Absolute Vorticity

19 in St Louis. Lets see if they they rise over the next few hours or continue to drop slowly

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:31 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:28 pm

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:24 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:21 pm

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:18 pm Already miserable out , stifff southerly breeze, drizzle and 40 here

It is! Made a beer run on my lunch break so I'm ready for the storm!

Beer and some good snacks and Les you are set to go. I have plenty of both already plus if I run out my neighbors are always stocked.

Sounds like we're ready to rock n roll Tim! We are awaiting the rain to pass us by so the front can drop in to change us over late tonight. We should be waking up to frz rain in the morning for our hoods.

Im ready , cranked up the generator, just in case, yesterday. From passed experience, It doesn't take much freezing rain out this way for my electric to go out

Have my bottle of Oliver red wine ready to be corked with my Italian dinner I'll be making. Yum!

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:21 pm

Pete1 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:17 pm Just a gut feeling, but something tells me we are going to see a lot more snow out of this storm that what the NWS Is predicting

Talk SNOW to me, Pete!

The bengals proved miracles can happen. So I don’t see why 20 inches of snow on top of Burlington can’t happen

Pete1 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:37 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:21 pm

Pete1 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:17 pm Just a gut feeling, but something tells me we are going to see a lot more snow out of this storm that what the NWS Is predicting

Talk SNOW to me, Pete!

The bengals proved miracles can happen. So I don’t see why 20 inches of snow on top of Burlington can’t happen

LOL! I'd be happy with 4" all things considering. The track is great for heavy snow but the pesky warm layer is what is keeping us from having a block buster snow event here locally.

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:33 pm 19 in St Louis. Lets see if they they rise over the next few hours or continue to drop slowly

I've seen a 3-4" report NW of town at St. Charles where my relatives are.

winterstormjoe wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:36 pm

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:31 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:28 pm

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:24 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:21 pm

It is! Made a beer run on my lunch break so I'm ready for the storm!

Beer and some good snacks and Les you are set to go. I have plenty of both already plus if I run out my neighbors are always stocked.

Sounds like we're ready to rock n roll Tim! We are awaiting the rain to pass us by so the front can drop in to change us over late tonight. We should be waking up to frz rain in the morning for our hoods.

Im ready , cranked up the generator, just in case, yesterday. From passed experience, It doesn't take much freezing rain out this way for my electric to go out

Have my bottle of Oliver red wine ready to be corked with my Italian dinner I'll be making. Yum!

Joe what time is dinner. I love red wine though I drink it like beer on tap so probably not good for me.

WxMom wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:32 pm Thanks for the all you guys do!

Have picked up 0.46” so far and temp 41.9.

Stay safe all!

Hey Gina! Always nice to see you. Hope the fam is well! Enjoy the storm!

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:41 pm

Pete1 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:37 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:21 pm

Pete1 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:17 pm Just a gut feeling, but something tells me we are going to see a lot more snow out of this storm that what the NWS Is predicting

Talk SNOW to me, Pete!

The bengals proved miracles can happen. So I don’t see why 20 inches of snow on top of Burlington can’t happen

LOL! I'd be happy with 4" all things considering. The track is great for heavy snow but the pesky warm layer is what is keeping us from having a block buster snow event here locally.

Agreed. If we get 4 inches of snow out this id be like a kid on Christmas morning

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:43 pm

WxMom wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:32 pm Thanks for the all you guys do!

Have picked up 0.46” so far and temp 41.9.

Stay safe all!

Hey Gina! Always nice to see you. Hope the fam is well! Enjoy the storm!

Hey Gina! I Agree with Les its always nice when you are on the forum. Hope all is well and I may be wrong but dont you have a bday in January. Again I may be wrong on that but happy belated bday if my memory serves me right.

Been reading and reading so going to ask when do you all think the switch over from rain to freezing rain will take place? I am north west of you all in CVG land. Also my bosses daughter is at Purdue University and she had reported several inches of snow on the ground already.

Pepper wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:48 pm Been reading and reading so going to ask when do you all think the switch over from rain to freezing rain will take place? I am north west of you all in CVG land. Also my bosses daughter is at Purdue University and she had reported several inches of snow on the ground already.

I'd say sometime this evening Pepper for your area.

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:42 pm

winterstormjoe wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:36 pm

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:31 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:28 pm

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:24 pm

Beer and some good snacks and Les you are set to go. I have plenty of both already plus if I run out my neighbors are always stocked.

Sounds like we're ready to rock n roll Tim! We are awaiting the rain to pass us by so the front can drop in to change us over late tonight. We should be waking up to frz rain in the morning for our hoods.

Im ready , cranked up the generator, just in case, yesterday. From passed experience, It doesn't take much freezing rain out this way for my electric to go out

Have my bottle of Oliver red wine ready to be corked with my Italian dinner I'll be making. Yum!

Joe what time is dinner. I love red wine though I drink it like beer on tap so probably not good for me.

Tim, I actually picked up two bottles last night for backup and may need more for Friday night as I plan on staying home with all the snow and ice around and temps falling below 0.

Thanks Les my daughter is to play in Basketball sectionals tonight game starts at 7:30 she is mad I am making her park car at home and taking her to the school. I am trying to limit the amount of vehicles we have out and about. Hopefully we all get in before the switch over. My son south of Terre Haute Indiana in Sullivan Indiana is reporting rain.

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:42 pm

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:33 pm 19 in St Louis. Lets see if they they rise over the next few hours or continue to drop slowly

I've seen a 3-4" report NW of town at St. Charles where my relatives are.

I'm hearing that parts of I70 are closed in Missouri.

The euro is off and running.

snowbo wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:54 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:42 pm

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:33 pm 19 in St Louis. Lets see if they they rise over the next few hours or continue to drop slowly

I've seen a 3-4" report NW of town at St. Charles where my relatives are.

I'm hearing that parts of I70 are closed in Missouri.

I just sent my cousin a text in Columbia to see how it out there. He runs the road dept there.

Cold front looks to be running from Lake Erie SW thru Central IN back into SE ILL.

I'm liking the latest SREF probabilities. 50% chance for >8" includes the metro. Mean is 2.17". Plenty of members higher than that. Max is 10.64".

Surface Temps:

Euro seems a little stronger but again a little further south which agrees with most of the models this morning.

12z hi-res Euro.

Euro coming in colder, changing CVG to snow in the afternoon, much faster!

Just checked in with my daughter. She is a student at Indiana State in Terra Haute. Still rain and 35 on campus. She said there may be a little sleet mixed in.

Anyone have the ice accumulation map from the Euro for Lexington / Georgetown, Ky area?
Very concerned about ice down here

@Les did you happen to see the long range GFS? Wow. Dream come true for you snow weenies!

Edit to add the weenie 15 day totals