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Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sat Feb 24, 2024 10:43 am
by dce
Received 1 inch in Huber Heights.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sat Feb 24, 2024 11:20 am
by tron777
Code: Select all
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1117 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1116 AM Snow Kilbourne 40.33N 82.96W
02/24/2024 M1.9 inch Delaware OH Trained Spotter
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1116 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 AM Snow Lewis Center 40.20N 83.01W
02/24/2024 M4.0 inch Delaware OH Public
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1116 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM Snow Hebron 39.96N 82.49W
02/24/2024 M4.0 inch Licking OH Public
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1115 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM Snow Grove City 39.87N 83.07W
02/24/2024 M3.0 inch Franklin OH Public
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1114 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM Snow 2 SW Dublin 40.10N 83.16W
02/24/2024 M2.0 inch Franklin OH Public
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1113 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM Snow Columbus 39.96N 83.00W
02/24/2024 M3.0 inch Franklin OH Public
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1112 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM Snow Chillicothe 39.34N 82.99W
02/24/2024 M1.0 inch Ross OH Public
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1103 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 AM Snow Newark 40.06N 82.40W
02/24/2024 M3.0 inch Licking OH Public
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1102 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 AM Snow NE Troy 40.04N 84.20W
02/24/2024 M2.0 inch Miami OH Trained Spotter
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1101 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1101 AM Snow 5 SE Chillicothe 39.28N 82.91W
02/24/2024 M2.1 inch Ross OH Trained Spotter
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1101 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 AM Snow Heath 40.03N 82.44W
02/24/2024 M3.5 inch Licking OH Public
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sat Feb 24, 2024 12:27 pm
by fyrfyter
This morning at Caesars Creek-
IMG_7759.jpeg
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sat Feb 24, 2024 1:43 pm
by tron777
That's a beautiful morning for hot coffee and a nice fire Aaron!
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sat Feb 24, 2024 4:27 pm
by Bgoney
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sat Feb 24, 2024 7:25 pm
by Closet Meteorologist
Route 48 south of Xenia and east of Beavercreek at 7:45am.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sat Feb 24, 2024 11:34 pm
by MVWxObserver
Had some accumulation here in Greenville but don't know how much.
Currently 23 here in G'ville and progged for around 21 Sun morning.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sat Feb 24, 2024 11:36 pm
by MVWxObserver
Closet Meteorologist wrote: ↑Sat Feb 24, 2024 7:25 pm
Route 48 south of Xenia and east of Beavercreek at 7:45am.
Were you on a Saturday field trip / impromptu snow chase, bro?
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sat Feb 24, 2024 11:40 pm
by MVWxObserver
CVG got to 43, DAY 42 and CMH 41 in the predawn today.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 5:19 am
by Trevor
SPC has marginal for the tri-state for Tuesday/Tuesday night which I agree with. I have definitely become less impressed with our severe potential over the last couple days of model runs. Still isolated severe and something to keep an eye on of course!
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 6:53 am
by Bgoney
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0234 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2024
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
For this event, low-level moisture return is forecast to be weak, with surface dewpoints only increasing into the upper 50s and lower 60s F across parts of the mid Mississippi. For this reason, MLCAPE is forecast to peak only in the 500 to 1000 J/kg range across much of the moist sector. Increasing large-scale ascent ahead of the approaching system is forecast to be sufficient for the development of scattered thunderstorms. Forecast soundings in north-central Illinois, along and near the moist axis, by 03Z/Wednesday have 0-6 km shear in the 55 to 65 knot range, with 700-500 mb lapse rates of 7.5 to 8 C/km. This should be enough for strong to severe updrafts. Isolated wind damage, hail and a possibly a few tornadoes are expected to be the primary threats. Although a Slight Risk appears warranted for this event, there is still uncertainty concerning the magnitude of the severe threat. This uncertainty is mainly due to the weak moisture return, and to the later timing of the convective potential, which is forecast to be mostly in the evening and overnight period.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 9:22 am
by tron777
I agree with the above. General rain with some thunder and lightning. Could still see up to 1" of rain for totals so a nice soaking indeed which we still could use.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 9:44 am
by Trevor
tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 25, 2024 9:22 am
I agree with the above. General rain with some thunder and lightning. Could still see up to 1" of rain for totals so a nice soaking indeed which we still could use.
I also don’t like the second LP popping. It’ll muck up the atmosphere for better severe odds. As soon as I started seeing that I’m like meh. Lol
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 9:48 am
by MVWxObserver
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 9:52 am
by tron777
Trevor wrote: ↑Sun Feb 25, 2024 9:44 am
tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 25, 2024 9:22 am
I agree with the above. General rain with some thunder and lightning. Could still see up to 1" of rain for totals so a nice soaking indeed which we still could use.
I also don’t like the second LP popping. It’ll muck up the atmosphere for better severe odds. As soon as I started seeing that I’m like meh. Lol
Although the second low popping could assist with that little changeover to snow at the very end.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 10:10 am
by tron777
This system has also sped up. The front passes late Wed afternoon or early evening then temps crash very quickly and we see a touch of snow Wed evening at the end then it's over. Thurs will be sunny but chilly behind the frontal passage. Then we will warm back up again. Next weekend looks pretty good right now. Somewhere around 3/5 is when our next system comes in. We will see 60s if not 70 degrees prior to that system coming in. Looks like March will come in like a lamb this year.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 10:14 am
by tron777
MJO is still firmly in the COD per the Aussies as of 2/23 and shows no signs of coming out. A lot of the modeling has it coming out in the closing days of Feb in Phase 3 then getting into Phase 4 by the 2nd week of March. Phase 3 is cold Phase 4 is warm for March. So I would expect to see a cold shot of air during the 1st half of March at some point then we should welcome full on Spring is kind of my thinking. Tellies currently show a -PNA rising towards neutral with an AO and NAO both dropping towards neutral in the longer term.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 10:19 am
by Trevor
70 is def doable tomorrow. I'm thinking low 70s actually.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 10:23 am
by MVWxObserver
Low to mid 60s for Greenville and DAY tomorrow.
Record for DAY on 2/26 is 72 from 2000.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 10:26 am
by Trevor
We almost always overachieve this time of year with a nice SSW flow and sunshine.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 10:28 am
by tron777
Trevor wrote: ↑Sun Feb 25, 2024 10:26 am
We almost always overachieve this time of year with a nice SSW flow and sunshine.
I agree. I'll go with 70. We will have a mild start to the day also thanks to WAA. Should start the day 15 to 20 degrees warmer then we did this morning in the mid 20s.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 10:35 am
by tron777
73 is the record for tomorrow set back in 2000. I think we fall short. But you never know.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 11:50 am
by Trevor
tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 25, 2024 10:35 am
73 is the record for tomorrow set back in 2000. I think we fall short. But you never know.
Thanks for posting that record. Used it in my post on the page.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 11:58 am
by tron777
Trevor wrote: ↑Sun Feb 25, 2024 11:50 am
tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 25, 2024 10:35 am
73 is the record for tomorrow set back in 2000. I think we fall short. But you never know.
Thanks for posting that record. Used it in my post on the page.
No prob. 12Z Long range GFS keeps an upper low around Hudson's Bay so cloudy / cooler period ahead in March if it pans out. NW Flow kind of a cold and dry pattern.
Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Sun Feb 25, 2024 6:42 pm
by Closet Meteorologist
MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Sat Feb 24, 2024 11:36 pm
Closet Meteorologist wrote: ↑Sat Feb 24, 2024 7:25 pm
Route 48 south of Xenia and east of Beavercreek at 7:45am.
Were you on a Saturday field trip / impromptu snow chase, bro?
Ha! Took two bus loads of jazz band kids to a jazz fest.
