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN AND CROPS FLATTENED. (IND)

1715 UNK 1 ENE NEW SALEM RUSH IN 3955 8534 LARGE TREE LIMB BLOWN DOWN. (IND)

1728 UNK 1 SSE LAUREL FRANKLIN IN 3949 8518 COUPLE OF TREES DOWN NEAR US 52 IN LAUREL (ILN)

2005 UNK EVANSVILLE VANDERBURGH IN 3798 8754 NUMEROUS REPORTS OF DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES. POWER OUTAGES REPORTED. (PAH)

2009 UNK 2 SE DARMSTADT VANDERBURGH IN 3807 8755 REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN. (PAH)

2010 63 DARMSTADT VANDERBURGH IN 3809 8758 2 TO 3 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES DOWN. (PAH)

2111 UNK 2 SSW WIRT JEFFERSON IN 3877 8546 TREE DOWN OVER CHICKEN RUN RD. (LMK)

2145 UNK 5 WNW CARROLLTON CARROLL KY 3871 8524 TREE BLEW DOWN ON KY-36. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

2307 UNK 1 NNW FLOYDS KNOBS FLOYD IN 3832 8587 POWER LINES DOWN AT PAOLI PIKE AND OLD HILL RD. (LMK)

2326 UNK 2 S CLARKSVILLE CLARK IN 3829 8576 TREE DOWN ON POWER LINE ON W HARRISON AVE IN CLARKSVILLE. (LMK)

2326 UNK 2 E JEFFERSONVILLE CLARK IN 3830 8569 TREE DOWN OVER PARK LANE IN JEFFERSONVILLE. (LMK)

2326 UNK 1 WNW CLARKSVILLE CLARK IN 3832 8578 CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 1 WNW CLARKSVILLE. TREE DOWN ON GUTFORD RD. IN CLARKSVILLE. (LMK)

2326 UNK 1 SSW WATSON CLARK IN 3833 8571 TREE DOWN ON ROLLING RIDGE WAY IN JEFFERSONVILLE. (LMK)

2326 UNK 1 SSE CEMENTVILLE CLARK IN 3833 8574 TREE DOWN ON HAMBURG PIKE AND BISHOP RD. IN JEFFERSONVILLE. (LMK)

2326 UNK 1 SE CEMENTVILLE CLARK IN 3834 8573 TREE DOWN ON CRUMS LANE IN JEFFERSONVILLE. (LMK)

2326 UNK 1 SSW HAMBURG CLARK IN 3837 8577 POWER LINE DOWN ON CEDARDALE DR. IN SELLERSBURG. (LMK)

2328 UNK 3 SSW PROSPECT JEFFERSON KY 3831 8562 TREE DOWN OVER TRAIL RIDGE ROAD IN LOUISVILLE. (LMK)

0026 UNK 2 SE BREMEN MUHLENBERG KY 3734 8719 REPORT FROM MPING: 1-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; SHINGLES BLOWN OFF. (PAH)

[MVWxObserver]

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[tron777]

The Dome has held here, not a drop. All to my south now. Will try again this weekend. Will need to water again by then anyway if nothing occurs.

[Bgoney]

Hope the 18z NAM for Saturday night is on to something and not on something

[MVWxObserver]

Picked up another .20" for Thurs for a 2 day combo of .40"

[Bgoney]

Forecast through the weekend and beyond , is a bit like yesterday's busted forecast, chances for rain and locally heavy rains are ever present for the region and for the board but percentage wise its 50-60 , so the ever present haves and have-not result applies. When it rains is even more in question, expect it to rain when you don't and not to rain when you do. Organized severe threat is very low, but can't rule out a brief pulse type isolated storm .

[tron777]

A nice day today and good luck to all this weekend! Hope that those who need it get it! Even though we're all adults, a rain dance doesn't hurt.

[tron777]

The 6Z NAM is mostly dry Sat, scattered Sun and likely now on Mon so the weekend wouldn't be bad if this solution is right. All we've heard on the news and on the data is 1-2" of rain. Then it started to become more likely Sun now... who knows?

[tron777]

Drier air is punching in from Indy this morning so look for decreasing clouds as time goes on (already becoming sunny in the west). Dews are dropping to near 60 / low 60s over the areas with 50s located in IN and Western OH. Temps in the 77 to 82 degree range should work for most this afternoon.

[tron777]

The 0Z Euro wants to clip us Sat morning, mainly the river on south then everybody Sunday morning with another batch of convection. So some models do offer hope while others say The Dome will hold.

[cloudy72]

Somehow managed to get 0.01" last night lol Guess that counts as a crack in the dome?

[tron777]

Somehow managed to get 0.01" last night lol Guess that counts as a crack in the dome?

Yep! Like that tenth I got the other day. I consider it a crack too. Need a good ole fashioned t-storm to officially call it a breech or a collapse of the dome.

[tron777]

StormTalk! https://www.wave3.com/2021/07/09/goode- ... r-blog-79/

[tron777]

Dew is at 56 now at CVG... that's more like it.

[tpweather]

Good Morning and mowed the lawn once again and so lush for early July. Yesterday was a bust and I got 0 rainfall at my house. The front looks to had made into northern Tn it looks like so a bit further south than I expected. So nice out with the lower humidity. Where and when will the mcs develop later tonight and how far east will it go before it hits to much dry air. Always hard to pinpoint these until they form and models will go back and forth as well. Will look further into this later today.

[tron777]

12Z NAM is back to showing scattered afternoon and evening action on both Sat and Sun. The 12Z GFS is more of a Sat night and Sun event with scattered action.

[tron777]

A nice afternoon out there! Picked another batch of green beans for dinner while I was on my lunch break. Dews in the mid to upper 50s and temps in the low to mid 70s right now... I'll take it!

[cloudy72]

12Z NAM is back to showing scattered afternoon and evening action on both Sat and Sun. The 12Z GFS is more of a Sat night and Sun event with scattered action.

We know what scattered means in regards to our domes! Looks like I'm gonna be watering plants for the foreseeable future!

[tron777]

12Z NAM is back to showing scattered afternoon and evening action on both Sat and Sun. The 12Z GFS is more of a Sat night and Sun event with scattered action.

We know what scattered means in regards to our domes! Looks like I'm gonna be watering plants for the foreseeable future!

Bingo!

[tron777]

Would love to see the long range GFS hold for my fishing trip (not next week but the week after) Minimal rain chances with highs in the U70s and lows 60 to 65. Headed to Lake Huron, Oscoda, MI for a walleye tournament the week of July 19th.

The storm track looks to stay south of the Lakes and remains over the OV. Active times are coming... The Domes, hopefully break every so often. At least the chances are there, it's all we can hope for.