Absolute Vorticity

dce wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 8:47 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 8:33 pm So far... 0Z HRRR is a tick south of 18Z at 31 hours.

997 low in the boothill of Missouri! That's the kind of strength we need for a slower transfer.

We're good if it heads due east along the KY / TN border. We all would benefit.

Watching My Lions Sunday night and having it be snowing... Folks, it doesn't get any better!

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 8:44 pm Thanks all! The Hammer only comes out on big dog storms and folks, we've got one coming for a good chunk of our area.

Tim... I agree on the warning issuance in the morning too. Let's lock this in with the 0Z package and tweak it with the 12Z tomorrow.

Good to see it!

That HRRR was dumping snow when it stopped. If that sleet stays south and the precip keeps feeding as it is shown, its going to be awesome!

That's crazy numbers from the HRRR just through 7pm Sunday!

mainevilleweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 8:50 pm That HRRR was dumping snow when it stopped. If that sleet stays south and the precip keeps feeding as it is shown, its going to be awesome!

Slide it due east and it'll happen! We will have to nowcast the track for sure.

The Nam is underway

NAM running

Side Note: Since 12/31, we have gained 12 new members, many of which have joined today! Welcome!!! Thanks for being here. I'd also like to thank our regular crowd too for being here. Going to be a lot of fun times ahead. We are watching for more future cold and action in the main January thread too. Folks, the winter is just getting cranked up so stay tuned and join us for the wild ride ahead!

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 8:49 pm Watching My Lions Sunday night and having it be snowing... Folks, it doesn't get any better!

Beating the Vikings and getting home field throughout the playoffs would make it just little better

Pete1 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 9:04 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 8:49 pm Watching My Lions Sunday night and having it be snowing... Folks, it doesn't get any better!

Beating the Vikings and getting home field throughout the playoffs would make it just little better

Oh so true!

NAM is a tad south / weaker with the low thru 39 hours vs the 18Z run.

EDIT: Never mind. Just model noise.

Text data coming in. Snow then sleet at CVG so far. 850s are holding nicely so icing currently not a concern on this model run at the early stage of the game.

Hi Guys, sneaking back in to get the real winter weather coverage. Sort of makes me nostalgic for those winters of my childhood, but adult me is dreading driving in it LOL.

Hammer time Sunday afternoon!! Sleet does start entering our SW counties late afternoon.

shlybluz wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 9:21 pm Hi Guys, sneaking back in to get the real winter weather coverage. Sort of makes me nostalgic for those winters of my childhood, but adult me is dreading driving in it LOL.

Hey hey!!! Hope you've been well! Glad you had some time to join us!

Dayton gets buried!

Sleeting in Cincy around 6-7pm Sunday.

1"+ QPF as sleet for CVG! Lovely! Another Sleet fest on this run!

Through 54 it's hammerin!

N Cincy Burbs to I-70 is jackpot for sure!

dce wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 9:27 pm Through 54 it's hammerin!

Only thru like midnight / 1am? Damn!

I am going to want to frame this NAM run.

The low track is south for sure, and there is more of a snow shield, less sleet and ice overall for the region on this run. So overall yes a bit colder.

N Cincy burbs look to sleet up too but not until late in the evening after a foot of snow has already fallen. Good Lord...

EDIT: Sorry that was 3KN NAM, OP NAM is all snow. My bad...