Absolute Vorticity

The heat advisories for the majority of Ohio turned out to be a bust. Models didn't anticipate the duration and scope of coverage with this rain.

90 / 77 / 103 at CVG so with the extremely high dews, the advisory is warranted. Hope the cap can break down our way. It will at some point this week.

My gauge is up to an inch so far.

Currently 73 with a DP of 73 here in G'ville.

Make that 92 / 77 / 106 at CVG... Fuggglllyyyy!!!

From the boys as of an hour ago:

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Early afternoon update...
Complex scenario ongoing across the forecast area as heat and
humidity have increased and thunderstorms continue. Due to
ongoing thunderstorms, the heat advisory has been cancelled
where various outflow boundaries combined with showers and
thunderstorms will limit heat indicies. Locations across the
tri-state and Ohio River are already observing temperatures near
advisory criteria so decided to leave those areas in effect even
if thunderstorms move through this afternoon.

Clear outflow boundary stretched northwest to southeast from
eastern Indiana to southern Ohio. This has resulted in renewed
convective initiation but mean atmospheric flow pushes the new
updrafts behind the surface boundary, limiting the severe
threat. Locally heavy rainfall has occurred with some personal
weather station and radar estimates between 2-3 inches in some
spots. Will continue to monitor locations ahead of the boundary
for new convective initiation.

Some close lightning strikes going on in Indian Hill atm. Very light rain

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...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL HAMILTON AND NORTHWESTERN CLERMONT COUNTIES...

At 129 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Milford, moving
southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Loveland, Montgomery, Milford, Terrace Park, Batavia, Camp Dennison,
Remington, The Village of Indian Hill, Newtown, Owensville, Goshen,
Newtonsville, Mulberry, Clermont County Airport, Perintown, Day
Heights, Miamiville, Willowville, Summerside and Mount Repose.

Where I'm at in Indian Hill on the western fringe of the storm, about a 5 minute downpour , sun is back out

Per visible sat, that outflow boundary is just to my NW. Only hope I have is for more storms to pop along it this afternoon.

tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 2:04 pm Per visible sat, that outflow boundary is just to my NW. Only hope I have is for more storms to pop along it this afternoon.

Per radar shot it looks like the outflow just did make it NK before dissipating.

Can see the clouds to my north a touch of a breeze now but no rain expected currently until something changes.

tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 2:32 pm Can see the clouds to my north a touch of a breeze now but no rain expected currently until something changes.

That line continues to build back to the west as it heads south and southeast. I think you'll end up getting something out of it.

dce wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 2:54 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 2:32 pm Can see the clouds to my north a touch of a breeze now but no rain expected currently until something changes.

That line continues to build back to the west as it heads south and southeast. I think you'll end up getting something out of it.

It's trying... I'll give it that. I am right on the edge of the rain cooled air and the hot air (Still in the hot air due to not having been touched yet lol).

EDIT: Moderate rain now here we go!

...and it's over! A 10 min downpour. Better then a zero!®

Officially 94 at CVG today prior to that storm moving thru. Blazing sunshine here, just a few hundredths.

Just a tenth here, thought for sure watching radar earlier I'd have something worth while. On To the next chance.

1722 100 5 ESE BLUE ASH CLERMONT OH 3923 8429 1 INCH HAIL REPORTED FROM SPOTTER (ILN)

1723 100 5 E BLUE ASH CLERMONT OH 3924 8429 1 INCH HAIL REPORTED VIA MPING (ILN)

1837 UNK 2 SSE GEORGETOWN BROWN OH 3884 8389 MULTIPLE TREES DOWN NEAR LAKEVIEW ACRES (ILN)

1945 UNK RUSHVILLE RUSH IN 3962 8544 12-15 INCH TREES DOWNED ON THE NORTH SIDE OF RUSHVILLE. MAY HAVE BEEN WEAKENED BY STORMS LAST WEEK. (IND)

----

CVG got to 94 and DAY 91 today.

Everything is going south or breaking up before it reaches Monroe. My yard REALLY needs a drink.

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 5:48 pm * Primary threats include...

Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

I just read that a couple of minutes ago. That is going to be some strong winds.

young pup wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 5:51 pm

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 5:48 pm * Primary threats include...

Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

I just read that a couple of minutes ago. That is going to be some strong winds.

And the White Sox are in town to host the Twins this evening i.e.