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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 8:51 pm
by tron777
alexdever73 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 8:46 pm
Are no worried bout that Dry slot cutting down on deform band. Hate to see that get eaten up
I am expecting 6-10" before the dry slot for a good chunk of the Tri-state. Then we get the DS overnight Sun with sleet and frz drzl. Monday from around 10am on is the deform snow and I think another 4" is very doable. 8-12" is a nice call IMO as long as the sleet doesn't taint us too much.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 8:52 pm
by mikeyp
I am excited to see 00z nam. I can’t believe those hrrr snowntotals but man it would be fantastic!
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 8:58 pm
by tron777
It coming in a bit S of 18Z by like a couple rows of counties thru Hour 21
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:06 pm
by tron777
CVG is all snow, razor margin thin error for sleet thru 12 am Sunday night. Low is further south on KY / TN border so no dry slot! Still get the good back end snows too. Finally by 11 or 12am we turn to that light sleet but we get crushed prior to that occurring. Very nice run!
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:08 pm
by tpweather
Great run by the nam with the low on the border of Kentucky and TN. Less amount of time in the dry slot if this is the correct path of the low
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:09 pm
by tron777
Back end snow comes in faster too by like 7 or 8am Monday for Cincinnati. This is a wonderful wonderful run!!!
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:10 pm
by tpweather
tron777 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:06 pm
CVG is all snow, razor margin thin error for sleet thru 12 am Sunday night. Low is further south on KY / TN border so no dry slot! Still get the good back end snows too. Finally by 11 or 12am we turn to that light sleet but we get crushed prior to that occurring. Very nice run!
Les we are on the same page and that is usually a good sign
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:11 pm
by tpweather
Les you know my problem with the dreaded dry slot all day is that the storm does not get that strong and that is usually when you see a more defined dry slot.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:12 pm
by tron777
tpweather wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:10 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:06 pm
CVG is all snow, razor margin thin error for sleet thru 12 am Sunday night. Low is further south on KY / TN border so no dry slot! Still get the good back end snows too. Finally by 11 or 12am we turn to that light sleet but we get crushed prior to that occurring. Very nice run!
Les we are on the same page and that is usually a good sign
Indeed Tim! So excited for this storm! Its been a long wait for a region wide system.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:12 pm
by House of Cards
Wooooohooooo! I am probably the only person sitting in this bar watching my phone as much as I am the Bengals game.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:13 pm
by tron777
tpweather wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:11 pm
Les you know my problem with the dreaded dry slot all day is that the storm does not get that strong and that is usually when you see a more defined dry slot.
IMO the precip probably won't completely shut off. Sleet and / or freezing drizzle is what I think. Up to a tenth of an inch then we're back to snow.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:13 pm
by tron777
House of Cards wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:12 pm
Wooooohooooo! I am probably the only person sitting in this bar watching my phone as much as I am the Bengals game.
Who Dey Dave!
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:13 pm
by Phr0z3n
Dry air is really taking a toll on the north side of precip shield on the Nam
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:14 pm
by tpweather
House of Cards wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:12 pm
Wooooohooooo! I am probably the only person sitting in this bar watching my phone as much as I am the Bengals game.
Dave my guess that is true and I am sitting at home with the laptop and the game on which is not quite as bad lol
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:15 pm
by tron777
That's a nice wide band too of back end snows. From here to Central MO as it starts to move in Mon morning. My 4" call looking good I do believe for the last part of the storm. Higher ratio and wind driven too. Drifting snow will be an issue on Monday folks esp in rural areas.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:17 pm
by tron777
I like 8-12" for the Tri-state. If you can remain all snow and not get dry slotted then a foot plus is doable. That's my new updated and final call! Sleet accum are in there too and probably some freezing drizzle with a light glaze as well.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:18 pm
by MattyD
House of Cards wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:12 pm
Wooooohooooo! I am probably the only person sitting in this bar watching my phone as much as I am the Bengals game.
What.m bar?
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:19 pm
by House of Cards
tpweather wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:14 pm
House of Cards wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:12 pm
Wooooohooooo! I am probably the only person sitting in this bar watching my phone as much as I am the Bengals game.
Dave my guess that is true and I am sitting at home with the laptop and the game on which is not quite as bad lol
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:19 pm
by House of Cards
MattyD wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:18 pm
House of Cards wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:12 pm
Wooooohooooo! I am probably the only person sitting in this bar watching my phone as much as I am the Bengals game.
What.m bar?
Club Trios
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:22 pm
by fyrfyter
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:23 pm
by tron777
0Z NAM text data
Code: Select all
CVG
SUN 1P 05-JAN -5.3 -3.1 1023 91 94 0.14 558 540
SUN 7P 05-JAN -4.9 -2.4 1017 92 98 0.44 557 544
MON 1A 06-JAN -4.6 -0.9 1010 89 75 0.71 550 543
MON 7A 06-JAN -4.7 -2.6 1008 89 71 0.07 542 536
MON 1P 06-JAN -3.8 -10.0 1010 93 90 0.18 536 528
MON 7P 06-JAN -3.5 -10.8 1017 86 71 0.14 538 525
HAO
SUN 1P 05-JAN -5.3 -4.3 1023 89 92 0.04 557 539
SUN 7P 05-JAN -4.7 -3.1 1018 92 96 0.21 556 543
MON 1A 06-JAN -5.4 -2.7 1011 89 84 0.72 550 541
MON 7A 06-JAN -5.0 -4.2 1008 88 63 0.06 541 535
MON 1P 06-JAN -3.5 -9.6 1010 93 91 0.09 536 528
MON 7P 06-JAN -3.6 -11.2 1017 86 61 0.12 538 525
MGY
SUN 1P 05-JAN -5.1 -6.7 1024 73 93 0.01 556 538
SUN 7P 05-JAN -5.2 -4.5 1018 91 96 0.09 556 542
MON 1A 06-JAN -6.0 -3.0 1012 90 96 0.61 549 540
MON 7A 06-JAN -5.3 -5.3 1009 88 67 0.06 541 534
MON 1P 06-JAN -3.5 -9.2 1009 89 95 0.04 536 529
MON 7P 06-JAN -3.8 -11.4 1017 88 54 0.08 537 524
DAY
SUN 7P 05-JAN -4.9 -5.9 1018 79 96 0.03 555 540
MON 1A 06-JAN -6.0 -4.2 1013 91 95 0.42 549 539
MON 7A 06-JAN -5.4 -6.2 1010 87 56 0.06 541 533
MON 1P 06-JAN -3.3 -9.5 1009 88 97 0.02 536 529
MON 7P 06-JAN -4.0 -11.7 1017 87 52 0.03 537 524
CMH
SUN 7P 05-JAN -4.5 -6.1 1019 69 93 0.00 554 539
MON 1A 06-JAN -6.0 -4.9 1014 90 98 0.32 550 539
MON 7A 06-JAN -5.6 -5.5 1010 86 79 0.08 542 535
MON 1P 06-JAN -2.9 -7.7 1008 82 84 0.02 537 530
MON 7P 06-JAN -3.2 -11.7 1014 87 48 0.03 535 524
FGX
SUN 1P 05-JAN -5.0 -2.6 1024 91 95 0.19 559 541
SUN 7P 05-JAN -4.2 -2.4 1017 91 98 0.86 559 545
MON 1A 06-JAN -2.8 2.7 1009 92 98 0.88 553 546
MON 7A 06-JAN -4.6 1.0 1006 92 45 0.11 544 539
MON 1P 06-JAN -3.9 -8.2 1007 91 97 0.09 536 530
MON 7P 06-JAN -2.7 -10.4 1015 90 85 0.15 538 527
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:25 pm
by shlybluz
Have been checking the tv station websites, the closings for tomorrow are rolling in quickly. Mostly churches cancelling services for tomorrow, but I noticed a few businesses and NKU is shutting down things at noon tomorrow.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:32 pm
by tron777
Okay all... my game plan for tomorrow is church (mine won't close, masses are early). then breakfast, grab a few things at Kroger and be on in time for the pre game show LOL around 10am ish. See you all then! Happy tracking!
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:36 pm
by House of Cards
G’night Les!
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 10:47 pm
by MJSun
tron777 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:32 pm
Okay all... my game plan for tomorrow is church (mine won't close, masses are early). then breakfast, grab a few things at Kroger and be on in time for the pre game show LOL around 10am ish. See you all then! Happy tracking!
I read at 9:30 Mass tomorrow then home to get cozy.