West Pac Typhoon Season Discussion

[tron777]

TD Aere will be impacting Japan.


https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp0522.gif

[tron777]

90W is all we have attm in the West Pac. Currently a low chance of development.

[tron777]

96A has a low chance of development at this time.

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

[tron777]

Invest 92W now on the board with a low chance of development.

[tron777]

93W is our next one on the board to watch - Currently has a low chance for development.

[tron777]

93W now has a high chance of development. We also have a new wave 95S which has a low chance.

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

[tron777]

93W still has a high chance of development. 95S now has a medium chance of development.

[tron777]

West PAC is firing up now with 3 systems. 95W which has a low chance to develop along with Tropical Cyclone 15 off the NW Aussie Coast and also TD Songda which is close to 95W (which is probably disrupting both circulation centers).

abpwsair.jpg

[tron777]

TD Songda is impacting Taiwan now and next on the list is 95W which has a high chance for development at this time.

[tron777]

95W is now TD 7W or Trases for its name.

[tron777]

96W is on the board with a high chance of development.


https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

[tron777]

TD 8W isn't going to last long.... Taiwan and mainland China coming up.


https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp0822.gif

[tron777]

97W has a medium chance of development at this time.

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

[tron777]

97W now has a high chance for development. New wave on the board now 90W which has a low chance.

[tron777]

97W still at a high chance for development. 90W now has a medium chance.

[tron777]

TD 09W is now born. Track map is below.

wp0922.gif

[tron777]

2 systems here. We have TS Meari and a new depression 3A.

abpwsair.jpg

[tron777]

TS Meari is the only one left on the board right now and it's on its way out doing the ole recurve. But it is a TS and not a typhoon so it's not going to have the impact on the overall pattern as the standard recurving typhoon rule would.

[tron777]

99B now has a high chance of development.


https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

[tron777]

99B is now TC 4B and we have a new wave 93W which has a low chance of development.

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

[tron777]

TC 4B is making landfall. 93W and 97W have low chances for development.

[tron777]

97W still has a low chance of development, however 93W has been upgraded now to a high chance.

[tron777]

Both waves have turned into TS's. We have TS Maon, which is going to track across the N Philippine Islands then get Hong Kong potentially. The other TS, Tokage will curve NE of Japan but this is only a TS so again, you can toss out the recurving Typhoon theory here too. This system is not strong enough to change anything in the overall pattern.

[tron777]

Maon is still a TS headed for Taiwan and Tokage has strengthened into a typhoon before doing the recurve E of Japan and weakening.


https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1122.gif

[tron777]

90W has a low chance of development.

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html