Absolute Vorticity

23 now and moderate snow at CVG. 1/2 mile vis.

20 degrees... nice covering out there!

Guessing a quarter to a half inch here. Only Les would be on here during the SB. Gotta love it!!!!

snowbo wrote: ↑Sun Feb 13, 2022 8:10 pm Guessing a quarter to a half inch here. Only Les would be on here during the SB. Gotta love it!!!!

Dude, it's been snowing here. Got a Quarter of an inch. Why wouldn't I be on here? Hello?!?!?!?!

EDIT: I'm up to a pathetic 11" on the season now with this event.

Hopefully the roads will be in good shape for Mon morning as my folks go to Richmond, IN for mom to have a routine appt with an endocrinologist.

Currently 12 here in G'ville and progged for around 9 on Mon morning.

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1002 PM EST Sun Feb 13 2022

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-140700-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-
Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-
Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-
Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-
Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty,
West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles,
Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw,
Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger,
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown,
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville,
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Kenton, Ada,
Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney,
Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City,
Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City,
Columbus, Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek,
Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster,
Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason,
Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan,
Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro,
Greenfield, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth,
and Wheelersburg
1002 PM EST Sun Feb 13 2022

...SLICK ROADS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...

Scattered snow showers will continue to taper off through
midnight. However, with temperatures below freezing, untreated
roadways will remain slick in spots. Please use extra caution if
traveling tonight.

$$

Dusting total here. Not much change in overnight mods for the late wed/thurs event. GFS has been about the same for several days and EU the last few runs, both resulting in a a low track producing rain as the outcome with possible backend flakes for most of the region . QPF in the 1-2"range.

Currently 12 here in G'ville and progged to top out at around 26 today.

Looking like a nice snow storm from St. Louis to Chicago to Saginaw Bay. I like the above forecast. Looks good! It's going to be a windy couple of days mid to late next week also with this system. A chilly 15 degrees here this morning.

0.5" at CVG so we're up to 10.9" now on the season.

Condolences Bengal fans. 3 new inches up here the past 24 hours.
For the season now up to 77 inches. Yearly average up here is 111.

Good Morning and the streets are in great shape. The mid-week storm and how the models have handled it so far. The gfs which was furthest north and then made a slight move southeast has went back northwest overnight. The Euro which was north as well but not quite that far compared to the gfs moved southeast over the weekend and that continues. The CMC has always been the furthest southeast and that continues though warmer layers are lasting longer on the overnight runs. So the forecast really has been a nice round of rainfall from all 3 models and the question as always been when does the colder air catch up to the precip it at all. Still nearly 2 days away before the system starts to get itself together but this is a progressive system so that helps keep totals in tack and precip types for the most part are going to be snow or rain though a period of sleet is possible but very short-lived since the colder once it arrives should take care of the sleet chances quickly.

Received a 1/2" of snow total from the weekend events.

Snowbrain2 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 14, 2022 7:52 am Condolences Bengal fans. 3 new inches up here the past 24 hours.
For the season now up to 77 inches. Yearly average up here is 111.

Love those pics Jeff! I know it's been below avg for your area too, but the pics are still fantastic!

BG SnowTalk! https://www.wave3.com/2022/02/14/snowta ... pdate-214/

tron777 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 14, 2022 8:04 am

Snowbrain2 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 14, 2022 7:52 am Condolences Bengal fans. 3 new inches up here the past 24 hours.
For the season now up to 77 inches. Yearly average up here is 111.

Love those pics Jeff! I know it's been below avg for your area too, but the pics are still fantastic!

@Les I’ve said this many times before. You really should be living in the lake effect belts. You’d be one happy camper!

Trevor wrote: ↑Mon Feb 14, 2022 8:13 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 14, 2022 8:04 am

Snowbrain2 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 14, 2022 7:52 am Condolences Bengal fans. 3 new inches up here the past 24 hours.
For the season now up to 77 inches. Yearly average up here is 111.

Love those pics Jeff! I know it's been below avg for your area too, but the pics are still fantastic!

@Les I’ve said this many times before. You really should be living in the lake effect belts. You’d be one happy camper!

He and Jeff could build a snow fort city!!

Couple of mood flakes floating down on this chilly V-day morning.

Trevor wrote: ↑Mon Feb 14, 2022 8:13 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 14, 2022 8:04 am

Snowbrain2 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 14, 2022 7:52 am Condolences Bengal fans. 3 new inches up here the past 24 hours.
For the season now up to 77 inches. Yearly average up here is 111.

Love those pics Jeff! I know it's been below avg for your area too, but the pics are still fantastic!

@Les I’ve said this many times before. You really should be living in the lake effect belts. You’d be one happy camper!

Yes I know.

Decent snow shower in progress again here...

Still seeing a few flurries... GFS has a S ILL to Indy to Toledo track for the next system.

12Z CMC is still south with a snow storm now for ST. Louis, IND to Toledo. Rain to snow for us. CMC is correcting NW with each run so it's slowly coming around to the more northern solutions. GEFS also supporting the OP GFS. 12Z UKIE has the low coming thru NKY.

tron777 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 14, 2022 12:08 pm 12Z CMC is still south with a snow storm now for ST. Louis, IND to Toledo. Rain to snow for us. CMC is correcting NW with each run so it's slowly coming around to the more northern solutions. GEFS also supporting the OP GFS. 12Z UKIE has the low coming thru NKY.

Looking at the CMC and early on it goes a little northwest only to shift to the east later in the storm. So for us still a rain to snow outcome. GFS is still holding steady which is mainly a rain storm and maybe a few flurries or light snow on the tail end but not much. Waiting on the Euro who has been in the middle of these for the past couple of days.

tpweather wrote: ↑Mon Feb 14, 2022 12:19 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 14, 2022 12:08 pm 12Z CMC is still south with a snow storm now for ST. Louis, IND to Toledo. Rain to snow for us. CMC is correcting NW with each run so it's slowly coming around to the more northern solutions. GEFS also supporting the OP GFS. 12Z UKIE has the low coming thru NKY.

Looking at the CMC and early on it goes a little northwest only to shift to the east later in the storm. So for us still a rain to snow outcome. GFS is still holding steady which is mainly a rain storm and maybe a few flurries or light snow on the tail end but not much. Waiting on the Euro who has been in the middle of these for the past couple of days.

UKIE is a nice middle of the road solution currently.

Euro holds serve so again mainly rain but could have a tad more in the way of snow on the back end compared to the gfs but not as much as the CMC. 2 days out and all 3 major models sticking to their guns. For us locally probably not much difference overall though a little more snow with the CMC. The places like Kansas City,St Louis,Chicago,Detroit the path of the storm is crucial in terms of snowfall amounts.