Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:03 pm
FWIW, 18Z GFS is coming in with 0.20" of QPF now for CVG. We'll see...
Just started snowing....moderate big flakes!
Absolute Vorticity
Ohio Valley Weather Observation & Discussion
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January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Page 21 of 26
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:05 pm
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:06 pm
This includes tomorrow. Also expecting snow showers then too.
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:07 pm
Nice 30dbz over me now in white oak
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:08 pm
18Z GFS
Code: Select all
CMH
MON 00Z 17-JAN -1.6 -0.9 1005 96 97 0.13 544 540
MON 06Z 17-JAN -2.5 -5.3 997 96 99 0.33 533 535
MON 12Z 17-JAN -5.5 -8.9 1000 82 92 0.09 527 527
MON 18Z 17-JAN -1.7 -10.5 1004 86 64 0.00 529 526
TUE 00Z 18-JAN -2.2 -10.0 1010 87 35 0.01 536 528
FGX
MON 00Z 17-JAN -0.3 -1.5 1003 98 96 0.41 542 540
MON 06Z 17-JAN -1.7 -4.8 999 97 98 0.19 534 535
MON 12Z 17-JAN -4.9 -9.4 1005 84 97 0.01 528 525
MON 18Z 17-JAN -1.6 -10.6 1008 89 60 0.02 532 525
TUE 00Z 18-JAN -3.8 -8.2 1014 88 29 0.01 541 530
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:10 pm
18Z RGEM coming in juicer this afternoon:
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:12 pm
After further review it's still a mix of snow, ice pellets, and sleet. Not all snow.
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:12 pm
Primary low continues to die with a 998 MB low beginning to take over now in North Carolina.
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:16 pm
Ice
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:18 pm
700 MB frontogenic forcing developing now over the Eastern sections of our coverage area. Should see snow and rates pick up as time wears on. Dynamic cooling will change the sleet / graupel over to snow.
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:19 pm
Super light snow in Oxford, sure wish the due would catch up. 31/24
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:29 pm
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:30 pm
Yep. Been watching it! Should see snow here in the next 30-45 mins.Ddmeyer004 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:29 pmLes looks like that dry slot is closing up….could get fun here soon
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:38 pm
Snowing good in Hamilton
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:45 pm
Sleet and snow mix here
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:56 pm
Turning to heavy snow here. Bad side is a layer of ice underneath it.
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 5:58 pm
Like Les mentioned the low is now in western NC. As the low continues north over the next 6 hours this will give us the best shot for snow until snow showers on Monday. Again the snows will be in a northeast to southwest flow and folks in southeast Ohio and northeast Kentucky should do well plus the snow will last longer in those areas. So far the storm itself has been a rather slow mover and part of that is the low in the upper gulf states did not want to give up and since this was not a coastal low the transfer is different.
The good thing is next weekend could bring another system to the eastern 1/3 of the country. Way too early and there looks to be several pieces of energy involved again but how do they interact. Even before then we should have another cold front arrive probably later Wednesday or Thursday so cold air should not be the problem next weekend.
The good thing is next weekend could bring another system to the eastern 1/3 of the country. Way too early and there looks to be several pieces of energy involved again but how do they interact. Even before then we should have another cold front arrive probably later Wednesday or Thursday so cold air should not be the problem next weekend.
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 6:02 pm
I can report first flakes now! 
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 6:05 pm
Got ice on walks and parking lots here. It's going to be a long night.
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 6:07 pm
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 6:07 pm
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 6:13 pm
Willowbend Subdivision off of Camp Ernst. Oh, I forgot to report that we had a little sleet earlier. A little glaze on the cars and when you walk up the driveway it is crunchy. Getting some snow on top of it will make things interesting lol
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 6:14 pm
Correlation coefficient radar , areas in yellow and green are a mix and continue to shrink . All other areas with precip should be snow
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 6:15 pm
Almost neighbors... lol... I’m in Hanover Park
Re: January 15-17, 2022 Winter Storm Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 16, 2022 6:15 pm
Per the radar shot above , I still have a moderate rain/mix here