Severe Weather Threat [Dec 10-11 2021]

[cloudy72]

I’m no storm surveyor - but this sure looks like EF5 damage to me. Mayfield.

B569B6F2-AEE8-4461-BBDD-2C3467092438.jpeg

[MVWxObserver]

I’m no storm surveyor - but this sure looks like EF5 damage to me. Mayfield.


B569B6F2-AEE8-4461-BBDD-2C3467092438.jpeg

Hi Mike,

It looks like EF5 to me, too, with just a concrete foundation slab left behind often in cases of that velocity.

[Bgoney]

Bowling Green Area: Confirmed Tornado with EF-3 damage and wind speeds of 150 mph. Still assessing damage.

[Trevor]

Perhaps this book I’ve had for many years will be irrelevant?

[cloudy72]

Yeah I’m thinking this tornado will surpass 1925 as far as track length. Hopefully we get nowhere near the 695 fatalities that 1925 had.

[MVWxObserver]

Perhaps this book I’ve had for many years will be irrelevant?

I'll have to add a copy of that to my home library sometime, bro.

My maternal grandmother was 7 yrs-old and resided in southwest Indiana when that historic storm system occurred.

[cloudy72]

Image from Jack Sillin on Twitter - very detailed analysis of the Quad State tornado track (technically made it into Ohio!!)

35E042C6-A78D-4A27-BD0B-322571A74750.jpeg

[MVWxObserver]

https://www.whio.com/news/trending/kent ... 7P2JW3C2Y/

A chilling account by a Mayfield survivor.

[MVWxObserver]

Image from Jack Sillin on Twitter - very detailed analysis of the Quad State tornado track (technically made it into Ohio!!)


35E042C6-A78D-4A27-BD0B-322571A74750.jpeg

Looks like that path went just south of Boone Co. Chilling how it made a beeline just past that area of north-central KY where Les and Tim are i.e.

[MVWxObserver]

https://weather.com/news/news/2021-12-1 ... =hp-slot-1

^^ 12 dead in Bowling Green

https://weather.com/storms/severe/video ... =hp-slot-3

^^ Drone view of Mayfield destruction

https://weather.com/photos/news/2021-12 ... =hp-slot-4

https://weather.com/storms/severe/video ... =hp-slot-5

^^ Amazon warehouse in IL

[cloudy72]

Big kudos to the NWS in Paducah - looks like residents in the Mayfield and surrounding areas actually had about a two hour heads up on the tornado.

0F3D7463-E72F-4BCC-AFAD-933EC8AE4EE3.png

[MVWxObserver]

A church that my folks and I worshiped at in Raleigh, NC is having their Christmas cantata tonight.

May get some angels drumming and cymbals accompaniment in the next 45 minutes or so.

[cloudy72]

Last post on this I promise! Lol. But check this out - amazing - Hawaii blizzard and floods - Pacific Jet - transports into USA for historic December tornado outbreak. Now that’s teleconnections at work!


#KonaLow Pacific jet catastrophic December #tornado outbreak

[tpweather]

Last post on this I promise! Lol. But check this out - amazing - Hawaii blizzard and floods - Pacific Jet - transports into USA for historic December tornado outbreak. Now that’s teleconnections at work!


#KonaLow Pacific jet catastrophic December #tornado outbreak

Great Post and the STJ has no doubt got its act in gear. We talked about this in November as the STJ was not ready to get in gear along with the polar jet staying well to the north and we ended up with a lackluster November over much of the country. This changed in early Dec and both decided to start playing ball here in the lower 48. The STJ looks to remain active and yes the polar jet heading further south and east. This should continue to be a very active second half of Dec and will the polar air push far enough south and east to get us into some winter weather. My guess is yes but what form will that entail. During the month of November the southeast ridge was barely there at all but once we hit December its reared its ugly head.

[MVWxObserver]

The death toll has topped 80 in KY alone.

[MVWxObserver]

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/211210_rpts.gif

^^ Fri Dec 10th

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/211211_rpts.gif

^^ Sat Dec 11th

561 reports from the 2 day event!

[tpweather]

Good Morning, I had a cousin who lived in Mayfield for many years before he retired. He was in the gun and rifle business for what company I am not sure of that. I know he lives in Alabama once he retired so he could hunt more often without the really cold weather for the most part. His daughter or my second cousin loved guns and ended up in law enforcement as a local cop,then detective on a railroad company,working for the FBI and then a secret service agent. That is someone who loves the law of the land.

[MVWxObserver]

Good Morning, I had a cousin who lived in Mayfield for many years before he retired. He was in the gun and rifle business for what company I am not sure of that. I know he lives in Alabama once he retired so he could hunt more often without the really cold weather for the most part. His daughter or my second cousin loved guns and ended up in law enforcement as a local cop,then detective on a railroad company,working for the FBI and then a secret service agent. That is someone who loves the law of the land.

Hi Tim,

I wonder if the building where your cousin had his business remained intact among the destruction?

We may never know.

[MVWxObserver]

https://www.whio.com/news/trending/kent ... SSYCCLBVU/

A family photo from Dawson Springs, KY ended up at a property in New Albany, IN in the storms.

The founder, thankfully, was able to connect with the owner via social media.

[tron777]

Leaving this up a while longer until we find out officially a few things this week. EF rating of the Mayfield, KY tornado and the actual track of that supercell that hammered folks from AR to KY.

[airwolf76]

heard a report the Mayfield tornado had winds approaching 300 mph 800 ft above the ground. not sure what that translates to the surface but I imagine wind gusts of 200 mph maybe at ground level.

[Bgoney]

So far from LOU


Tornado damage found so far (as of 11pm Dec 12):



*Bowling Green Area: Confirmed tornado with EF-3 damage and wind speeds of 155 mph. Twelve fatalities. Still assessing damage.



*Ohio County: EF-3 tornado (140 mph winds). Still assessing damage.



*Hart County: EF-1 tornado (90 mph winds) in Horse Cave and EF-2 tornado (115 mph winds) in Hardyville



*Western Spencer County: EF-1 tornado (95 mph winds)



*Breckinridge/Grayson Counties: EF-1 tornado (105 mph winds) near Falls of Rough.



*Taylor County: EF-3 tornado (140 mph winds). One fatality. Still assessing damage.

[Bgoney]

IMO Mayfield will definitely be EF3 with EF4 damage mixed in

[tron777]

Found this from WAVE3 in LOU:

SURVEYS ONGOING (2:15PM MON): Here's what we know so far about the damage level from tornadoes in KY Dec 10-11. It will take a while longer to see any upgrades to EF-4 to EF-5 level damage as more time and national resources are needed. #WAVE3Weather app: https://qrco.de/bcAP8x

TORSurveys.jpg

[tron777]