January 2023 Weather Discussion

[tron777]

Where my cousin lives. He's in charge of the road department. He had to send some trucks out to clear some roads. Said they got 3 inches. This is around Columbia Mo. Said it was 60 degrees yesterday. We shall see if this sticks together and hits anyone in Ohio.

Hey JP! It is doubtful in my opinion. It should be a rain changing to snow kind of thing by the time it tracks towards IND and I-70 in Ohio.

[MVWxObserver]

From Wed ...

0823 175 MARION CRITTENDEN KY 3734 8808 PHOTOS OF GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL IN MARION. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (PAH)

0849 100 CLAY WEBSTER KY 3748 8782 QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN CLAY. (PAH)

0921 100 2 WNW SEBREE WEBSTER KY 3762 8757 REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.). (PAH)

0934 175 1 NNW REIDLAND MCCRACKEN KY 3702 8853 GOLFBALL HAIL REPORTED IN REIDLAND. (PAH)

0935 100 REIDLAND MCCRACKEN KY 3701 8853 QUARTER SIZED HAIL BETWEEN EXITS 16 AND 17 IN THE REIDLAND AREA. (PAH)

0943 100 IRELAND DUBOIS IN 3842 8700 QUARTER-SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN IRELAND IN NORTHWEST DUBOIS COUNTY. (LMK)

0947 100 1 SE CALVERT CITY MARSHALL KY 3703 8834 REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.). (PAH)

1012 100 2 W PRINCETON CALDWELL KY 3711 8791 (PAH)

1019 175 2 WNW SEBREE WEBSTER KY 3762 8757 REPORT FROM MPING: GOLF BALL (1.75 IN.). (PAH)

1035 100 CRESTWOOD OLDHAM KY 3834 8548 MULTIPLE REPORTS ON SOCIAL MEDIA OF 1 INCH HAIL. (LMK)

1145 UNK 2 E MCDANIELS BRECKINRIDGE KY 3760 8639 REPORTS OF BARN DAMAGE AND TREE LIMBS DOWN AT A TOBACCO FARM. (LMK)

1147 UNK 2 SW MADRID BRECKINRIDGE KY 3760 8638 ROOF DAMAGE TO BEN JOHNSON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL GYM. (LMK)

***********************************************************************************************************

From Thurs so far ...

1230 UNK 6 ENE EPLEYS STATION LOGAN KY 3696 8681 DAMAGE TO A FEW BARNS ... A GARAGE ... GRAIN BIN ... AND LIGHT POLES DOWN ON BARREN BAILEY ROAD. (LMK)

1244 100 3 SW WOODBURY BUTLER KY 3716 8668 ESTIMATED QUARTER (1.0 INCH) SIZED HAIL FELL AT A CONSTRUCTION COMPANY OFFICE BUILDING IN SUGAR GROVE. (LMK)

1250 UNK 5 SSE ROUNDHILL BUTLER KY 3716 8642 TREE DOWN ON REEDYVILLE RD NEAR THE BUTLER WARREN COUNTY LINE. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR DATA. (LMK)

1252 UNK 6 SSE ROUNDHILL WARREN KY 3715 8641 TREE DOWN ON KY-185 NEAR THE WARREN/BUTLER COUNTY LINE. (LMK)

1253 100 1 N SINKING SPRING HIGHLAND OH 3909 8339 TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

1312 UNK 2 ENE TONNIEVILLE LARUE KY 3761 8577 TREE DOWN ON OLD ELIZABETHTOWN ROAD. (LMK)

1319 UNK MUNFORDVILLE HART KY 3728 8590 TREE DOWN ON OLD MAIN ST. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (LMK)

1325 UNK 1 W CANMER HART KY 3728 8580 TREE DOWN ON BOYDS KNOB RD. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR. (LMK)

1325 UNK 3 N BALLTOWN NELSON KY 3777 8550 ALSO TREES DOWN ON ST. THOMAS RD. AND NEW HAVEN RD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (LMK)

1328 UNK 2 S BARDSTOWN NELSON KY 3778 8547 DOWNED TREES ON LORETTO RD NEAR WILLETT DISTILLERY. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (LMK)

1330 UNK 1 N RAYWICK MARION KY 3758 8543 TREES DOWN IN RAYWICK. (LMK)

1335 58 4 SSW SPRINGFIELD WASHINGTON KY 3764 8524 REPORT FROM K6I2 ASOS VIA NWS CHAT OF A WIND GUST OF KNOTS. (LMK)

1345 UNK PLEASUREVILLE HENRY KY 3835 8511 LIGHT POLES AND TREES DOWN ON THE INTERSECTION OF WILLIAMS STREET AND MAIN STREET. (LMK)

1350 UNK 2 W SUMMERSVILLE GREEN KY 3732 8566 DAMAGE TO A PORCH ROOF AND PLAYGROUND OCCURRED ON ATENA GROVE CHURCH ROAD. (LMK)

1404 UNK HARRODSBURG MERCER KY 3776 8485 DAMAGE TO MANY BUILDINGS AND TREES DOWN IN DOWNTOWN HARRODSBURG. (LMK)

1404 UNK 2 WNW HARRODSBURG MERCER KY 3778 8488 DAMAGE TO HOMES ... BARNS ... TREES ... AND FENCES ALONG PORTIONS OF CORNISHVILLE ROAD. (LMK)

1407 UNK 3 NNE DANVILLE BOYLE KY 3768 8474 MAJOR DAMAGE TO NEW GARAGE ... MINOR DAMAGE TO BARNS ... HOMES ... AND TREES DOWN NEAR WATERWORKS ROAD OUTSIDE OF DANVILLE. (LMK)

1422 UNK 3 WSW BUCKEYE GARRARD KY 3770 8455 TREE REPORTED DOWN ACROSS POOR RIDGE PIKE NEAR SAD LN. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR. (LMK)

1423 UNK 2 NW WILLIAMSTOWN GRANT KY 3866 8458 ROOF BLOWN OFF HOME ON ARLINGTON COURT. INSULATION BLOWN ONTO NEIGHBORING HOUSE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR DATA. (ILN)

1435 UNK 3 WNW RICHMOND MADISON KY 3776 8434 VIA SOCIAL MEDIA ... IMAGES SHOW A CAR FLIPPED ON ITS SIDE ... TREES DOWN ALONG WITH ROOF AND GUTTER DAMAGE ON LAKERIDGE DRIVE IN RICHMOND. (LMK)

1445 UNK 3 ENE RICHMOND MADISON KY 3777 8424 DISPATCHER REPORTED A BARN DAMAGED ON RUNYON GROVE RD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (LMK)

1448 UNK 4 SSE REDHOUSE MADISON KY 3778 8423 DISPATCHER REPORTED SEVERAL DAMAGE REPORTS HERE. HOMES ... TREES ... RVS. IN THE BRAEMAR DR ... TAZWELL DR ... AND HOOVER CIRCLE AREA. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR. (LMK)

1510 UNK 1 N KNOWLTON POWELL KY 3780 8384 REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ACROSS KY-213 HEADING UP FURNACE MTN. (JKL)

1514 UNK 1 E CAT CREEK POWELL KY 3785 8379 TREE BLOWN DOWN DURING THUNDERSTORM. (JKL)

1530 100 1 SW MEREDITH GRAYSON KY 3739 8624 QUARTER (1.0 INCH) SIZED HAIL FELL NEAR A DOLLAR GENERAL SOUTH OF PEONIA. (LMK)

1540 UNK 2 ESE CAMPTON WOLFE KY 3773 8352 TREE REPORTED DOWN ACROSS KY-2491 JUST EAST OF CAMPTON. (JKL)

[Bgoney]

Nothing says mid January like seeing a big Ole night-crawler making its way across the drive

[tron777]

Nothing says mid January like seeing a big Ole night-crawler making its way across the drive

Wish I had better soil. All I ever see are those little red worms. My Brother's old house up in Warren co... OMG, I can't tell you how many dozen we picked out of his yard. Rarely ever bought crawlers to go fishing back in those days. Reminded me a lot of my Grandma's yard back in the days when she lived in Detroit.

[young pup]

Where my cousin lives. He's in charge of the road department. He had to send some trucks out to clear some roads. Said they got 3 inches. This is around Columbia Mo. Said it was 60 degrees yesterday. We shall see if this sticks together and hits anyone in Ohio.

Hey JP! It is doubtful in my opinion. It should be a rain changing to snow kind of thing by the time it tracks towards IND and I-70 in Ohio.

Les, thanks. The models agree as well for here. Sometimes winter does surprise us though.

[tron777]

Where my cousin lives. He's in charge of the road department. He had to send some trucks out to clear some roads. Said they got 3 inches. This is around Columbia Mo. Said it was 60 degrees yesterday. We shall see if this sticks together and hits anyone in Ohio.

Hey JP! It is doubtful in my opinion. It should be a rain changing to snow kind of thing by the time it tracks towards IND and I-70 in Ohio.

Les, thanks. The models agree as well for here. Sometimes winter does surprise us though.

Definitely! Watching the Lake Michigan connection for a small band of enhanced snow showers for tomorrow. Modeling generally keeps it west / SW of our local area which makes sense based on the projected wind flow. Every once and a while though if the flow is right, My hood / Cincinnati can get in on that, but it's very very rare. We'll all see snow shower activity tomorrow regardless, was just pinpointing where the best location could be for an actual accumulation to take place.

[young pup]

Where my cousin lives. He's in charge of the road department. He had to send some trucks out to clear some roads. Said they got 3 inches. This is around Columbia Mo. Said it was 60 degrees yesterday. We shall see if this sticks together and hits anyone in Ohio.

Hey JP! It is doubtful in my opinion. It should be a rain changing to snow kind of thing by the time it tracks towards IND and I-70 in Ohio.

Les, thanks. The models agree as well for here. Sometimes winter does surprise us though.

Definitely! Watching the Lake Michigan connection for a small band of enhanced snow showers for tomorrow. Modeling generally keeps it west / SW of our local area which makes sense based on the projected wind flow. Every once and a while though if the flow is right, My hood / Cincinnati can get in on that, but it's very very rare. We'll all see snow shower activity tomorrow regardless, was just pinpointing where the best location could be for an actual accumulation to take place.

Whoever gets it, I hope they enjoy it.

[Bgoney]

Screenshot_20230112-120106_Chrome.jpg

[Bgoney]

Noon totals. DAY-.55. CVG-.62. LUK-.72. CBUS- .69 . ILN- .67

[cloudy72]

0.49" in my hood thus far

[tron777]

Surface low that Bgoney just posted above is now down to 1002 MB as it tracks NE thru our CWA towards the Columbus area and eventually towards PA. Dry slot will be moving in with rain on the NW side of the low track for our NW counties over towards Dayton.

[tron777]

Once we get by next week's rain makers, the 12Z models so far continue to look optimistic if not by next weekend, then shortly thereafter for wintry weather. As more and more data comes in each day, it is looking more and more possible for that gradient pattern that I talked about to come to fruition. It is definitely a high risk, high reward type of pattern where you must be on the correct side of the thermal boundary to get wintry precip. Otherwise, get out the boats as it'll be more rain on top of what has already fallen (today and what's to come next week). So for flooding purposes, even if you don't like wintry weather, you'd better hope and pray we're on the correct side of the boundary here. Otherwise, it'll be flood talk for some locations in our region.

[tron777]

LOU's CWA has had 1 confirmed tornado so far:





EDIT: Wow! Per CB, that same area also had a small earthquake as well.

[Bgoney]

Is there a weather betting app where you could have placed a bet on that. Odds at 100 bzillion to one

[tron777]

Wow... a heavy shower just moved in here and the NW wind has really picked up! Front just passed... temps will drop now.

[tpweather]

I'd like to wish Dave - HouseofCards - a very Happy Birthday today! Hope you have enjoyed the fireworks from Mother Nature this morning!

Happy Birthday Dave. Hope you have a wonderful day!!!

[tron777]

Is there a weather betting app where you could have placed a bet on that. Odds at 100 bzillion to one

I did a google search and something like this actually does exist where you can place bets on weather forecasts and weather events occurring as well.

[Bgoney]

Is there a weather betting app where you could have placed a bet on that. Odds at 100 bzillion to one

I did a google search and something like this actually does exist where you can place bets on weather forecasts and weather events occurring as well.

Well there you go, lol. Put me down for a penny

[tron777]

Is there a weather betting app where you could have placed a bet on that. Odds at 100 bzillion to one

I did a google search and something like this actually does exist where you can place bets on weather forecasts and weather events occurring as well.

Well there you go, lol. Put me down for a penny

I'll make it a dollar and we can all retire!

[tron777]

Oh no... A major tornado went through downtown Selma, AL and now a tornado emergency is out ahead of it as it moves NE thru AL at 50 mph. It is still on the ground as of this post destroying whatever is in its path.

EDIT: Latest radar loop for that area:

KBMX_loop.gif

[MVWxObserver]

LOU's CWA has had 1 confirmed tornado so far:





EDIT: Wow! Per CB, that same area also had a small earthquake as well.

A quakenado!

[tron777]

LOU's CWA has had 1 confirmed tornado so far:


EDIT: Wow! Per CB, that same area also had a small earthquake as well.

A quakenado!

Better then a sharknado!

Sharknado.PNG

[winterstormjoe]

LOU's CWA has had 1 confirmed tornado so far:


EDIT: Wow! Per CB, that same area also had a small earthquake as well.

A quakenado!

Better then a sharknado!


Sharknado.PNG

I need to see that movie. Lol

If my memory serves me right on April 3rd 1974 when we had the Tornado outbreak there was a small tremor in NW Indiana that day. Maybe there's a correlation between pressure drops and weak fault lines? Who knows!

[tron777]

I need to see that movie. Lol

If my memory serves me right on April 3rd 1974 when we had the Tornado outbreak there was a small tremor in NW Indiana that day. Maybe there's a correlation between pressure drops and weak fault lines? Who knows!

That would be an interesting topic for a research project Joe! If I only had the time.

[Bgoney]

A few stats out west for some mtn resort areas. And what is expected the next 6 days to add on top of that.

Southern Sierra on track for Wettest Winter in the past 40 years..
Southern Sierra has an average of 276% of normal to date with 30 inches of water in snow pack
Southern Sierra is 132% of normal for the entire water year
Bishop is 374% of normal to date with 8.49 inches of water
Bishop is 136% of normal for entire water year which ends September 2023
Mammoth Pass;
Mammoth Pass has 40 inches of water to date.
40 inches is 94% of normal for the entire winter
40 Inches is also 201 % of normal for the date and is ahead precipitation wise of any year on record.

RSA_QPF_Days1-6.jpg