Absolute Vorticity

HAPPY 52ND BIRTHDAY MIKE!!

Enjoy your special day, Wxbuddy!

79 / 73 at CVG. Back to overcast now in Mason. Visible does show a brief window of clearing in between our stratus deck and the blow off from the ILL MCS, now pushing into IN. There is an MD that has been issued for a 40% chance of a downstream watch to be issued for Central and Southern IN.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1763.html

Latest radar loop shows that the MCS is still trying to hold together as best it can. Will continue to monitor. The 12Z GFS does show the Tri-state getting hit this evening. So we'll see I guess.

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MD issued for our SW counties. 60% chance of a watch to be issued:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1766.html

The SPC meso page shows SB CAPE values of 2000-2500 J/KG over our area. DCAPE values of 1500 J/Kg are pretty good for strong to severe wind gusts should the MCS re-intensify as the SPC is indicating. Effective shear values of around 30 knots are also present.

T-storm Watch now in effect for SE IN and NKY until 8pm.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0580.html

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 580
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
155 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far Southeast Illinois
Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 155 PM
until 800 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...A developing cluster of thunderstorms should continue to
strengthen and pose a threat for mainly severe/damaging winds up to
55-70 mph as it moves east-southeastward this afternoon and early
evening.

CVG is now up to 84 with an awful dew of 75 as of the 2pm reading.

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 31, 2024 2:05 pm CVG is now up to 84 with an awful dew of 75 as of the 2pm reading.

76 dewpoint at KDAY. It feels like it!!!

Just couldn’t overcome the Cin from this morning showers/clouds in our area. SEIndiana and NKY still have the best chance

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Jul 31, 2024 3:20 pm Just couldn’t overcome the Cin from this morning showers/clouds in our area. SEIndiana and NKY still have the best chance

It's a close call for sure! Watching it closely. Nice little bowing segment over SE IN and NW KY.

Looking like a swing and a miss to the SW.

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 31, 2024 5:02 pm Looking like a swing and a miss to the SW.

Some sudden development in NKY, You and Tim might get a quick shower

Getting some thunder now along with a bit of wind. Hoping to get clipped by this thing.

Very light rain now. That's all I am expecting.

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 31, 2024 5:36 pm Very light rain now. That's all I am expecting.

Soon as it got to the area where it rained this morning it weakened or fell apart

1720 UNK Terre Haute Vigo IN 3947 8738 Several large trees and tree limbs downed across town. Time estimated from radar. (IND)

1924 UNK Jeffersonville Clark IN 3830 8573 tree down. (LMK)

1945 UNK 3 NNE Smithfield Henry KY 3843 8523 Near the 3700 block of Lagrange Road multiple trees were snapped or broken. A piece of chain link fence and gate were also damaged. (LMK)

2030 UNK 2 E North Vernon Jennings IN 3899 8558 Multiple trees down across roads ... limbs down in yards ... trees on vehicles. (IND)

2040 UNK 2 SW Frankfort Franklin KY 3818 8489 A large tree branch is blocking Collins Lane. (LMK)

2040 UNK Ghent Carroll KY 3874 8506 Trees and power lines down in Ghent. Time estimated from RADAR. (ILN)

2042 UNK Carrollton Carroll KY 3868 8516 Tree down on 55 and tree down on Martin Road. Time estimated from RADAR. (ILN)

2046 UNK 1 NNE Versailles Woodford KY 3807 8472 several trees down. (LMK)

2057 UNK 3 SE Sparta Owen KY 3865 8486 Part of a metal roof torn off of a barn. (ILN)

2103 UNK 4 NE Keene Jessamine KY 3797 8457 Large tree down on Brannon Road. (LMK)

2119 UNK Campbellsville Taylor KY 3734 8535 Trees are down around the county with several down in Campbellsville. The dispatch center has lost power. (LMK)

2215 UNK 2 SE Waneta Jackson KY 3745 8402 A tree was reported to have been blown down near 1800 US 421 North of McKee. The event time is radar estimated. (JKL)

2214 UNK Cooksburg Rockcastle KY 3739 8419 A tree was reported to have been blown down in the Crooked Creek community in the vicinity of Cooksburg. The event time is radar estimated. (JKL)

2223 UNK 2 NNW Steubenville Wayne KY 3691 8482 Multiple trees and also powerlines were reported to have been blown down along KY1275 North in the direction of Conley Bottom. The event time and location are radar estimated. (JKL)

2227 UNK 1 S Olin Jackson KY 3734 8397 A tree was reported to have been blown down near 400 Bailey Road. The event time is radar estimated. (JKL)

2230 UNK 1 WSW Somerset Pulaski Pulaski KY 3705 8463 A tree was reported to have been blown down onto Southridge Drive. The event time is radar estimated. (JKL)

2313 UNK 1 WSW Clayhole Breathitt KY 3746 8332 A tree was reported to have been blown down along KY 15. The event time is radar estimated. (JKL)

CVG reached 87, DAY 89'ed and CMH 92 today.

Two tornadoes were confirmed on 7/29 and 7/30:

https://www.weather.gov/iln/20240729_brookville

https://www.weather.gov/iln/20240730_blanchester