Absolute Vorticity

Lot of sleet from the RGEM but the deform band lingers into midday Friday which is nice.

Kankakee Illinois has 7 inches on the ground.

Here where I am on the Preble Co line, I am bouncing between 39 and 40 degrees

40 degrees here with moderate rain

Already a quarter inch of rain in the bucket with 42 degrees.

Les enjoy this mess of a storm. I’m at airport bound for sunny 80 degree Naples Florida. I’ll be enjoying this mess from afar my friend. Be safe my friend

Ddmeyer004 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 10:38 am Les enjoy this mess of a storm. I’m at airport bound for sunny 80 degree Naples Florida. I’ll be enjoying this mess from afar my friend. Be safe my friend

Thanks Dave! Enjoy it down there!

Light rain, 44 and 0.25" in the bucket is my current report.

Most models in agreement on CVG changing over around 4am with problems developing IMO in that 8-10am range and beyond. GooFuS is running now so we'll see what happens there.

EDIT: Add the GFS now to this list. I think this is a great call for the Metro / CVG Land.

Pretty cool. Indiana has cameras on their plow trucks. You can see their pictures here.

https://511in.org/

Relatives of mine on Mom's side in Princeton, Owensville, and Poseyville, IN (near Evansville) are under an Ice Storm Warning.

In and near Memphis i.e. could exceed .75" of accretion!!

GFS still bringing the doble digit negative temps for SAturday morning

snowbo wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 10:51 am Pretty cool. Indiana has cameras on their plow trucks. You can see their pictures here.

https://511in.org/

You can certainly see where the rain/snow line is!

GFS still changing Metro over to snow Thurs evening and has the deform band sticking around to midday Fri. Hope to see that occur! 4" would be possible here with this sort of timing.

10:1 snow map has 8" at CVG, but I'll believe it when I see it. I do believe 4" is realistic for CVG if the GFS is correct.

I am confused. I am on tropical tidbits and the GFS 12z run at hour 108 is showing 15 inches in the Cincy area

Spacejunk wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 11:14 am I am confused. I am on tropical tidbits and the GFS 12z run at hour 108 is showing 15 inches in the Cincy area

Some of that is guaranteed to be sleet. There isn’t a model product for sleet accumulation, which cuts down on snow.

35 pages for one storm - gotta be a record!

Spacejunk wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 11:14 am I am confused. I am on tropical tidbits and the GFS 12z run at hour 108 is showing 15 inches in the Cincy area

Those snow maps are bad. 10:1 ratio and it adds sleet as snow fall.

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 11:18 am 35 pages for one storm - gotta be a record!

Wait till tomorrow.

just getting rain here from this storm and maybe a few ice pellets on the back side

So currently snow line is St Louis MO - Charleston IL - Crawfordsville IN - north side of Ft Wayne - north side of Toledo

What are your thoughts on the wind? Maybe it helps the cold air freeze the rain quicker tomorrow and then blowing and drifting snow too.

10" snow so far in Porter IN
14.4" Lewistown IL

12Z CMC has heavy snow NW counties... sleet storm I-71 Corridor and ice storm SE counties. Seems to fit the theme of the forecast very well.

briceg09 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 11:22 am What are your thoughts on the wind? Maybe it helps the cold air freeze the rain quicker tomorrow and then blowing and drifting snow too.

Wind is going to be 20-30 mph in gusts so bad news for areas that get major freezing rain. Power outages likely. blowing snow likely in areas where it snows heavier. It's going to be a problem.