I’m hoping (ok wishful thinking) that a nice deform band sets up over your house and mine tonight. It would make me happy to tell you Les, stay home Monday as the roads in Mason are impassable( ok a guy can dream can’t he)
January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
What I like is the constant stream of moisture from Cuba over the Atlantic Ocean and then pushed into the eastern 1/3 of the country.
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Good morning Tim and I agree. A favorable pattern looks to continue for the rest of January at the very least so there will be more chances down the road.tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:00 pm Good Morning Les,no matter what happens over the next 24 hours the pattern looks good the next 2 weeks. Again models will still have problems with pieces of energy and sometimes they will catch them and others boom a sudden system 2 days away. The current system or systems depending how you look at it has been on the models for sometime and even at this time not easy for models or forecasters to get a decent handle on snow and ice totals. No doubt busts both ways over the next 24 hours but hey winter weather in the Ohio Valley.
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
26th is looking interesting
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Sometimes, those dreams can become a reality. You never know. The stronger the surface low gets the better and the longer the energy transfer takes the better. It's all we've got.Ddmeyer004 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:00 pmI’m hoping (ok wishful thinking) that a nice deform band sets up over your house and mine tonight. It would make me happy to tell you Les, stay home Monday as the roads in Mason are impassable( ok a guy can dream can’t he)
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
GFS and CMC have a nice clipper on the 25th too.
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
18 here this morning - may just have to do a quick jog down to Mom’s house as looks like she will get a lot of winter mess down that way. Certainly won’t be here! LOL
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
For those along and West of I-75 corridor, the only thing of interest is the trailing wave for tomorrow morning swinging thru for snow shower activity.
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Whats going on with the Euro, doesn't seem to be loading.?
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
I’ve got sleet
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Anyone seeing anything reach the ground yet in the far SE? Mason, Robertson and Lewis in KY... Adams and Brown in OH? Please report your temp and p-type this afternoon and this evening for those of you seeing something that is. Thanks!
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Doesn't start until 1pm.mainevilleweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:16 pm Whats going on with the Euro, doesn't seem to be loading.?
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Good! Not that you're getting sleet but you've answered my question lol Until precip rates pick up, you'll see mixed precip. Once the heavier returns come, you'll change over to snow very quickly due to dynamic cooling processes.
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
0z on pivital weather hasn't loaded since last night.tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:17 pmDoesn't start until 1pm.mainevilleweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:16 pm Whats going on with the Euro, doesn't seem to be loading.?
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
PWATS are good... we're not like 100% dry. 0.4" North and Western sections... 0.5" just about to Cincinnati and 0.6" in the SE. If you can get PWATS to 0.5" that is pretty good for a winter storm. Nice moisture transport from the Gulf and esp the Atlantic. We'll see how much gets thrown back west of the Apps as the event continues to unfold.
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
I know. The new 12Z run starts loading at 1pm.mainevilleweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:19 pm0z on pivital weather hasn't loaded since last night.tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:17 pmDoesn't start until 1pm.mainevilleweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:16 pm Whats going on with the Euro, doesn't seem to be loading.?
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Radar has a narrow band of flurries even across NKY headed my way. No clue if it is hitting the ground yet. Precip is SE of us moving to the NW until it pivots then the precip will end from NW to SE. So the more the precip pivots NW of your location, the longer it is that you'll stay in the snow.
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Euro is supposedly having computer issues with the 0Z run.
We are so close to the snow this time, hopefully this over achieves.
We are so close to the snow this time, hopefully this over achieves.
- Mark in Oakbrook (Burlington KY)
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
28 / 19 imby right now...
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Les I’m watching that trail arm coming out of Wisconsin and also that small system exiting SD….May help us with some backend snow
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Matts hood
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
That outer band from our area to the SW looks to be hitting the ground in eastern Jefferson County (Louisville).
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
That's the energy for tomorrow.Ddmeyer004 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:36 pmLes I’m watching that trail arm coming out of Wisconsin and also that small system exiting SD….May help us with some backend snow
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Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Matt, are you in Ripley or GeorgetownBookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Sun Jan 16, 2022 12:50 pmNothing hitting the ground yet. Had a little sleet earlier
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