tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:50 am
Good Morning and nice to see snow falling. Roads are covered and I thought there would be more on the trees but that is not the case. Les I believe the forecast is looking good and though never a perfect forecast it seems we are on target. Hopefully this is just the appetizer and we get the main course mid-week.
Dynamic cooling for the win! HRRR was a little too cold but it had the right idea along with the RGEM. NAM was too warm.
Les here is the problem I believe sometimes when trying to make a forecast. You believe the forecast you throw out is good but with this storm the NAM was too warm. So that is in the back of your mind which model is correct. I believe last night when we saw the temps drop into the mid-upper 20's that was a good sign. This storm you don't have a big surge of milder air into the system. BTW moderate to almost heavy snow falling.WOW. Will we miss on the low end
I agree Tim! WAA isn't as strong since we're not dealing with a big wound up low pressure system. That is what we are facing for Wed, but not today! 1/2" on the ground now. If this intensity keeps up for a few hours, 2" shouldn't be a problem.
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:05 am
by tron777
Heaviest accumulations should be along and NW of I-71 which is where a lot of the mesoscale / short term models had it. Enjoy it all!
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:09 am
by snowbo
Estimating 2 inches so far. Radar says another 2 possible. We’ll see.
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:11 am
by tpweather
snowbo wrote: ↑Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:09 am
Estimating 2 inches so far. Radar says another 2 possible. We’ll see.
Glad to see some heavier amounts. Was not 100p/c sure but thought somewhere between Indy and Dayton we would see some banding of snow and the totals could reach 3-4 inches. Lucky for me here in Northern Ky that we also got in on the banding but maybe not to that extent.
Trentonwx06 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:52 am
WWA just issued for the area!
Always a day late and a dollar short. I would have had one issued NW of I-71 at the very least last night.
Yea , by late afternoon yesterday with the direction of the hires models, that an advisory should have been issued
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:19 am
by MJSun
Pretty snow fall out east!
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:22 am
by tpweather
Looking at the radar for the Ohio Valley and a strong signal just south of Louisville. My guess that is probably an area of sleet but have not seen the ground reports.
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:26 am
by tpweather
Funny is if we bust on the low side of snow totals most folks are fine but miss the other way and folks will complain. Does this snow in any way help the cause for a more winter like set up on Wednesday and the wonderful answer of maybe is what I am going with at this time. Way to make a call!!!
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:26 am
by tron777
tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:22 am
Looking at the radar for the Ohio Valley and a strong signal just south of Louisville. My guess that is probably an area of sleet but have not seen the ground reports.
As of 8am LOU and SDF both reporting light snow and 32 / 33 degrees so if that isn't sleet, it could be snow that is falling and then melting before it hits the ground. Since we are a but colder up here, that should fall in the form of snow for us. If so, then we could reach our higher end totals of 2" as well.
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:27 am
by tron777
tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:26 am
Funny is if we bust on the low side of snow totals most folks are fine but miss the other way and folks will complain. Does this snow in any way help the cause for a more winter like set up on Wednesday and the wonderful answer of maybe is what I am going with at this time. Way to make a call!!!
tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:26 am
Funny is if we bust on the low side of snow totals most folks are fine but miss the other way and folks will complain. Does this snow in any way help the cause for a more winter like set up on Wednesday and the wonderful answer of maybe is what I am going with at this time. Way to make a call!!!
Great job with this system Tim! Excellent call!
Les this was a team effort and we were both on the same page.
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:34 am
by Snow plow man
Giant flakes
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:35 am
by tpweather
Snow plow man wrote: ↑Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:34 am
Giant flakes
Beautiful pic
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:38 am
by MJSun
Yay- the line finally is east of me!! So happy!!
Screenshot_20230122-083718.png
It's so gorgeous to watch. We don't use our fireplace much (I wish we had a gas one) - but YouTube adds some ambiance.
PXL_20230122_132830494.jpg
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:42 am
by heybert00
1.5" at my house and 30°. Looking good!!
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:45 am
by Pete1
Memo to the transportation department: pretreating the roads does absolutely nothing !!
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:46 am
by tron777
MJSun wrote: ↑Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:38 am
Yay- the line finally is east of me!! So happy!!
Screenshot_20230122-083718.png
It's so gorgeous to watch. We don't use our fireplace much (I wish we had a gas one) - but YouTube adds some ambiance.
PXL_20230122_132830494.jpg
Awesome pics! Love the pic of the roaring fire too. Perfect day for it.
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:47 am
by tron777
Pete1 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:45 am
Memo to the transportation department: pretreating the roads does absolutely nothing !!
I always thought that beet juice was a waste of our tax payer dollars.
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:47 am
by MVWxObserver
Just heard an ODOT plow truck go by.
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:48 am
by tpweather
Pete1 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:45 am
Memo to the transportation department: pretreating the roads does absolutely nothing !!
Pete you are so correct on this and only problem is more crap on the underside of your car.
Pete1 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:45 am
Memo to the transportation department: pretreating the roads does absolutely nothing !!
I always thought that beet juice was a waste of our tax payer dollars.
Completely agree Les. I saw them pretreating yesterday and just had to laugh
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:54 am
by tron777
Trev is probably burrowed in his den. Per radar, Lebanon is getting hammered with those big flakes! 31 / 29 here with a solid inch or so on the ground. Looks gorgeous! Still seeing some nice returns down by LOU that will continue to roll up our way.
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:55 am
by mikeyp
BAC8E783-AA04-46B4-A89F-9CA31621CCD1.jpeg
Doing good here in White Oak!
Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23
Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 9:01 am
by tpweather
mikeyp wrote: ↑Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:55 am
BAC8E783-AA04-46B4-A89F-9CA31621CCD1.jpeg
Doing good here in White Oak!
Great Pick. Yes the bust of the forecast was the banding of heavier snow was further southeast than I expected
HRRR was a little too cold but it had the right idea along with the RGEM. NAM was too warm.
