Possible Severe Wx Outbreak 6/25/23

MVWxObserver · Post by **MVWxObserver** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 4:20 pm

82 with a DP of 64 here in Greenville.

tpweather · Post by **tpweather** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 4:21 pm

dce wrote: ↑Sun Jun 25, 2023 4:14 pm
tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jun 25, 2023 4:02 pm The NWS at Louisville has issued a Tornado watch until 8pm for much of the area and still waiting on CVG.
I'm probably out of the loop. I know Norman Oklahoma used to issue all severe thunderstorm and tornado watches. Has that now changed?

Doug that is a great question and I forgot that they issued the severe weather. I guess they still do but I am sure they are in touch with each local NWS before issuing a watch or warning.

tpweather · Post by **tpweather** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 4:27 pm

Okay the tornado watch has been issued for the western half of Ohio and southeast Indiana and northern Kentucky

MVWxObserver · Post by **MVWxObserver** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 4:30 pm

Hopefully you guys and gals have brought inside any loose items that could be potential airborne "missiles." I brought in some planted pot flowers, some on a rack and all, and an outside chair.

MVWxObserver · Post by **MVWxObserver** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 4:33 pm

* Primary threats include...

A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely

Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible

MVWxObserver · Post by **MVWxObserver** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 4:38 pm

* Primary threats include...

A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible

Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible

MVWxObserver · Post by **MVWxObserver** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 4:41 pm

* Primary threats include...

A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible

Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible

Post by **Trevor** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 5:20 pm

Debris clouds and showers developing ahead of the activity looks to be causing a disruption in convective maintenance to our west. Threat for Cincy appears to be decreasing.

N8ACR · Post by **N8ACR** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 5:24 pm

Trevor wrote: ↑Sun Jun 25, 2023 5:20 pm Debris clouds and showers developing ahead of the activity looks to be causing a disruption in convective maintenance to our west. Threat for Cincy appears to be decreasing.

Was popping by to say this. Unless there’s enough sun to get things going again behind the main line ahead of the front, the immediate area is looking fairly OK right now.

Post by **Trevor** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 5:29 pm

N8ACR wrote: ↑Sun Jun 25, 2023 5:24 pm
Trevor wrote: ↑Sun Jun 25, 2023 5:20 pm Debris clouds and showers developing ahead of the activity looks to be causing a disruption in convective maintenance to our west. Threat for Cincy appears to be decreasing.
Was popping by to say this. Unless there’s enough sun to get things going again behind the main line ahead of the front, the immediate area is looking fairly OK right now.

Yup I think we’re out of the woods here. Threat remains for KY counties especially south of Boone, Kenton, Campbell.

Post by **tron777** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 5:51 pm

Looks like some light rain coming my way, probably less then what I got this morning. 0.11" is my current total going into the current round. SW of us is the place to be with this one. Models certainly busted on coverage IMO as well as timing.

Bgoney · Post by **Bgoney** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 5:51 pm

IMG_0389.jpeg

Post by **tron777** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 5:51 pm

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL JACKSON AND SOUTHERN JENNINGS COUNTIES...

At 545 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 8 miles southeast of Seymour, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and two inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

Locations impacted include...
Paris Crossing.

This includes Interstate 65 between mile markers 40 and 48.

tpweather · Post by **tpweather** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:07 pm

Good Evening and maybe the models were not great but I was not either on this forecast. When you see energy that is split you must be careful as this can lead to an area between the two pieces that gets the shaft sort of speak. One piece in southern Michigan so you are seeing some stronger storms in Northern Ohio and southern Michigan and with the heat and humidity to the southwest some of those storms sort of headed towards that area. I believe yesterday Bgoney mentioned how some severe weather was possible but rainfall might not be for everyone and that looks to be the case. Well done. We saw the heat index southwest of us getting between 95-100 around Louisville but we made it to 90 or 91 at best and though that seems warm enough the storms on the south part of this system headed towards those areas

Post by **tron777** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:18 pm

I like seeing additional development too our NW for rain prospects. I'm glad my car and crops won't get damaged.

Lawn and gardens need the rain. Currently down to 77 degrees here with light rain falling and some thunder and lightning. Nothing severe. No wind or hail.

Post by **tron777** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:29 pm

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southwestern Switzerland County in southeastern Indiana...
Carroll County in northern Kentucky...

* Until 700 PM EDT.

* At 613 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Madison,
moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect
wind damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Carrollton, Vevay, Ghent, Prestonville, Brooksburg, Braytown,
Interstate 71 at Mile Marker 40, Interstate 71 at State Route 227,
Langstaff, Locust, Moorefield, English, Easterday, General Butler
State Park, Mount Sterling and Jacksonville.

BCW · Post by **BCW** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:30 pm

The storms must have took their ques from Will Benson today...

young pup · Post by **young pup** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:32 pm

So far radar is not looking good for development of a lot of severe in the area. Worked today and could definitely tell the dew point was up.

Post by **tron777** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:37 pm

I think after 8pm we are good to go at least in my hood for some fireworks testing.

MVWxObserver · Post by **MVWxObserver** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:45 pm

My gauge picked up .48" from this morning.

I haven't checked it since then.

MVWxObserver · Post by **MVWxObserver** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:49 pm

BCW wrote: ↑Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:30 pm The storms must have took their ques from Will Benson today...

Hopefully our guys can get back on track again as they head to Baltimore to play the birdies for a 3 game series.

The O's are tough though, too, this season so we'll see.

House of Cards · Post by **House of Cards** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:51 pm

It’s the olde Cincinnati Split, Tim.

MVWxObserver · Post by **MVWxObserver** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:53 pm

2010 2 ENE Waverly Johnson IN 3957 8624 Multiple videos on social media of a tornado on the ground at the intersection of I-69 and SR-144. (IND)

2020 3 WNW New Whiteland Johnson IN 3958 8616 Multiple videos sent in on social media of a tornado on the ground near Stones Crossing Road and State Road 135. Time estimated via radar. (IND)

2033 Crane Martin IN 3890 8690 Confirmed tornado ... debris visible rotating on the ground. (IND)

2033 2 N New Whiteland Johnson IN 3959 8610 Multiple pictures from the public of a possible tornado near Highway 31 and Worthsville Road. (IND)

Post by **tron777** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:58 pm

Sun is back out here.

Post by **tron777** » Sun Jun 25, 2023 7:03 pm

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Eastern Carroll County in northern Kentucky...
Owen County in northern Kentucky...

* Until 730 PM EDT.

* At 647 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles southeast
of Carrollton, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Owenton, Sanders, Corinth, Worthville, Monterey, Gratz, Elk Lake,
Beechwood, Harmony, Interstate 71 at Mile Marker 52, Long Ridge,
Wheatley, Natlee, New Liberty, Squiresville, Eagle Station, New
Columbus and Elmer Davis Lake.

Possible Severe Wx Outbreak 6/25/23

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