January 2022 Weather Discussion

[tron777]

Long term looked better on the overnight Ensembles. Still looking very active with all modes of wintry precip showing up late this month and into early Feb.

[tron777]

Graphic per BG showing OV snowfall totals. Of course we know where the haves and have not's have been.

Snowfallstats.jpg

[cloudy72]

Is London really zero? Thinking that's a typo LOL

Dayton's total is 1.9" thus far

[tron777]

Is London really zero? Thinking that's a typo LOL

Dayton's total is 1.9" thus far

I went to the climate report for KLOZ and the snowfall data is missing. Might be why the graphic has a zero on it. They used to keep snowfall stats there. No clue. Would be a question for NWS JKL.

[tpweather]

Is London really zero? Thinking that's a typo LOL

Dayton's total is 1.9" thus far

We know that is not correct,not sure if the totals are taken from London or Corbin.

[westharrisonwx]

Graphic per BG showing OV snowfall totals. Of course we know where the haves and have not's have been.


Snowfallstats.jpg

If they're talking Winter Season (Dec-Jan-Feb), then Indy only has 0.3". Pretty remarkable.

We'll see if this Sunday clipper throws them a bone or not.

[tron777]

Graphic per BG showing OV snowfall totals. Of course we know where the haves and have not's have been.


Snowfallstats.jpg

If they're talking Winter Season (Dec-Jan-Feb), then Indy only has 0.3". Pretty remarkable.

We'll see if this Sunday clipper throws them a bone or not.

I think it will.

[Bgoney]

Head to the beach for winter fun, bring your snow-board!!

Screenshot_20220121-104948_Chrome.jpg

[tpweather]

Good Morning. Something we are starting to see with the models and this usually happens more towards February but the STJ is starting to become a bigger factor. Does that mean we get a storm that phases and the answer is maybe but it can be a bully instead of waiting in the wings. The northern jet will probably have less energy since the cold up in Canada will have moderated and this leads to a more neutral temperature pattern.

[tron777]

Sure looks like a bad ice storm for the beaches. Pretty amazing!!!

Towards the end of next week, the 12Z GFS phases the energy too late so it's another Southern Special. Plenty of time to watch it as well as early Feb which looks stormy and seeing more clashing of the cold and warm which means big storm potential is there. Just need to be on the right side of the boundary. It's almost like a cross between Dec and Jan how early Feb looked on the overnight guidance especially.

[tron777]

PoorIndy.png

[Bgoney]

January snowfall since 2000, cvg

Screenshot_20220121-135431_Chrome.jpg

[dce]

January snowfall since 2000, cvg



Screenshot_20220121-135431_Chrome.jpg

My math may be off. 6.35 inches on average over that period.

[tron777]

January snowfall since 2000, cvg



Screenshot_20220121-135431_Chrome.jpg

My math may be off. 6.35 inches on average over that period.

What amazes me is the variability. We've had very little to a seasons worth of snow.

[cloudy72]

Hey at least we did better than 2020!

[westharrisonwx]

Hey at least we did better than 2020!

That was all on the last day of the month too! Go figure.

[westharrisonwx]

January snowfall since 2000, cvg



Screenshot_20220121-135431_Chrome.jpg

My math may be off. 6.35 inches on average over that period.

What amazes me is the variability. We've had very little to a seasons worth of snow.

Did anyone else notice the pattern of every 5 years we get a double digit monthly snowfall? Pretty consistent since 2004.

[Bgoney]

Including February for comparison

Screenshot_20220121-152133_Chrome.jpg

[tron777]

January snowfall since 2000, cvg



Screenshot_20220121-135431_Chrome.jpg

My math may be off. 6.35 inches on average over that period.

What amazes me is the variability. We've had very little to a seasons worth of snow.

Did anyone else notice the pattern of every 5 years we get a double digit monthly snowfall? Pretty consistent since 2004.

We still have another dud to two to go then.

[tron777]

Including February for comparison




Screenshot_20220121-152133_Chrome.jpg

Def has been a trend in snowier Feb's. If you post Marches, I suspect you would see a similar trend. Conversely, you'd see a decrease in December for sure.

[Bgoney]

January snowfall since 2000, cvg



Screenshot_20220121-135431_Chrome.jpg

My math may be off. 6.35 inches on average over that period.

What amazes me is the variability. We've had very little to a seasons worth of snow.

Did anyone else notice the pattern of every 5 years we get a double digit monthly snowfall? Pretty consistent since 2004.

Nice observation!! 2 years to go!!!

[westharrisonwx]

January snowfall since 2000, cvg



Screenshot_20220121-135431_Chrome.jpg

My math may be off. 6.35 inches on average over that period.

What amazes me is the variability. We've had very little to a seasons worth of snow.

Did anyone else notice the pattern of every 5 years we get a double digit monthly snowfall? Pretty consistent since 2004.

Nice observation!! 2 years to go!!!

If that's the unfortunate truth then at least I can level set my expectations.

[tron777]

Only 150 hours out on the 18Z GFS so Day 6.... Anyway, a nice phasing clipper set up with a southern s/w. It's going to get cranked up probably too late for us but another one of those keep one eye open set up's like for Tuesday. Would like to see one of these pan out either Tues or end of next week before the pattern changes in Feb to a more volatile one. However, it will hold big dog potential especially early on. A HH, HR pattern.

[cloudy72]

Did anyone else notice the pattern of every 5 years we get a double digit monthly snowfall? Pretty consistent since 2004.

Blizzard party in 2024? Anyone anyone? Bueller?

[tron777]

Too bad it is fantasy, but the 18Z GFS has a great start to Feb with two moderate to heavy snow systems. Warmer look has been starting to back off. Wonder if the warmer pattern might be delayed until mid month? That would be fantastic and give us a shot at a nice storm or two.