Absolute Vorticity

tpweather wrote: ↑Tue Aug 31, 2021 12:09 pm To make things worse is a heat advisory over the next few days in Southeast La. With no power it will be horrible down there.

From what I can gather, some folks will be without power for at least a month in some of the hardest hit areas S of NOLA.

I read where a man is believed dead after having been attacked by an alligator in floodwaters in Slidell, LA.

I have a 2nd cousin named Rana who resides in Slidell. Prayerfully she along with others in LA and MS are faring okay, as could be, there in those conditions.

For Tues ...

1202 60 1 NW INLET BEACH WALTON FL 3028 8602 ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH. (TAE)

1432 UNK 4 W BRUCE WALTON FL 3048 8604 TREE DOWN ON SR-20. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (TAE)

1533 59 PANAMA CITY BAY FL 3019 8573 GULF COAST STATE COLLEGE WEATHERSTEM. (TAE)

1635 UNK 1 W VALDOSTA LOWNDES GA 3085 8329 TREE DOWN ON POWERLINE JUST NORTH OF VALDOSTA STATE UNIVERSITY. (TAE)

1645 UNK 1 WSW WEBER BERRIEN GA 3123 8315 REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ON HWY 76 E. (TAE)

1710 UNK 5 SSW TENNILLE WASHINGTON GA 3287 8285 TWO TREES DOWNED ALONG HWY 68 S ... ONE AT DEEP CUT RD AND ONE AT HURST RD (FFC)

1710 UNK 5 WSW TENNILLE WASHINGTON GA 3290 8289 TREE DOWNED ON THE 800 BLOCK OF DIXON GROVE RD (FFC)

1715 UNK 4 SSE TENNILLE WASHINGTON GA 3289 8279 TREE DOWNED AT HWY 15 S AND OLD SAVANNAH RD (FFC)

1720 UNK 3 S MCRAE TELFAIR GA 3202 8291 TREE DOWNED AT DEEPSTEP RD AND PLEASANT GROVE RD (FFC)

1723 UNK 4 NW DEEPSTEP WASHINGTON GA 3305 8302 TREE DOWNED ON THE 1400 BLOCK OF N INDIAN TRAIL RD (FFC)

1727 UNK 6 W DAVISBORO WASHINGTON GA 3299 8270 TREE DOWNED AT SUN HILL GRANGE RD AND NEW RD (FFC)

1727 UNK 4 SSW WARTHEN WASHINGTON GA 3305 8282 TREE DOWNED ON THE 700 BLOCK OF BUSSELL RD (FFC)

1731 UNK 1 NNE CRAWFORDVILLE WAKULLA FL 3018 8437 TREE DOWN INTO POWERLINES. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (TAE)

1829 UNK 4 NE HARLEM COLUMBIA GA 3346 8228 COLUMBIA COUNTY SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED TREES DOWN AT LOUISVILLE AND GRANT ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (CAE)

1830 UNK 3 NW GROVETOWN COLUMBIA GA 3348 8224 PUBLIC REPORT ... VIA SOCIAL MEDIA ... OF A TREE DOWN ON FERMOY LANE ... ALONG WITH ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH. TIME ESTIMATED. (CAE)

1835 UNK 9 S LINCOLNTON LINCOLN GA 3366 8248 TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN AT 5500 THOMSON HWY. TIME ESTIMATED. (CAE)

1845 UNK 4 SSE CLARKS HILL MCCORMICK SC 3361 8213 TREES DOWN AT HWY 28 AND HOPEWELL CHURCH RD. TIME ESTIMATED. (CAE)

1845 UNK MODOC MCCORMICK SC 3371 8222 TREES DOWN AT FORREST DR AND BRECKENRIDGE LN. TIME ESTIMATED. (CAE)

1855 UNK PLUM BRANCH MCCORMICK SC 3385 8225 TREES DOWN AT 284 OLD AUGUSTA RD NEAR PLUM BRANCH. TIME ESTIMATED. (CAE)

1858 UNK 2 ESE WILLINGTON MCCORMICK SC 3396 8242 MCCORMICK CO DISPATCH REPORTED 3 TREES DOWN AT GETTYS RD AND HWY 81 ... BETWEEN MCCORMICK AND MT CARMEL. TIME ESTIMATED. (CAE)

1910 UNK 1 N EDGEFIELD EDGEFIELD SC 3380 8193 TREE DOWN ON BUNCOMBE ST IN EDGEFIELD. TIME ESTIMATED. (CAE)

1922 UNK 3 NNE NINETY SIX GREENWOOD SC 3421 8201 911 CALL CENTER REPORTED TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 702. (GSP)

1941 UNK 4 S CROSS HILL LAURENS SC 3425 8199 ROOF OFF HOME ON AMBER HILL CIRCLE SPUR NORTH OF LAKE GREENWOOD (GSP)

1941 UNK 2 SSW CLINTON LAURENS SC 3446 8188 TREE DOWN NEAR SPRUCE STREET AND CEDAR STREET IN CLINTON (GSP)

1949 UNK 3 SE LAURENS LAURENS SC 3447 8200 TREE DOWN IN ROADWAY ON JONELLA STREET AND E FARLEY AVENUE (GSP)

1949 UNK 1 W LAURENS LAURENS SC 3450 8204 TREE DOWN IN ROADWAY AT SUNSET PARK EXT AND ANDERSON DRIVE (GSP)

1955 UNK 1 WNW SAVANNAH CHATHAM GA 3206 8110 BROADCAST MEDIA RELAYED A PICTURE SHOWING DAMAGE TO A METAL ROOF OF A COMMERCIAL BUILDING NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF W 37TH AND MONTGOMERY ST. TIME WAS ESTIMATED VIA RADAR. (CHS)

2000 UNK 5 S FOUNTAIN INN LAURENS SC 3462 8220 TREE DOWN IN ROADWAY AT WINDING HOLLOW ROAD AND GREENPOND ROAD (GSP)

2005 UNK 4 W WOODRUFF LAURENS SC 3473 8211 TREE DOWN IN ROADWAY AT KNIGHTON CHAPEL ROAD AND OLD PLANTATION ROAD (GSP)

2019 UNK 3 E SMOAKS COLLETON SC 3309 8076 A 911 CALL CENTER REPORTED A TREE ON A POWER LINE NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF SUNRISE AND DRAIN RD. TIME WAS ESTIMATED VIA RADAR DATA. (CHS)

2020 UNK 3 ESE LYMAN SPARTANBURG SC 3494 8207 DOWNED POWER LINES OFF I-85 NEAR MM 66. CAUSING TRAFFIC DELAYS. (GSP)

2050 UNK 3 NNW EVENSVILLE RHEA TN 3560 8498 REPORTS OF TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ACROSS RHEA COUNTY. (MRX)

2105 UNK 6 NNW RUTHERFORDTON RUTHERFORD NC 3544 8200 TREES DOWN IN ROADWAY ON DARLINGTON ROAD SOUTH OF BROOKS LAKE. (GSP)

2110 TAYLOR HOUSTON AL 3117 8547 EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED DAMAGE TO 1 HOME ... OUTBUILDINGS ... AND TREES IN TAYLOR. (TAE)

2126 UNK 2 SW GLENWOOD MCDOWELL NC 3559 8201 TREES DOWN ON MUD CUT ROAD IN GLENWOOD. (GSP)

2130 UNK 1 NW MARION MCDOWELL NC 3569 8202 TREES DOWN AT ROBINSON ROAD AND NORTH MAIN STREET IN MARION. (GSP)

2135 UNK 5 NNE MARION MCDOWELL NC 3575 8199 TREES DOWN NEAR LAKE JAMES IN MARION. REPORTED 68MPH WIND GUST. (GSP)

As expected... a lot of my customers got out of dodge and evacuated to some far away places like Houston, TX or Tallahassee, FL. I know because I got a lot of calls today from folks at various hotels trying to get online to access the company's VPN.

----

Ida is still causing a lot of flooding problems to the East over the Mid-Atlantic states.

Tropical Depression Ida Advisory Number 25
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL092021
500 AM EDT Wed Sep 01 2021

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA IS MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS AND SHOULD BECOME POST-TROPICAL TODAY...
...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN AND AREAS OF LIFE THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT NEAR THE TRACK OF IDA...
...ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES ACROSS PARTS OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.3N 82.5W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM W OF ROANOKE VIRGINIA
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM NE OF KNOXVILLE TENNESSEE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flood and Flash Flood Watches are in effect for portions of the
central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic, and into southern New York and
southern New England.

A Tornado Watch is in effect until 8 AM EDT Wednesday across
the District of Columbia, central and northern Maryland, and
northeastern Virginia. For the latest severe weather outlooks and
status of watches, including Tornado Watches, please refer to the
Storm Prediction Center.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ida was
located near latitude 37.3 North, longitude 82.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the northeast near 24 mph (39 km/h) and
this motion is expected to continue over the next couple days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast later today and tonight as Ida
becomes extratropical.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Ida will produce the following
rainfall totals:

Mid Atlantic to Southern New England: 3 to 8 inches with isolated
higher amounts through Thursday.

Significant and life-threatening flash flooding is likely from the
Mid-Atlantic into southern New England, especially across highly
urbanized metropolitan areas and areas of steep terrain. Widespread
moderate and major river flooding impacts are forecast from northern
West Virginia and western Maryland into southern Pennsylvania and
New Jersey, particularly in the Monongahela, Potomac, Susquehanna,
Delaware, and lower Hudson river basins.

Widespread minor to isolated major river flooding is occurring or
forecast from the Lower Mississippi Valley into far western Alabama
and northeast Georgia. Rivers will remain elevated into next week.

For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with
Tropical Depression Ida, see the companion storm summary at
WBCSCCNS4 with the WMO header of ACUS44 KWBC or at the following
link:

www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html

TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are probable across portions of the
Mid Atlantic today, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Lamers

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0900Z 37.3N 82.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
12H 01/1800Z 38.9N 79.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
24H 02/0600Z 41.2N 73.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
36H 02/1800Z 43.8N 68.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 03/0600Z 46.1N 65.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

For Wed ...

1705 UNK 3 WNW PENOLA CAROLINE VA 3798 7742 LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWNED ALONG VA-207 ROGERS CLARK BLVD. (AKQ)

1750 3 W WICOMICO CHARLES MD 3842 7693 LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED TORNADO TOUCHDOWN NEAR ALLENS FRESH MOVING TOWARDS DENTSVILLE. NO DAMAGE REPORTED YET TO THE COUNTY. (LWX)

1800 UNK FAIR PORT NORTHUMBERLAND VA 3783 7629 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. (AKQ)

1816 ANNAPOLIS ANNE ARUNDEL MD 3897 7650 COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS TREES AND WIRES DOWN ... AND DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS THROUGHOUT THE RIVA ... WOODLAND BEACH ... AND ANNAPOLIS AREA. (LWX)

1825 UNK 2 SSE BROOKLYN PARK ANNE ARUNDEL MD 3919 7660 MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON ARUNDEL EXPRESSWAY NEAR EAST ORDNANCE ROAD. (LWX)

1834 UNK 1 NW YORK SPRINGS ADAMS PA 4002 7713 MULTIPLE TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON THE 11000 BLOCK OF CARLISLE PIKE. (CTP)

1848 1 SSE FORT HOWARD ANZ531 MD 3920 7644 EF-0 WITH ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS OF 85 MPH. PATH LENGTH: 6.7 MILES MAX WIDTH: 75 YARDS (LWX)

1916 UNK KINGS POINT JAMES CITY VA 3724 7670 TREE DOWN ON KINGSPORT DR NEAR CROWNPOINT RD. (AKQ)

1916 UNK 1 ENE EASTON TALBOT MD 3878 7606 A FEW TREES DOWN BLOCKING ROADWAYS IN EASTON. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

1920 UNK 2 N ROYAL OAK TALBOT MD 3875 7618 DOWNED TREES OR WIRES CAUSED A PORTION OF MD-329 TO BE CLOSED NORTH OF STATION RD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

1922 UNK 2 NW SKIPTON TALBOT MD 3891 7609 TREES DOWN BLOCKING ROAD WAYS NEAR WYE MILLS. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

1923 UNK SAINT MICHAELS TALBOT MD 3879 7622 A FEW TREES DOWN BLOCKING ROADWAYS. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

1943 UNK 2 SSW GRANTSVILLE GARRETT MD 3968 7917 MD-495 BITTINGER ROAD WAS CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS DUE TO FLOODING AT MAPLE GROVE ROAD. (LWX)

2000 UNK 2 NW CHRIST CHURCH LANCASTER VA 3770 7645 TREE BRANCHES DOWN ON POWER LINES NEAR MORAN CREEK RD. (AKQ)

2010 UNK 1 SSE BAY VIEW CECIL MD 3962 7595 TREE DOWN ON LUMS ROAD. (LWX)

2017 UNK 1 SE OXFORD CHESTER PA 3978 7596 TREES AND POWER POLES SNAPPED AND ROOF DAMAGE ALONG SLATE HILL DRIVE IN EAST NOTTINGHAM TOWNSHIP. PROBABLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

2021 UNK 2 S UPPER OXFORD TWP CHESTER PA 3981 7595 MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALONG US 1 SOUTH NEAR NEW LONDON. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

2056 2 NW HURLOCK DORCHESTER MD 3865 7590 TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR NEW MARKET. (AKQ)

2111 1 NNE HURLOCK DORCHESTER MD 3865 7586 VIDEO OF A TORNADO CROSSING GRAVEL BRANCH RD. (AKQ)

2139 UNK FORT WASHINGTON MONTGOMERY PA 4015 7521 SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE IN THE FORT WASHINGTON AREA. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

2139 UNK UPPER DUBLIN TWP MONTGOMERY PA 4015 7520 CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE IN FORT WASHINGTON NEAR THE HIGH SCHOOL. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

2139 UNK 1 S FURLONG BUCKS PA 4028 7508 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND MINOR DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES IN A SWATH GENERALLY PARALLEL TO AND JUST NORTH OF YORK ROAD BETWEEN SUGAR BOTTOM ROAD AND ROUTE 202. (PHI)

2144 UNK 1 SE LOWER GWYNEDD TWP MONTGOMERY PA 4018 7521 TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE AROUND MAPLE GLEN. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

2146 UNK 2 WNW HORSHAM MONTGOMERY PA 4019 7516 MULTIPLE BUILDINGS HAD THEIR ROOFS BLOWN OFF ALONG NORRISTOWN ROAD. NORRISTOWN ROAD IS COMPLETELY BLOCKED WITH DEBRIS. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

2221 1 ENE MULLICA HILL GLOUCESTER NJ 3974 7520 SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE IN THE MULLICA HILL AREA INCLUDING SEVERAL HOMES DAMAGED AND TREES DOWN ON CEDAR ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

2227 UNK WENONAH GLOUCESTER NJ 3979 7515 FUNNEL CLOUD SPOTTED AND DAMAGE REPORTED IN WENONAH. POSSIBLY DUE TO A TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

2240 UNK 1 WNW CHERRY HILL TWP CAMDEN NJ 3993 7505 MULTIPLE TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND CHERRY HILL. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

2255 UNK 1 NE COOPERSTOWN BURLINGTON NJ 4006 7489 DAMAGE REPORTED NEAR ROUTE 130 IN THE WILLINGBORO AND EDGEWATER PARK AREA. PROBABLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

2306 69 1 WNW BURLINGTON BURLINGTON NJ 4008 7487 (PHI)

2325 UNK LAWRENCE TWP MERCER NJ 4029 7474 TREES AND WIRES DOWN IN LAWRENCEVILLE TOWNSHIP. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (PHI)

0051 UNK 1 N MAHWAH BERGEN NJ 4101 7417 TREE DOWN INTO HOUSE WITH STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ON VOORHEES ROAD. (OKX)

0110 59 TETERBORO AIRPORT BERGEN NJ 4086 7406 (OKX)

0209 UNK 1 N RYE WESTCHESTER NY 4099 7368 LARGE TREE DOWN ON NEW STREET TOOK SOME WIRES. (OKX)

0215 UNK 1 N RYE WESTCHESTER NY 4099 7368 WIRES DOWN ACROSS NATOMA STREET AND PURCHASE STREET. (OKX)

0217 UNK 1 S RYE WESTCHESTER NY 4097 7368 TREE DOWN ACROSS PLAYLAND PARKWAY BETWEEN FOREST AVE AND MIDLAND AVE. (OKX)

0245 UNK EATONS NECK SUFFOLK NY 4094 7339 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. ONE LARGE TREE DOWN INTO A HOME. (OKX)

0250 UNK 1 WSW CENTERPORT SUFFOLK NY 4090 7338 PHOTOS SHARED ON SOCIAL MEDIA SHOW DECK COLLAPSE AND SEVERAL TREE BRANCHES SNAPPED. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (OKX)

0300 UNK 3 SSW MONROE FAIRFIELD CT 4132 7322 LARGE TREE SNAPPED IN HALF ON COUNTRYSIDE DRIVE. (OKX)

0525 UNK DENNIS BARNSTABLE MA 4173 7020 MULTIPLE TREES REPORTED DOWN ON ROUTE 6A. (BOX)

0530 DENNIS BARNSTABLE MA 4173 7020 EF-0 TORNADO WITH MAX WINDS NEAR 75 MPH. DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED IN A SMALL AREA NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF EAST BAY VIEW RD AND WAMPANOAG TRAIL. ONE HOME SUSTAINED DAMAGE. (BOX)

So SPC storm reports only showing 5 tornado reports yesterday? Huh? Only one in New Jersey? I saw video of several in NJ alone. Something seems fishy about this! Anyone else think this is strange? Maybe there is just a delay in storm reports or waiting on surveys, but with the high population in this area you would think they would have been inundated with reports.

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Thu Sep 02, 2021 9:40 am So SPC storm reports only showing 5 tornado reports yesterday? Huh? Only one in New Jersey? I saw video of several in NJ alone. Something seems fishy about this! Anyone else think this is strange? Maybe there is just a delay in storm reports or waiting on surveys, but with the high population in this area you would think they would have been inundated with reports.

I thought there were tornadoes in PA, NJ, and MD from what I've gathered. There could be a delay in the data. That wouldn't surprise me. NWS Storm Damage surveys may not occur for a while if some of these areas are flooded out. Only rational guess that I can come up with.

Even Cape Cod got an EF0 Tornado from Ida. Cape Cod! Tornadoes have to be so rare there due to their proximity to the cooler ocean waters.

I checked this evening at the SPC site and there's now 8 tornado reports, 6 from MD, 1 from NJ, and 1 from MA.

Good riddance to that hellacious storm system Ida!!

It was the 1st flash flood emergency ever declared for NYC i.e.

Sadly, 25 dead in the Mid Atlantic / Northeast and 11 dead along the Gulf Coast.

Yeah this storm will definitely go into the history books - from the catastrophic damage in LA/MS to the widespread floods and tornadoes in the Northeast and Mid Atlantic. Will be interested to hear the final damage figures - I am certain it will be astronomical!

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Fri Sep 03, 2021 7:35 am Yeah this storm will definitely go into the history books - from the catastrophic damage in LA/MS to the widespread floods and tornadoes in the Northeast and Mid Atlantic. Will be interested to hear the final damage figures - I am certain it will be astronomical!

I fully expect Ida to be retired at some point and a new "I" name to go back into circulation. That would make a total of 10 "I" retired storms I believe. Pretty amazing!

I heard that the death toll has risen to around 48 in the Mid Atlantic / Northeast.