Absolute Vorticity

Had another brief t-shower Fri evening and picked up a tenth of an inch. So far a combined .20" since Thurs.

From Fri ...

2049 UNK 6 SSW ENGLEWOOD MONTGOMERY OH 3978 8433 ONE TREE DOWNED ON N SNYDER RD. TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

2050 UNK SSW WEST LIBERTY LOGAN OH 4025 8376 A TREE WAS DOWNED ON BAIRD STREET. TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

2155 UNK 3 WNW RICHWOOD UNION OH 4045 8335 SEVERAL POWER POLES DOWNED ON BOUNDARY ROAD. TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

Day 1 Saturday ...

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
418 AM EDT Sat Apr 10 2021

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-111100-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-
Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-
Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-
Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-
Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
418 AM EDT Sat Apr 10 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central
Ohio, South Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Showers and chance of thunderstorms will overspread the region
through this afternoon. A few strong to severe storms will be
possible this afternoon into the early evening hours. Damaging wind
will be the primary threat although a brief, weak tornado cannot be
ruled out.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

$$

Not overly optimistic about severe chances today. Clearing line is way back in Illinois. Between that and the persistent rains, I don’t see much of a chance for rebounding. While higher than yesterday, dew points are still marginal at best (right around 60).

Main clearing area is noted by the yellow wedge. Area circled in orange does feature some breaks in the clouds. But as I said, much more is going against a severe threat today than for one. And the threat was marginal to begin with. Aka very low chance of isolated severe locally if at all.

Got the lawn mowed right before the rain started. So far 0.69” and still raining.

.90" total for the day

Picked up .40" for Sat for a combo since Thurs of .60"

Record breaking cold and snows in EU last week with another blast of winter for them forecast in the coming g weeks. Alaska and West Canada still stuck in the grasp of winter 2021 also.

April severe weather has been a dud for the OV and looks to continue for the next two weeks

Bgoney wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 9:29 am April severe weather has been a dud for the OV and looks to continue for the next two weeks

Good morning, Bgoney!

Severe wx chances will probably start picking up more for the OV the last week of April, if not, by early May.

Hello all! I miss you all.

tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 8:56 pm Hello all! I miss you all.

14137.jpeg

As a connoisseur of walleye, that one is definitely a "dandy"! Is he coming home to your freezer? Nice job Les!!!

Great lunker you have, Bro!

My gauge picked up .40" for Sun for a combo inch since Thurs.

Wow , nice catch!!!

Global warming update. Quick , fire up those coal plants!!!!

Slovenia suffers Coldest April Temp in History, Belgrade breaks All-Time Snow Record, European Winemakers bust-out the “Frost Fires,” and an Antarctic Blast threatens Early-Season Snow in SE Australia

Fruit growers and winemakers in France have reported that the majority of their harvest this year has been lost to the significant cold snap that spread through parts of Europe from Wednesday, April 7 to Friday, April 9, 2021. Many industry experts believe that the frost damage might be the worst since the 1990s.

French farmers started counting the cost on Friday, April 9, after a deep cyclonic vortex from North Atlantic went down on northern Europe. Frosty conditions covered much of France, where many areas recorded their lowest April temperature on record.

"No region has been spared-- beets, rape, barley, vines fruit trees [have been lost]. All the different kinds of support must be activated urgently," said the National Federation of Unions for Farmers (FNSEA). "Exceptional situations call for exceptional measures."

Farmers across the country had attempted to save their harvest by lighting fires and candles amid the frost. However, extreme cold conditions still ravaged about 90 percent of this year's harvest, local winemakers and fruit growers reported to the FNSEA.

"The winegrowers are devastated, downcast," said Philippe Pellaton, president of the Inter-Rhone Association of winegrowers, adding that this year should see the smallest harvest of the Côtes du Rhône in the past 40 years.

Certainly no threat over all of any D0 abnormally dry for much of or at least parts of the OV after this kind of very nice multi day soaker.

Currently 55 here in G'ville and progged for around 40 Tues morning.

Having a good time here! Changeable weather but we,got 9 today. My brother got a 30 in.

Central Rockies forecast to get 1-3' of snow over the next 10 days

Talk about a complete turnaround of a weather day! After a crappy start, it sure is nice out now.

Was awesome here today. Sunny and mid 60s. Light winds. Got 11 today mostly 5-7 pounders.

Good Morning and Les hope you are having a great time. Had the procedure last Thursday to remove a golf ball size cyst on the back of my head. Doing better each day and will get the stitches out of my head on Thursday and then heading to SC.

Back to the weather and the second half of April looks much cooler than I expected. This is good news as these troughs have help give rainfall to many folks in the south which is great before the heat turns on next month. Snows in the northern plains is also very good as they have been very dry this winter and getting some spring snows help though not every area got hit but will take everything we can get. The long term model CFSv2 has so many problems and the main problem is when it throws out its longest forecast the current weather is imputed way to much and that model will almost always get it wrong. My dart board does a much better job. Will get back on Friday and at least the weather does not look to hot down there for the next 2 weeks so will be coming back in early May

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Apr 14, 2021 8:28 am Good Morning and Les hope you are having a great time. Had the procedure last Thursday to remove a golf ball size cyst on the back of my head. Doing better each day and will get the stitches out of my head on Thursday and then heading to SC.

Back to the weather and the second half of April looks much cooler than I expected. This is good news as these troughs have help give rainfall to many folks in the south which is great before the heat turns on next month. Snows in the northern plains is also very good as they have been very dry this winter and getting some spring snows help though not every area got hit but will take everything we can get. The long term model CFSv2 has so many problems and the main problem is when it throws out its longest forecast the current weather is imputed way to much and that model will almost always get it wrong. My dart board does a much better job. Will get back on Friday and at least the weather does not look to hot down there for the next 2 weeks so will be coming back in early May

Hi Tim,

Great to hear that your cyst was successfully removed. Did the doc mark it with some dimples for the 'fun' of it?

Currently 55 here in my Greenville.