January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion

[cloudy72]

12z Euro Kuchera thru 12z Monday

ecmwf-deterministic-cincinnati-total_snow_kuchera-2420800.png

[Trentonwx06]

50 miles west all we are talking here, hope it happens lol

[tron777]

Looks about like the last system.

lol im going with 1-3" for my hood also. im too far east and your too far west. the great appalachian snowstorm of 2022

We are 0 for 2 now. Central IN, Central OH, S IN, SW OH and NKY are all snow drought stricken areas at this time,

[BookNerdCarp]

12z Euro Kuchera thru 12z Monday


ecmwf-deterministic-cincinnati-total_snow_kuchera-2420800.png

I'll take that!

[BookNerdCarp]

So Dang Close!

KYZ099-OHZ065-073-081-082-150245-
/O.EXA.KILN.WS.A.0001.220116T1700Z-220117T1200Z/
Mason-Fairfield-Ross-Adams-Pike-
Including the cities of Maysville, Lancaster, Pickerington,
Chillicothe, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, and Piketon
136 PM EST Fri Jan 14 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5
inches possible.

* WHERE...In Ohio, Fairfield, Ross, Adams and Pike Counties. In
Kentucky, Mason County.

* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

[cloudy72]

We are 0 for 2 now. Central IN, Central OH, S IN, SW OH and NKY are all snow drought stricken areas at this time,

Here is the disheartening map since 10/1/21 thru yesterday.....

nohrsc-all-ecentus-nohrsc_season_total-2118400.png

[tron777]

Looking like an advisory event outside of those areas in the SE counties.

[tron777]

We are 0 for 2 now. Central IN, Central OH, S IN, SW OH and NKY are all snow drought stricken areas at this time,

Here is the disheartening map since 10/1/21 thru yesterday.....


nohrsc-all-ecentus-nohrsc_season_total-2118400.png

The rich get richer lol

[Spacejunk]

I can't remember a year when we hit January 15 without even seeing a dusting. Strange

[Trevor]

Frank the tank’s forecast

[BookNerdCarp]

I think all those 3 to 5's in my area of Brown are gone bust....3 maybe.

[Trevor]

Maybe it’s just my OCD, but I really don’t like the color choices most stations use

[Trevor]

19 is the worst followed by Scotty D. But I digress…

[Trevor]

WCPO’s forecast

[tpweather]

Good Afternoon and a nice cold January day and even some flurries early today when I was out and about. Euro all the way and that model has been the same since probably Tuesday with this system. Nothing to change for the ongoing forecast and I gave out my totals for the area yesterday and will give one final total at CVG since that is the one we usually call home base. Before all is said and done Monday CVG will end up with 2.9 inches.

[tron777]

Good Afternoon and a nice cold January day and even some flurries early today when I was out and about. Euro all the way and that model has been the same since probably Tuesday with this system. Nothing to change for the ongoing forecast and I gave out my totals for the area yesterday and will give one final total at CVG since that is the one we usually call home base. Before all is said and done Monday CVG will end up with 2.9 inches.

If we get almost 3" here, I'll buy you a tall frosty cold one Tim! I'd be so thrilled!

[Trevor]

Good Afternoon and a nice cold January day and even some flurries early today when I was out and about. Euro all the way and that model has been the same since probably Tuesday with this system. Nothing to change for the ongoing forecast and I gave out my totals for the area yesterday and will give one final total at CVG since that is the one we usually call home base. Before all is said and done Monday CVG will end up with 2.9 inches.

Yeah man I’m going to roll with it as well. No need for adjustments. I’m going to be an ass though and go with 2.8”. Price is Right rules apply

[tpweather]

Good Afternoon and a nice cold January day and even some flurries early today when I was out and about. Euro all the way and that model has been the same since probably Tuesday with this system. Nothing to change for the ongoing forecast and I gave out my totals for the area yesterday and will give one final total at CVG since that is the one we usually call home base. Before all is said and done Monday CVG will end up with 2.9 inches.

If we get almost 3" here, I'll buy you a tall frosty cold one Tim! I'd be so thrilled!

Les that would be wonderful and lets make a little bet just for fun. I buy you one if we don't get to 2.9 inches and you buy me one over 2.9 inches. I do believe the Euro may be correct for early Saturday as the system in the midwest today has been a little further east than forecast and that could clip us early in the morning and then we have the clipper behind the main storm Monday and with temps colder I could see some added snow to the totals before all is said and done.

[Trevor]

Jokes aside, you and I are in the snowier camp with this. Should say something coming from this heat miser…

[tron777]

Good Afternoon and a nice cold January day and even some flurries early today when I was out and about. Euro all the way and that model has been the same since probably Tuesday with this system. Nothing to change for the ongoing forecast and I gave out my totals for the area yesterday and will give one final total at CVG since that is the one we usually call home base. Before all is said and done Monday CVG will end up with 2.9 inches.

If we get almost 3" here, I'll buy you a tall frosty cold one Tim! I'd be so thrilled!

Les that would be wonderful and lets make a little bet just for fun. I buy you one if we don't get to 2.9 inches and you buy me one over 2.9 inches. I do believe the Euro may be correct for early Saturday as the system in the midwest today has been a little further east than forecast and that could clip us early in the morning and then we have the clipper behind the main storm Monday and with temps colder I could see some added snow to the totals before all is said and done.

There are really three pieces to this entire event that I am sure most folks are well aware of. The front end to give the snow shower chances tomorrow morning. Then Sunday afternoon and evening with the main system, followed by snow showers Monday with the trailing wave.

[tron777]

Jokes aside, you and I are in the snowier camp with this. Should say something coming from this heat miser…

It truly is a cause for concern.

[tron777]

15Z SREF plume has 0-8" for CVG. Mean is almost 3". DAY is 2" for the mean. The mean at ILN is almost 4" and almost 5" at CMH

[tpweather]

Jokes aside, you and I are in the snowier camp with this. Should say something coming from this heat miser…

Trev we just need to ride this one out at this point.

[tpweather]

15Z SREF plume has 0-8" for CVG. Mean is almost 3". DAY is 2" for the mean. The mean at ILN is almost 4" and almost 5" at CMH

I saw that Les and folks in Louisville and Lexington really did not shoot up much with the recent run but CVG,DAY,ILN and CMH have a nice increase. Of course some big totals with some of the models but a good range in that 2-5 inch area so who knows. Can we get NAM'ed and will find out shortly.

[tron777]

15Z SREF plume has 0-8" for CVG. Mean is almost 3". DAY is 2" for the mean. The mean at ILN is almost 4" and almost 5" at CMH

I saw that Les and folks in Louisville and Lexington really did not shoot up much with the recent run but CVG,DAY,ILN and CMH have a nice increase. Of course some big totals with some of the models but a good range in that 2-5 inch area so who knows. Can we get NAM'ed and will find out shortly.

We didn't get NAM'ed at 12Z. I was disappointed.