Absolute Vorticity

kywthrluvr wrote: ↑Fri Mar 24, 2023 4:04 pm What a gloomy day! Haven’t checked in lately because my husband passed away on the 12th after being ill for a few months. Hoping at least the rain moves out before his memorial service tomorrow morning.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Mar 24, 2023 4:17 pm I think a half inch to an inch for most of AVland with the next round ,with only isolated 1.5” amounts mostly in the southern and Se parts

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 24, 2023 7:20 pm Good evening all...

1.53" going into round 2 here. 44 current temp, dew of 43. Let's take a look at the meso analysis this evening on a Friday night. Crack open a beer on this soon to be rainy night. Tornado watches and warnings to the south in the usual places that have been getting hammered! A chaser's dream, but a local resident nightmare, Prayers for those impacted.

Locally, a heavy rain event as we expected on our great forum with our great team of forecasters. I wouldn't be who am I today without this forum and the people who post here. A quick thanks to all who come here! I don't think I say that enough.

Ok weather time now and a 1000 MB Low in AR is getting its act together. I think it moves NE across TN overnight. More overrunning moisture thus heavy rain is likely ahead of the warm front that causes temps to rise by morning. Then winds get cranking as the low passes, gusty showers... isolated severe SE? Then, things calm down by Sunday. Briefly. Winds Sat gusting to 50 with the advisory. I think my 3" rain call is on target.

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Mar 24, 2023 7:30 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 24, 2023 7:20 pm Good evening all...

1.53" going into round 2 here. 44 current temp, dew of 43. Let's take a look at the meso analysis this evening on a Friday night. Crack open a beer on this soon to be rainy night. Tornado watches and warnings to the south in the usual places that have been getting hammered! A chaser's dream, but a local resident nightmare, Prayers for those impacted.

Locally, a heavy rain event as we expected on our great forum with our great team of forecasters. I wouldn't be who am I today without this forum and the people who post here. A quick thanks to all who come here! I don't think I say that enough.

Ok weather time now and a 1000 MB Low in AR is getting its act together. I think it moves NE across TN overnight. More overrunning moisture thus heavy rain is likely ahead of the warm front that causes temps to rise by morning. Then winds get cranking as the low passes, gusty showers... isolated severe SE? Then, things calm down by Sunday. Briefly. Winds Sat gusting to 50 with the advisory. I think my 3" rain call is on target.

Great Post Les and like you said a great forum and some wonderful folks who love the weather. I was lucky to find a local weather forum years ago and has been part of my life ever since. I had never looked at a model until I joined a forum.

Sad but true but my daughter is in Gatlinburg,Tn this weekend and they have a high wind warning with gusts expected over 70mph. Beautiful day here in Greenville with temps in the low 80's and low humidity for this part of the country.

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Mar 24, 2023 7:31 pm Les been watching the system today and since we have a low that is getting stronger I was tending to put the heaviest rains to the south and west tonight.

kywthrluvr wrote: ↑Fri Mar 24, 2023 4:04 pm What a gloomy day! Haven’t checked in lately because my husband passed away on the 12th after being ill for a few months. Hoping at least the rain moves out before his memorial service tomorrow morning.

Trevor wrote: ↑Sat Mar 25, 2023 5:26 am Moderate risk bust yesterday. However there was a long tracking supercell that produced a large tornado in MS as seen in the attached map. That thing was a beast! Other than that, not much to speak of in the MDT risk.