Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

[tron777]

We have 40 / 70 and 40 / 50 on a couple of waves the ATL basin. The southern most one, may become a player for the East Coast in the long range.

[tron777]

Both waves now have a 70 to 90% chance.

[tron777]

Subtropical Storm Nicole Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022
800 AM AST Mon Nov 07 2022

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE...
...PROLONGED PERIOD OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS, FLORIDA, AND THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES THIS WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.9N 69.1W
ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM E OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.58 INCHES

--------------------------

Nicole could become a problem for the Eastern US and esp FL. Check it out...


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics ... ges_sm.png

[MVWxObserver]

Subtropical Storm Nicole Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022
800 AM AST Mon Nov 07 2022

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE...
...PROLONGED PERIOD OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS, FLORIDA, AND THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES THIS WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.9N 69.1W
ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM E OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.58 INCHES

--------------------------

Nicole could become a problem for the Eastern US and esp FL. Check it out...


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics ... ges_sm.png

Thankfully Nicole effects won't be a problem for FL voters tomorrow.

[tron777]

No but Wed on is a different story...

Subtropical Storm Nicole Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022
700 PM EST Mon Nov 07 2022

...NICOLE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM EST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 70.8W
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM ENE OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 K /H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

[tron777]

Nicole has winds of 50 this morning moving WNW at 8.

[tron777]

Tropical Storm Nicole Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022
1000 AM EST Tue Nov 08 2022

...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 72.7W
ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM NE OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

[MVWxObserver]

A cousin of mine and her fiance reside in Melbourne not far from Orlando.

[tron777]

Nicole gaining strength up to 65 mph now moving W at 10.

Tropical Storm Nicole Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022
400 PM EST Tue Nov 08 2022

...NICOLE INTENSIFYING AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON
WEDNESDAY...
...NEW TROPICAL STORM AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM EST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.5N 73.7W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM NE OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 395 MI...640 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES

[tron777]

I gave Nicole her own thread. Thanks! viewtopic.php?f=14&t=191