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Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sat Jan 21, 2023 8:54 pm
by BookNerdCarp
I'm looking for rain mostly here...maybe some wrap around tomorrow night. Putting more hope in the midweek system.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sat Jan 21, 2023 9:12 pm
by tron777
BookNerdCarp wrote: Sat Jan 21, 2023 8:54 pm I'm looking for rain mostly here...maybe some wrap around tomorrow night. Putting more hope in the midweek system.
Wish I had better news for your area Matt. You might start out as snow briefly but you will flip to rain quickly unfortunately. If I am wrong about that then I'll def overachieve here! :lol: Anyway, you will see the snow shower action Sun night into Monday which hopefully will give you a little something.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sat Jan 21, 2023 9:17 pm
by tron777
0Z NAM coming in showing a bit of rain for CVG but then mostly snow after that. All snow of course points north from there. QPF wise, CVG gets about 0.22". DAY gets 0.29" all snow. Highs at CVG on this model is about 34. If we can remain all snow down here then 1-2" is doable and for the I-70 Crew I could see 2-3"+. Tim called this before I did so he deserves the credit. Hopefully Mother Nature will agree with the guidance. :lol: Current temps as of 9pm are 29 CVG and I am down to 26! NAM keeps the snow shower machine going into Monday morning with an additional 0.07" of QPF at CVG. Going to be an interesting system as I've said.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sat Jan 21, 2023 9:21 pm
by tpweather
Well decided to take a break from football 21-0. Going to be fun to see how this plays out on Sunday. Will there be busts and almost every storm that happens but this one is not a big bust as we know the fine line between rain/snow is thin. Love to see 1-2 Les and maybe a little more later Sunday into early Monday.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sat Jan 21, 2023 9:45 pm
by tron777
tpweather wrote: Sat Jan 21, 2023 9:21 pm Well decided to take a break from football 21-0. Going to be fun to see how this plays out on Sunday. Will there be busts and almost every storm that happens but this one is not a big bust as we know the fine line between rain/snow is thin. Love to see 1-2 Les and maybe a little more later Sunday into early Monday.
28-0 now at the half! :lol: What a blow out! Anyway, tomorrow morning is going to be interesting for sure to see how this plays out. Love seeing that moisture coming up from the south. Just hope our temp can maintain.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sat Jan 21, 2023 9:46 pm
by tpweather
Current temp is 27 at my house.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sat Jan 21, 2023 9:50 pm
by tron777
26 still here with a dew of 23. 28 currently at CVG. Boone co mesonet site at 29.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sat Jan 21, 2023 9:57 pm
by tron777
0Z RGEM has an inch for CVG, and 3" for the I-70 folks. So basically 1-3" is a good call from S to N across the area.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sat Jan 21, 2023 11:09 pm
by MVWxObserver
28 here in G'ville and progged to hold at around 29 early Sun morning.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sat Jan 21, 2023 11:14 pm
by Spacejunk
23:00, 26.2 with a dew of 22. Oxford

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:12 am
by BCW
This is why I come here for weather forecasts....
The Weather app is calling for 3"-5", but the special weather statement on the same app says 1"-2". 🤔

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:39 am
by BCW
Current condition in Monroe. It's spitting pretty hard.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:40 am
by MVWxObserver
Sidewalk, driveway, winding walkway, road and street all covered.

Currently 30 here.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:41 am
by tron777
Good morning all! 31 / 28 IMBY with snow! Everything has a dusting on it. Grass, cars, driveway, my street! Finally looks like January if only for a short while. :lol: CVG also reporting light snow and 31 with 2.5 mile visibility. QPF at the airport as of 7am 0.03". So we will be finally adding a bit to our seasonal total today! Radar looks great! Nice banding for the Metro right up I-71 and the Dayton area should be seeing some nice flakes as well! SPC Mesopage this morning shows a small low of 1010 MB over extreme SE KY with another broad low over the Gulf Coast states. Pressure falls has that low headed towards Atlanta, GA with more deep pressure falls off the SE Coast where a new low will eventually form to give snow to interior New England later today and tomorrow. Fantastic frontogenic forcing as well at 700 MB is helping to create the lift needed for the heavier snow bands and thus, keeping a lot of us all snow this morning which was needed for our forecast to have a chance at verifying.

7fnt_sf.gif

Surface temps: You've gotta smell the rain to see the snow as we've said.

fztp.gif

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:44 am
by tron777
BCW wrote: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:39 am Current condition in Monroe. It's spitting pretty hard.
Gorgeous pic!!! Thanks for being a member here. :) Can't stand those weather apps as they are all computer generated with no human analysis. I don't mind looking at radar, getting watches and warnings, etc though. That's really all they are useful for.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:45 am
by tron777
MVWxObserver wrote: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:40 am Sidewalk, driveway, winding walkway, road and street all covered.

Currently 30 here.
Good morning Bro! Some nice returns headed your way as well. Enjoy!

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:46 am
by dce
About a half inch so far. Snowing moderate to heavy. Radar looks great!

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:50 am
by tpweather
Good Morning and nice to see snow falling. Roads are covered and I thought there would be more on the trees but that is not the case. Les I believe the forecast is looking good and though never a perfect forecast it seems we are on target. Hopefully this is just the appetizer and we get the main course mid-week.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:52 am
by Trentonwx06
WWA just issued for the area!

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:54 am
by Snow plow man
1” on the ground in Fairfield Township

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:54 am
by tron777
tpweather wrote: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:50 am Good Morning and nice to see snow falling. Roads are covered and I thought there would be more on the trees but that is not the case. Les I believe the forecast is looking good and though never a perfect forecast it seems we are on target. Hopefully this is just the appetizer and we get the main course mid-week.
Dynamic cooling for the win! :thumbsup: HRRR was a little too cold but it had the right idea along with the RGEM. NAM was too warm.

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:55 am
by tron777
Trentonwx06 wrote: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:52 am WWA just issued for the area!
Always a day late and a dollar short. I would have had one issued NW of I-71 at the very least last night. :lol:

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:55 am
by tron777
Love the reports folks... and pics! Keep 'em coming! Big flakes here with heavy snow, WOW! This will add up quickly!

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:59 am
by tpweather
tron777 wrote: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:54 am
tpweather wrote: Sun Jan 22, 2023 7:50 am Good Morning and nice to see snow falling. Roads are covered and I thought there would be more on the trees but that is not the case. Les I believe the forecast is looking good and though never a perfect forecast it seems we are on target. Hopefully this is just the appetizer and we get the main course mid-week.
Dynamic cooling for the win! :thumbsup: HRRR was a little too cold but it had the right idea along with the RGEM. NAM was too warm.
Les here is the problem I believe sometimes when trying to make a forecast. You believe the forecast you throw out is good but with this storm the NAM was too warm. So that is in the back of your mind which model is correct. I believe last night when we saw the temps drop into the mid-upper 20's that was a good sign. This storm you don't have a big surge of milder air into the system. BTW moderate to almost heavy snow falling.WOW. Will we miss on the low end

Re: Sunday Wet Snow Thump 1/22/23

Posted: Sun Jan 22, 2023 8:02 am
by tron777
IMG_20230122_075946624.jpg