Page 23 of 23
Re: January 2025 Wx Discussion
Posted: Fri Jan 17, 2025 4:38 pm
by tron777
Even the 12Z Euro AI isn't that cold.
After Day 10, you can toss the OP Euro from this afternoon. Straight into the abyss.
Re: January 2025 Wx Discussion
Posted: Fri Jan 17, 2025 4:48 pm
by Bgoney
IMG_3060.jpeg
IMG_3061.gif
Re: January 2025 Wx Discussion
Posted: Fri Jan 17, 2025 4:48 pm
by tron777
WAVE 3 in LOU's call for Sunday.
Wave3 for Sunday.jpg
Re: January 2025 Wx Discussion
Posted: Fri Jan 17, 2025 4:56 pm
by tron777
Gumball posted this on his FB page today:
Longest stretches with more then 6" of snow on the ground in #Cincinnati:
1.) 1977 - 25 days
2.) 1918 - 20 days
3.) 1978 - 19 days
4.) 2010 - 12 days
5.) 1917 - 11 days
6.) 1985 - 9 days
7.) 1996 & 2025 - 7 days
8.) 2021 - 6 days ❄
Re: January 2025 Wx Discussion
Posted: Fri Jan 17, 2025 5:22 pm
by Bgoney
I think I’d broad brush our area for an inch or less for Sunday, even our SE counties
Re: January 2025 Wx Discussion
Posted: Fri Jan 17, 2025 5:41 pm
by tron777
18Z GFS has the southern energy weak and fast and the northern stream energy we get next Friday from the upper level system. A shame these two can't get together.
Code: Select all
CVG
FRI 12Z 24-JAN -2.7 -8.5 1013 94 98 0.04 527 517
FRI 18Z 24-JAN -1.7 -13.1 1012 57 96 0.06 522 513
SAT 00Z 25-JAN -4.6 -14.1 1013 79 100 0.02 520 510
SAT 06Z 25-JAN -8.0 -17.4 1015 80 99 0.03 517 506
SAT 12Z 25-JAN -8.4 -15.1 1019 85 86 0.01 521 506
SAT 18Z 25-JAN -4.0 -14.9 1025 65 63 0.01 532 512
Re: January 2025 Wx Discussion
Posted: Fri Jan 17, 2025 5:42 pm
by tron777
The pattern really gets active by Day 10 with a fairly strong SE ridge showing up.
Re: January 2025 Wx Discussion
Posted: Fri Jan 17, 2025 5:45 pm
by tron777
CVG reported a 4" snow depth today but that was at 7am this morning. After a day in the 40s and a low above freezing tonight followed by a quarter inch or so of rain... I'd say the snow pack should be reduced to an inch or two tops. SE Crew has best chance for a quick refresher as well as a couple isolated LES areas off of Michigan Sun morning. My hood will probably me in no mans land on this one.
Re: January 2025 Wx Discussion
Posted: Fri Jan 17, 2025 8:11 pm
by tpweather
Good Evening and we await the rainfall overnight. I thought for sure fog we be an issue and that did not happen. I missed that forecast but believe late Saturday into Sunday I feel confident that has been a good call. I started feeling better when I saw a few mets in the last few days start to get onboard with that system and watched Kevin tonight and he mentioned that models just don't handle true arctic fronts. He also has outlined his forecast next week which is very similar to how I see the pattern developing next week. Should see by Saturday morning winter weather advisories for folks in southeast Kentucky and maybe up to I-64 east of I-75. The ratios will be 20-1 and that is why these systems that don't have tons of moisture can produce some decent snows. Funny to say but the CMC will end up being the winner this week if the system happens Sunday. So this week the models really get a bad grade for the weekend except the CMC of the 3 major models.