April 2022 Weather Discussion
- tron777
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April 2022 Weather Discussion
As we near the second month of Met Spring, the data continues to show cooler then avg temps for the first 10 to 14 days of the month. We may see a cool Easter as well. We will continue to see deep troughs over the East with 3-5 day cool snaps. A few flakes as well. Then we warm up for a day or two, receive strong storms, then cool back down again. This pattern looks to continue to keep repeating itself for the next couple of weeks.
Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Cold springs are getting quite annoying here
Been the trend for a few years now.
Been the trend for a few years now.
- tron777
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Absolutely. This year attm, is looking the same. If the CFS V2 is to be believed, it's 30 day outlook from Mid April to Mid may is solidly below avg for temps.
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Maybe in some ways its 'good' wx wise that this year's Redlegs home opener isn't until April 12th!
Eric
Greenville, OH
Greenville, OH
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
6Z GFS has temps in the low to mid 60s at this time. Naturally it's going to change a bunch between now and then. The chances for snow should be lower then in years past but not zero as last year showed us when we got snow in late April.MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Tue Mar 29, 2022 11:26 am Maybe in some ways its 'good' wx wise that this year's Redlegs home opener isn't until April 12th!
- tron777
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
A quick check of the MJO and before you read any further... guess which phase it's in right now, if any? Think....
Ok, if you guessed the neutral circle, you'd be correct! After phase 3 yet again, the MJO impulse died and that's all she wrote. We continue to be stuck in a pattern where the dominant convection and tropical forcing continues to be focused over the Indian ocean. If we continue to see the MJO make the tour thru the IO phases (mainly 2 and 3) then severe wx risks for us should increase as we eventually get more warmth into the picture. However, we still run the risks of cool shots of air from time to time as well. Same pattern we've basically been in for a while now.
Ok, if you guessed the neutral circle, you'd be correct! After phase 3 yet again, the MJO impulse died and that's all she wrote. We continue to be stuck in a pattern where the dominant convection and tropical forcing continues to be focused over the Indian ocean. If we continue to see the MJO make the tour thru the IO phases (mainly 2 and 3) then severe wx risks for us should increase as we eventually get more warmth into the picture. However, we still run the risks of cool shots of air from time to time as well. Same pattern we've basically been in for a while now.
- tron777
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
April will start off cold with a few flakes even possible tomorrow morning. This is no April's Fools joke either. We'll be on the backside of the upper low by then. A small system zips on by Sat afternoon and night with light rain possible nothing major. We could use some rain here. I didn't get much put of that overnight system. 0.02" here and CVG. so it is needed.
We may see some beneficial rains next week with a slow moving storm system and a couple of frontal passes. Timing of periods of rain is Monday night thru Thurs or so with the last frontal passage. This is a stronger cold front so another shot of cold air comes Fri / Next weekend. Could even end this event with some flakes yet again.
We may see some beneficial rains next week with a slow moving storm system and a couple of frontal passes. Timing of periods of rain is Monday night thru Thurs or so with the last frontal passage. This is a stronger cold front so another shot of cold air comes Fri / Next weekend. Could even end this event with some flakes yet again.
Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
CIPS guidance hinting at another big severe weather outbreak down south from Texas to the Carolinas next Tuesday/Wednesday. Welcome to April!
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH
The KING of the domes!
Miamisburg, OH
The KING of the domes!
- tron777
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Yep! Maybe near or after mid month more warmth can get injected into the pattern and moisture too for some boomers! I'm done with the wind thanks.
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Same here bro!
Some of those gusts yesterday and last night seemed like easy shingle removers i.e.!
Last edited by MVWxObserver on Fri Apr 01, 2022 2:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Eric
Greenville, OH
Greenville, OH
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
I heard it several times yesterday and overnight. Def had some 50+ gusts imby... without a doubt.MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Thu Mar 31, 2022 2:39 pmSame here bro!
Some of those gusts last night seemed like easy shingle removers i.e.!
- tron777
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Models this afternoon thru mid month keep repeating the same pattern. A couple of smaller systems coming up but another warm up and bigger system by Wed and or Thurs of next week. Then we warm up again and get another strong front and cool down just in time for Easter! IMO Easter looks cold right now but the timing of any storm systems between now and then can certainly change. I have to celebrate Easter on a different day this year since I'll most likely be at Lake Erie pre-fishing for the MWC tournament the following week.
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Good morning all! Happy April Fool's Day to you all and Mother Nature has some flakes out there for you to enjoy this morning so she is playing her joke on us all! Next system zips in late Sat / Sat night with a decent Sun and Mon. More rain Tues, Wed, ending as some possible flakes sometime after that with our next shot of cold air towards the end of next week and next weekend.
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Seeing a snow shower right now
- tron777
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Some impressive flakes falling even though nothing is sticking. What say you Trev?
Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Same here - nice snow shower moved through and actually briefly saw some whiteness in flower beds/roof tops. Current Temp is 35 - Low was 34.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH
The KING of the domes!
Miamisburg, OH
The KING of the domes!
Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
There's a dusting on the ground around the Dayton airport.
Brookville, Ohio
Northwest Montgomery county
I70 Corridor
Northwest Montgomery county
I70 Corridor
- tron777
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Looks like the show is winding down here. That's too bad, what a shame!
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- tron777
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
How 'bout dem flakes, Roy!sbpstudios wrote: ↑Fri Apr 01, 2022 11:54 ama few? I think it's more like 5 years straight now. As soon as we kept hitting those above average temps in the middle of March I was like "here we go again"..
- tron777
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Still only around 40 or 41 right now and we're not going to get past the mid 40s due to clouds. Getting a few peaks of the sun but not much.
We've got the little system this weekend that zips on thru. Then for next week, the new GFS run here tracks the low right over us so much further north. More heavier rain would be likely and even a T-storm as a result, if this is correct. Then another front on Wed. with a cut off low bringing unsettled weather thru next weekend. A few rain showers and yes snow flakes again are possible.
We warm up again the following week and do it all again as we approach Easter. It's too early to know about severe wx but if that low on Tues keeps trending more north, well... maybe? Right now TN Valley on South is favored for Tues and Wed.
We've got the little system this weekend that zips on thru. Then for next week, the new GFS run here tracks the low right over us so much further north. More heavier rain would be likely and even a T-storm as a result, if this is correct. Then another front on Wed. with a cut off low bringing unsettled weather thru next weekend. A few rain showers and yes snow flakes again are possible.
We warm up again the following week and do it all again as we approach Easter. It's too early to know about severe wx but if that low on Tues keeps trending more north, well... maybe? Right now TN Valley on South is favored for Tues and Wed.
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Didn't see any snow showers or even a dusting here in G'ville this morning.
Currently 36 which I wish was an April Fool's joke!
Currently 36 which I wish was an April Fool's joke!
Eric
Greenville, OH
Greenville, OH
- tron777
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
12Z Euro is no joke with a large upper low by next Fri and Sat coming thru. Mixed rain and snow showers likely should this solution be correct.
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Re: April 2022 Weather Discussion
Good thing the Redlegs opening series vs the Braves next weekend will be in Atlanta.
Eric
Greenville, OH
Greenville, OH