Absolute Vorticity

tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 2:03 pm No doubt some record highs being set in KY today. Lexington now up to 73. Frankfort at 72. 71 in Jackson, KY. 73 at Somerset and 72 at Monticello to name a few. CVG's record is only 67 set back in 2001. It'll be close! 66 thus far to my knowledge has been our official high today.

Trevor wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 2:08 pm Just had a gust that shook the whole house. Had to step out and check on things lol

young pup wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 2:14 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 2:03 pm No doubt some record highs being set in KY today. Lexington now up to 73. Frankfort at 72. 71 in Jackson, KY. 73 at Somerset and 72 at Monticello to name a few. CVG's record is only 67 set back in 2001. It'll be close! 66 thus far to my knowledge has been our official high today.

Our record was 66 back in 2001. Looking at CMH stats so far today we broke it with 69 so far.

Trevor wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 2:25 pm50 easy up here.

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 2:52 pm Mesonet Station AP234 in Alexandria KY had 67mph gust at 150pm - that is highest official report I have seen thus far in ILN territory.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 2:53 pm Just another winter day in the OV



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tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 2:25 pm

young pup wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 2:14 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 2:03 pm No doubt some record highs being set in KY today. Lexington now up to 73. Frankfort at 72. 71 in Jackson, KY. 73 at Somerset and 72 at Monticello to name a few. CVG's record is only 67 set back in 2001. It'll be close! 66 thus far to my knowledge has been our official high today.

Our record was 66 back in 2001. Looking at CMH stats so far today we broke it with 69 so far.

Wow! If it won't snow may as well break a record high. What the hell! CVG still at 66. We can't even do warmth right down here LOL DAY's record is 65 from 2001 and they have done it with a temp of 67 currently.

tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 1:28 pm 12Z Operational GFS looks a bit more interesting after the 20th for us snow lovers. The story of our winter, always 10-14 days away and a dollar short in terms of cold air production. 12Z GEFS isn't quite as nice. Still a bit too much of the SE ridge to deal with which shouldn't be a shock to anyone who has been following along. The difference between the two is easy to see. OP GFS has a better Pacific pattern with the -EPO / +PNA ridging in a better place. More poleward into AK and the Arctic as well as it being along the West Coast of North America. GEFS shows more of what our problem all along has been. The -EPO is more of an Aleutian Ridge and the PNA ridging is off of the West Coast. It's all about the orientation and position of these ridges for the correct downstream effects. I do think that the GFS in time could be correct, but as usual it is probably rushing that look by a week to 10 days.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 3:55 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 1:28 pm 12Z Operational GFS looks a bit more interesting after the 20th for us snow lovers. The story of our winter, always 10-14 days away and a dollar short in terms of cold air production. 12Z GEFS isn't quite as nice. Still a bit too much of the SE ridge to deal with which shouldn't be a shock to anyone who has been following along. The difference between the two is easy to see. OP GFS has a better Pacific pattern with the -EPO / +PNA ridging in a better place. More poleward into AK and the Arctic as well as it being along the West Coast of North America. GEFS shows more of what our problem all along has been. The -EPO is more of an Aleutian Ridge and the PNA ridging is off of the West Coast. It's all about the orientation and position of these ridges for the correct downstream effects. I do think that the GFS in time could be correct, but as usual it is probably rushing that look by a week to 10 days.

GEFs and EPS have been in good agreement for a few days now with the latter pattern you describe at least to the 24th atm or basically same pattern we've had more or less. A brief cool down after that cutter a week from now, but then right back to where we are now . A nice Canadian air mass should envelope the western half of the country over the next 2 weeks so expect the active panhandle low development between the two air masses to continue. Have to see how soon the 500mb pattern can react to the MJO approaching and moving into the west pac.

tpweather wrote: ↑Thu Feb 09, 2023 3:56 pm Good Afternoon and wow those winds were strong as several times it sounded like a freight train moving through. Speaking of Ike and it was a Sunday and I was at the Bengals game that day. Ike was no longer a tropical system and the remains were west of here but the pressure was still rather low and of course before Ike had moved into the USA it had developed a big high over the Carolina's and the difference between the pressures ended up like a wind tunnel straight up the Ohio Valley