Search found 817 matches

by dce
Sat Dec 30, 2023 9:34 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: January 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 823
Views: 3813377

Re: January 2024 Weather Discussion

tron777 wrote: Sat Dec 30, 2023 3:32 pm 12Z EPS in the extended range, looking very cold!


EPS.png
That has a brutally cold look. Cross polar flow with the coldest air, relative to normal, on our side of the globe. That's the kind of cold that could be brought in by Trevor's bomb cyclone.
by dce
Sat Dec 30, 2023 8:27 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

My first, of many, eye surgeries was done at Christ Hospital when I was in the 9th grade. All of my Brothers kids were born there too. Eric... prayers to your family Bro!!! Sure hope you all get better quickly! Mom and I are still nursing our colds on this end. Just that time of year I suppose. Tha...
by dce
Sat Dec 30, 2023 3:47 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: January 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 823
Views: 3813377

Re: January 2024 Weather Discussion

We will see about the SSW and if the models were wrong 3 days ago no doubt they can be wrong 3 days from today. Models are horrible with these and again I watch what is happening on earth which can give you details of what may be happening 20 miles in the sky. Really the first time its been strong ...
by dce
Sat Dec 30, 2023 2:37 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: January 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 823
Views: 3813377

Re: January 2024 Weather Discussion

Everything looks good. Parts of Alaska will have a winter storm warning for Jan2-5th along the north shore with blizzard conditions and wind chill of -50 or lower. The cold air in western Siberia is already in Alaska and moving eastward. This type of cold will get into western and finally central C...
by dce
Sat Dec 30, 2023 1:06 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: Temperature Challenges
Replies: 673
Views: 463007

Re: Temperature Challenges

MVWxObserver wrote: Sat Dec 30, 2023 9:12 am
dce wrote: Sun Dec 24, 2023 7:47 pm KDAY 12/25 - 12/29:

Mon: Nailed it! 60/46 -1

Tues: Nailed! 8-) 58/42 +2

Wed: +5 45/36 +1

Thur: 40/33

Fri: 34/29
Congrats to us both bro on having nailed some this week! :)
Not our best week, not our worst. Congrats to us. :)
by dce
Sat Dec 30, 2023 1:03 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: January 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 823
Views: 3813377

Re: January 2024 Weather Discussion

Some January (CVG) snow stats. One goes from 1975-1999, another 2000 to present and the last combines all those years back to 1975(top 25). (Dates at bottom of graph) That stretch from 1976-1982 is once in a lifetime IMG_1140.jpegIMG_1141.jpegIMG_1142.jpeg Great stats! Aside from 2019, hopefully th...
by dce
Thu Dec 28, 2023 1:58 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

Sustained cold in our region is hard to come by during an El Nino, especially a more significant one. But as you have mentioned many times, we don't need super sustained cold, just cold enough to get snow. In all reality that is how it usually goes around here anyways when we get a big one. Temps i...
by dce
Thu Dec 28, 2023 12:12 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

Sustained cold in our region is hard to come by during an El Nino, especially a more significant one. But as you have mentioned many times, we don't need super sustained cold, just cold enough to get snow. In all reality that is how it usually goes around here anyways when we get a big one. Temps i...
by dce
Thu Dec 28, 2023 11:48 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

Sustained cold in our region is hard to come by during an El Nino, especially a more significant one. But as you have mentioned many times, we don't need super sustained cold, just cold enough to get snow. In all reality that is how it usually goes around here anyways when we get a big one. Temps i...
by dce
Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:43 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

Comparing last year’s fall/winter drought to this year’s. About the same for the OV and worse for the TV and southern coast. Still indicative of a non existent SEridge IMG_1136.pngIMG_1137.png Quite funny. We get a southeast ridge and it's too warm for snow. No southeast ridge and it's too warm for...
by dce
Thu Dec 28, 2023 8:19 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

00z GFS shows a total bomb of a low for the end of week two. Very strong cold front and a blast of frigid air for the first time this season. Good morning Trev. It looks fairly boring until then, unless something pops up in the short term of course. This is the first time all season that I can reca...
by dce
Sun Dec 24, 2023 7:47 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: Temperature Challenges
Replies: 673
Views: 463007

Re: Temperature Challenges

KDAY 12/25 - 12/29:

Mon: Nailed it! 60/46 -1

Tues: Nailed! 8-) 58/42 +2

Wed: +5 45/36 +1

Thur: +3 40/33 +4

Fri: +7 34/29 +6
by dce
Sat Dec 23, 2023 2:45 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

12Z GEFS at 500 MB 1st week of January. -EPO / -AO / -NAO and an active STJ. Wow! GEFS.jpg I'm my opinion, above average snowfall for January is highly likely if that look actually comes to fruition. I'm not saying we would necessarily get a big storm, but with energy constantly rolling off the Pac...
by dce
Fri Dec 22, 2023 8:45 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

The MJO models are still showing a tour thru the colder phases 8-1-2 late this month and into early January. There is a lot to like folks in the next few weeks once we get past the Christmas time period. Hang in there!!!! :) I hope this isn't Lucy pulling the football away just before the kick. I r...
by dce
Fri Dec 22, 2023 5:55 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: Temperature Challenges
Replies: 673
Views: 463007

Re: Temperature Challenges

dce wrote: Thu Dec 21, 2023 12:45 pm
MVWxObserver wrote: Sat Dec 16, 2023 11:06 am KDAY week of 12/18/23 - 12/22/23

Mon: +5 36/34 -7

Tues: +2 34/22 +3

Wed: +7 42/24 +3

Thurs: 46/28

Fri: 46/32
Not the best of weeks for us so far. :o :lol:
Maybe we can recover next week!? :oops: :oops:
by dce
Thu Dec 21, 2023 12:45 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: Temperature Challenges
Replies: 673
Views: 463007

Re: Temperature Challenges

MVWxObserver wrote: Sat Dec 16, 2023 11:06 am KDAY week of 12/18/23 - 12/22/23

Mon: +5 36/34 -7

Tues: +2 34/22 +3

Wed: +7 42/24 +3

Thurs: 46/28

Fri: 46/32
Not the best of weeks for us so far. :o :lol:
by dce
Tue Dec 19, 2023 8:49 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

Good morning all! 22 here this morning and at CVG. Upper teens are possible esp if any of you have any snow cover on the ground. Cold today of course with the 30s then we warm up into the 40s Wed and Thurs, 50 Fri and Sat. and in the middle to upper 50s for Christmas Eve and Day. Rain is also looki...
by dce
Tue Dec 19, 2023 8:06 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

Good morning all! 22 here this morning and at CVG. Upper teens are possible esp if any of you have any snow cover on the ground. Cold today of course with the 30s then we warm up into the 40s Wed and Thurs, 50 Fri and Sat. and in the middle to upper 50s for Christmas Eve and Day. Rain is also looki...
by dce
Mon Dec 18, 2023 1:25 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

A lightning strike just showed up in Hamilton county.
by dce
Mon Dec 18, 2023 11:19 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

According to WHIO radar there was a lightning strike between Muncie and Portland Indiana.
by dce
Mon Dec 18, 2023 11:17 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

In Fort Recovery in Mercer county. This snow squall means business. Brief white out conditions.
by dce
Sun Dec 17, 2023 4:26 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

Lightning tomorrow, anyone? High-res models are picking up on it. Actually is fairly typical to have some of that going on during "peak heating" under a strong ULL. We should have some steep lapse rates too. The snow squall parameter looked decent especially for folks north of the river. ...
by dce
Sun Dec 17, 2023 3:39 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: Temperature Challenges
Replies: 673
Views: 463007

Re: Temperature Challenges

KDAY 12/18 - 12/22:

Tues: +3 33/23 +2

Wed: +7 42/24 +3

Thur: +346/26 +9

Fri: +2 46/32 +6
by dce
Sun Dec 17, 2023 2:56 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

There you go. Or first Winter Weather Advisory of the season. ILN is calling for up to 2 inches in northern areas. Up to 1 inch in the southern areas of the forecast area. Nice! If you remember I suggested that they would issue one in my update yesterday :) You did! Awesome job. The short range mod...
by dce
Sun Dec 17, 2023 2:01 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: December 2023 Weather Discussion
Replies: 886
Views: 13892859

Re: December 2023 Weather Discussion

There you go. Or first Winter Weather Advisory of the season. ILN is calling for up to 2 inches in northern areas. Up to 1 inch in the southern areas of the forecast area.