March 2024 Weather Discussion

[MVWxObserver]

CVG got to 75, DAY 73 and CMH 74 today.

[Trevor]

Heavy rain may be our biggest threat tonight. Training setting up to the west of town. Severe threat in Cincy is low. Better chance south of the river.

[snowbo]

.6 inches for the day. Incredible light show, some nice gusts and marble sized hail for a bit. Not nearly the damage as they had up north!

[snowbo]

Saw this on another weatherboard: Winchester Indiana has 22 people missing...109 people from Winchester county hospitalized and four people confirmed dead. Nursing home, elementary school, hospital, and so many homes and businesses were hit throughout Winchester and Selma. Please pray for the families.

Daylight will bring some startling pictures!

[tron777]

Good morning all and Happy Friday! Well we did it Tim! 0.58" at CVG and about 6 tenths here. We'll take it!

[tron777]

A cooler day today with wrap around showers possible, temp staying in the 50s. Then we get back into the 60s tomorrow with some sunshine. Sunday is cool again, low 50s with the 30s on Mon with a rain / snow shower possible, esp. North. 40s to maybe 50 Tues then we're back into the 50s and 60s after that. After Monday, a good chunk of next week is dry and seasonal.

[tron777]

Long range wise... we are losing the cold signal and gaining a heavy rain / t-storm signal for the rest of March. We need to watch the 26-28th period and end of month / Easter. March may go out like a lion since it came in like a lamb this year.

[tron777]

Code: Select all

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
155 AM EDT Fri Mar 15 2024

...DAMAGE SURVEYS PLANNED TODAY...

Due to recent severe weather across our area, the National Weather
Service plans to conduct storm damage surveys today. We will be 
in contact with emergency managers from affected counties to 
determine which locations will be surveyed.

If you have observed any weather-related damage, please report it
to the National Weather Service via severe weather reporting
methods or by calling 937-383-0031.

[tron777]

Fatalities have been confirmed from the Wapa / Lakeview tornado:

https://www.whio.com/news/local/injurie ... CV3VTT5N4/

[tpweather]

Good morning all and Happy Friday! Well we did it Tim! 0.58" at CVG and about 6 tenths here. We'll take it!

Good Morning Les and 0.66 here so happy with that but sad about the loss of life yesterday. Locally we missed much of the severe weather but it was very close by and sure the NWS was so busy last night. I have no ideal if these were F1,2,or 3 and sure we will get information on that later today.

[tron777]

Good morning all and Happy Friday! Well we did it Tim! 0.58" at CVG and about 6 tenths here. We'll take it!

Good Morning Les and 0.66 here so happy with that but sad about the loss of life yesterday. Locally we missed much of the severe weather but it was very close by and sure the NWS was so busy last night. I have no ideal if these were F1,2,or 3 and sure we will get information on that later today.

Lots of damage reports for sure and it'll be interesting to see the final tornado count and how long some of them were on the ground. This spring looks active so these last couple of events, are only the beginning.

[tpweather]

Good morning all and Happy Friday! Well we did it Tim! 0.58" at CVG and about 6 tenths here. We'll take it!

Good Morning Les and 0.66 here so happy with that but sad about the loss of life yesterday. Locally we missed much of the severe weather but it was very close by and sure the NWS was so busy last night. I have no ideal if these were F1,2,or 3 and sure we will get information on that later today.

Lots of damage reports for sure and it'll be interesting to see the final tornado count and how long some of them were on the ground. This spring looks active so these last couple of events, are only the beginning.

Looks very active and hopefully this leads to a good deal of rain without the severe weather

[Bgoney]

Impressive start to severe season , especially the OV. In hindsight of course, but with the impressive parameters yesterday, I wonder why the SPC didn’t have an enhanced area for our region? At least I didn’t see one, unless they added it very late to the game

[tpweather]

Impressive start to severe season , especially the OV. In hindsight of course, but with the impressive parameters yesterday, I wonder why the SPC didn’t have an enhanced area for our region?

Bgoney it was interesting and to me Tuesday and Wednesday the wind energy was not showing a big event but I believe that was wrong and it happens with models. Still I thought there was enough data to support a little more concern but again sometimes Mother Nature will do what she does and of course she is so much smarter than the models lol

[tron777]

Storm Reports from the SPC:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

Just the slight risk was all I saw. Enhanced was down in AR and OK. I did play the event too conservatively. The HRRR actually did a great job.

[cloudy72]

Wonder where Ohio will stand on the tornado count for 2024 YTD after the surveys are done? I know I saw a list somewhere that had us in the top 5. Definitely an active start to the season!

[cloudy72]

Storm Reports from the SPC:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

Just the slight risk was all I saw. Enhanced was down in AR and OK. I did play the event too conservatively. The HRRR actually did a great job.

I only saw the slight risk as well. Goes to show you our outbreaks can be quite unpredictable. I have seen moderate risk days a lot calmer than yesterday was,

[Bgoney]

Impressive start to severe season , especially the OV. In hindsight of course, but with the impressive parameters yesterday, I wonder why the SPC didn’t have an enhanced area for our region?

Bgoney it was interesting and to me Tuesday and Wednesday the wind energy was not showing a big event but I believe that was wrong and it happens with models. Still I thought there was enough data to support a little more concern but again sometimes Mother Nature will do what she does and of course she is so much smarter than the models lol

Absolutely Tim. But I do think by their normal early afternoon update yesterday it was evident that there was a pretty good bullseye in Indiana/Ohio with the late afternoon/evening activity

[tron777]

Storm Reports from the SPC:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

Just the slight risk was all I saw. Enhanced was down in AR and OK. I did play the event too conservatively. The HRRR actually did a great job.

I only saw the slight risk as well. Goes to show you our outbreaks can be quite unpredictable. I have seen moderate risk days a lot calmer than yesterday was,

I agree Mike. It seems that the marginal / slight risk days over perform and the Moderate / High risk days don't.

[tpweather]

Impressive start to severe season , especially the OV. In hindsight of course, but with the impressive parameters yesterday, I wonder why the SPC didn’t have an enhanced area for our region?

Bgoney it was interesting and to me Tuesday and Wednesday the wind energy was not showing a big event but I believe that was wrong and it happens with models. Still I thought there was enough data to support a little more concern but again sometimes Mother Nature will do what she does and of course she is so much smarter than the models lol

Absolutely Tim. But I do think by their normal early afternoon update yesterday it was evident that there was a pretty good bullseye in Indiana/Ohio with the late afternoon/evening activity

100p/c agree and really by the afternoon update like you mentioned the models were on top of it and also how severe it may become. I thought the leftovers from the morning and enough energy from the southern system involved was a recipe for a rather large outbreak. Once I saw that cell earlier in the day that went through parts of southeast Indiana and northern Kentucky this told me the atmosphere is primed and primed for tornado's.

[tron777]

Impressive start to severe season , especially the OV. In hindsight of course, but with the impressive parameters yesterday, I wonder why the SPC didn’t have an enhanced area for our region?

Bgoney it was interesting and to me Tuesday and Wednesday the wind energy was not showing a big event but I believe that was wrong and it happens with models. Still I thought there was enough data to support a little more concern but again sometimes Mother Nature will do what she does and of course she is so much smarter than the models lol

Absolutely Tim. But I do think by their normal early afternoon update yesterday it was evident that there was a pretty good bullseye in Indiana/Ohio with the late afternoon/evening activity

100p/c agree and really by the afternoon update like you mentioned the models were on top of it and also how severe it may become. I thought the leftovers from the morning and enough energy from the southern system involved was a recipe for a rather large outbreak. Once I saw that cell earlier in the day that went through parts of southeast Indiana and northern Kentucky this told me the atmosphere is primed and primed for tornado's.

I echo the being surprised part. That loan supercell was a good lesson for me. I figured it would be a good outbreak too after that cell plus the fact that we had ample sunshine for the atmosphere to recover after the first round moved thru.

[tron777]

At least 3 dead now. Indian Lake got hit hard and the State Park remains closed.

https://spectrumnews1.com/oh/columbus/n ... re-weather

[tron777]

[tron777]

Down to 49 at CVG right now with light rain / drizzle being reported.

[tron777]

Code: Select all

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1241 PM EDT Fri Mar 15 2024

...EF1 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN SWITZERLAND COUNTY INDIANA...

The National Weather Service office in Louisville KY has
confirmed an EF1 tornado southwest of Vevay in Switzerland County,
Indiana. Survey teams are currently conducting a storm survey in
the area and in locations further east into Carroll County,
Kentucky. The survey is in relation to the severe thunderstorms
that moved through the area on March 14, 2024.

A final assessment including results of the survey are expected
to be completed and transmitted via a Public Information
Statement by later this evening.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington OH would like to thank
the National Weather SErvice in Louisville KY for support and
assistance with this survey.

The storm survey information will also be available on our
website at http://www.weather.gov/iln


Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1236 PM EDT Fri Mar 15 2024

...EF1 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN LICKING COUNTY OHIO...

The National Weather Service office in Wilmington OH has confirmed
an EF1 tornado north of Johnstown in Licking County, Ohio. Survey
teams are currently conducting a storm survey in the area and in
locations further west. The survey is in relation to the severe
thunderstorms that moved through the area on March 14, 2024.

A final assessment including results of the survey are expected
to be completed and transmitted via a Public Information
Statement by later this evening.

The storm survey information will also be available on our
website at http://www.weather.gov/iln

$$


Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1139 AM EDT Fri Mar 15 2024

...EF-1 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN WESTERN MERCER COUNTY OHIO...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington, Ohio has confirmed an EF-
1 tornado occurred in far western Mercer County, OH, Thursday
afternoon. The survey remains ongoing at this time, with additional
details still to come.

Additional information, including tornado estimated maximum wind
speeds and track data, will be made available later this evening.
A final assessment, including results of the survey, are expected
to be completed and transmitted via a Public Information Statement
later this evening or tomorrow.

The storm survey information will also be available on our website
at http://weather.gov/iln.