May 2021 Weather Discussion

[MVWxObserver]

My gauge picked up .60" for final total Mon.

Looking forward to the warming trend starting Wed!

Currently 55 here in Greenville.

[tron777]

Good morning all! Upper 50s out there this morning with some clouds. Our last day of normal to below normal temps. Mid 70s expected today which is normal. Can't rule out a shower or storm in scattered fashion. The 80s begin tomorrow and last into early next week. Rain chances look to be just about gone by tomorrow and 100% dry for Thurs - Sat. GFS brings in small storm chances Sun while the Euro waits until sometime next week. I would bet on warm and dry weather once the ridge gets established. How long does it take to break down are where the models differ.

[tron777]

StormTalk! https://www.wave3.com/2021/05/18/goode- ... ther-blog/

[tron777]

Seeing some light rain here and per radar, coverage wise, it is looking more and more persistent. No worries... with those mid and upper 80s coming, we'll need to moisture to make it through this warm stretch. Mid to late next week, the ridge should break down and we'll be back to storms / 70s.

[Sawdoggie]

Maybe they gave up on long term forecasting?!

Screen Shot 2021-05-18 at 1.34.55 PM.png

[tron777]

It's fixed now... Easy forecast. Dry Thurs - early next week with highs in the mid to upper 80s with lows in the 60s.

[tron777]

78 imby today, 79 at CVG. Tomorrow should yield highs near80 before we soar into the 85 to 90 degree range Thurs into early next week. Any rain chances now look spotty over the next 7 days, Will need to water new plants of course that you are putting in as the warmth is coming on early.

I do think we are back to more wet weather and more 70s versus upper 80s in the long term. GFS breaks the pattern down faster then the Euro. That is the question mark for next week's forecast. Current est puts the pattern change around the 26th of May. Last GFS run showed a strong cold front for Memorial Day Weekend with a brand new cool push of air.

[MVWxObserver]

Wonder if by sometime in early June we'll see a possible MCS set up for the OV and / or start seeing better chances of severe wx in general for much of the OV by early to mid June?

Currently 68 here in Greenville and progged for around 60 Wed morning.

[tron777]

A 20% chance of a shower or storm today otherwise, nothing until maybe the middle of next week. Also seeing the upper 80s becoming likely tomorrow thru the middle of next week. Only 80 to the lower 80s expected today.

[tron777]

StormTalk! https://www.wave3.com/2021/05/19/goode- ... ther-blog/

[cloudy72]

So this afternoon should be interesting.....the HRRR has pretty much nothing while the 3km NAM blows up some scattered storms north of the river along the I-75 corridor after 2:00 or so.

[tron777]

Along and to the East of I-75, visible sat is showing some CU development so we'll see. I think it'll be spotty whatever develops.

[Bgoney]

Northern rockies winter 2021 continues. Lower elevations 6-10" with many trees leaved out, power outages expected. Higher elevations 1-2 feet of snow

[tron777]

12Z GFS continues to look warm and dry until mid to late next week when the pattern begins to change. More fronts and storms with an active / cooler Memorial Day weekend showing up.

[tron777]

12Z Euro keeps us dry until Wed with scattered action possible. Likely chances showing up Thurs afternoon and evening attm.

[tron777]

81 here today, CVG hit 80. Let's see how many 85 plus degree days we can rack up in a row before the pattern breaks by Wed or Thurs next week.

[MVWxObserver]

Currently 79 here in G'ville. DAY reached 82 today.

[cloudy72]

81 here as well

[tron777]

Good Thurs morning to you all! I am still going dry thru Tues of next week. Chance POPS Wed and likely Thurs of next week. Temps mainly holding in that 85 to 90 degree range thru Tues, possibly Wed before we drop a bit into the 70s and lower 80s. Temps are usually cloud / rain coverage dependent. Still seeing a trough for Memorial Day weekend lasting into early June. Overnight Euro family joined the GFS model family on the idea.

[cloudy72]

Happy Thursday, Les! Dropped to 59 in my hood this morning! Feeling more like a summer morning.

[tron777]

StormTalk! https://www.wave3.com/2021/05/20/goode- ... ther-blog/

Good morning Mike! 62 here this morning.

[tron777]

12Z GFS keeps us dry until Wed then chance POPS with the front as it barrels thru the area. A cooler Thurs as a result next week. Then the next system comes in just in time for the Holiday Weekend.

[MVWxObserver]

IN THE GOOD OLE PRE-SUMMER TIME!!

Currently 81 here in Greenville and progged to top out at around 83.

[tron777]

The same is progged for CVG this afternoon. Also currently sitting at 81 under sunny skies.

[tron777]

12Z Euro looking pretty dry. Small chances for rain from Wed onwards next week. Best chance comes over the Holiday weekend.