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Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 3:12 pm
by Angelika
Is this a weather balloon? Sorry it's so far away. I didn't know what forum to post it in. Please move it if you need to.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 3:56 pm
by MJSun
So... March, will we get all the snowstorms that should have happened in January? LOL! I told a recent transplant from the South that January thinks it's March and April thinks it's January.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 4:11 pm
by tron777
MJSun wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 3:56 pm So... March, will we get all the snowstorms that should have happened in January? LOL! I told a recent transplant from the South that January thinks it's March and April thinks it's January.
You just never know! We can see anything. 80s like in 2012 or snow and the 20s like in 2008. March can be a very interesting month from a snow and severe wx standpoint.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 4:13 pm
by tron777
Angelika wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 3:12 pm Is this a weather balloon? Sorry it's so far away. I didn't know what forum to post it in. Please move it if you need to.
It might be. NWS does have an office in Key West.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:22 am
by Bgoney
Finally looks like February. Best kind of snow , no shoveling.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Feb 17, 2024 9:12 am
by tron777
Bgoney wrote: Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:22 am Finally looks like February. Best kind of snow , no shoveling.
It kind if looks like a March or April snow to me, because of the no shoveling part lol

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Feb 17, 2024 9:34 am
by Bgoney
I’m up to 6” totals for the season. Woo-hoo. Still hoping I can reach double digits

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Feb 17, 2024 6:16 pm
by MVWxObserver
tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 4:13 pm
Angelika wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 3:12 pm Is this a weather balloon? Sorry it's so far away. I didn't know what forum to post it in. Please move it if you need to.
It might be. NWS does have an office in Key West.
Hopefully a weather balloon and not another Chinese spy one. ;)

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Feb 17, 2024 6:24 pm
by MVWxObserver
CVG reached 40, DAY 36 and CMH 38 yesterday.

Both CVG / DAY got to 26 and CMH 27 during the predawn today.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 8:17 am
by tron777
15 this morning as expected due to the snowpack, clear skies, and light winds. The snow will take a big hit today with sunshine and SW winds gusting to 30 mph this afternoon. U30s to the L40s are expected for most areas.

The weather for next week is quiet with a warming trend. Expecting 50 for Pres Day (after another very cold morning), then the 50s for Tues, near 60 Wed, and back into the 50s on Thurs. Rain moves in by Thurs afternoon and ends overnight. That is our next system to deal with. Thinking 0.25 to 0.50" rainfall amounts at this time. Then a nice weekend on tap. Then we close February out with more rainy / stormy conditions.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 8:57 am
by Bgoney
IMG_1462.jpeg

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 9:09 am
by Trevor
tron777 wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 8:17 am 15 this morning as expected due to the snowpack, clear skies, and light winds. The snow will take a big hit today with sunshine and SW winds gusting to 30 mph this afternoon. U30s to the L40s are expected for most areas.

The weather for next week is quiet with a warming trend. Expecting 50 for Pres Day (after another very cold morning), then the 50s for Tues, near 60 Wed, and back into the 50s on Thurs. Rain moves in by Thurs afternoon and ends overnight. That is our next system to deal with. Thinking 0.25 to 0.50" rainfall amounts at this time. Then a nice weekend on tap. Then we close February out with more rainy / stormy conditions.
Watching the signal for well above normal temps and possible severe thunderstorms as we close out the month.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 9:26 am
by Bgoney
Trevor wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 9:09 am
tron777 wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 8:17 am 15 this morning as expected due to the snowpack, clear skies, and light winds. The snow will take a big hit today with sunshine and SW winds gusting to 30 mph this afternoon. U30s to the L40s are expected for most areas.

The weather for next week is quiet with a warming trend. Expecting 50 for Pres Day (after another very cold morning), then the 50s for Tues, near 60 Wed, and back into the 50s on Thurs. Rain moves in by Thurs afternoon and ends overnight. That is our next system to deal with. Thinking 0.25 to 0.50" rainfall amounts at this time. Then a nice weekend on tap. Then we close February out with more rainy / stormy conditions.
Watching the signal for well above normal temps and possible severe thunderstorms as we close out the month.
Certainly looks interesting for active weather at least for the central part of the country. It’s the first time all season I’ve seen the polar jet with any kind of meat to it showing up in the long range, even showing it with more strength than the STJ at day 10. Should make for some potent cutters for the mid section of country for that time period


Jet.gif

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 10:19 am
by tron777
Bgoney wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 9:26 am
Trevor wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 9:09 am
tron777 wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 8:17 am 15 this morning as expected due to the snowpack, clear skies, and light winds. The snow will take a big hit today with sunshine and SW winds gusting to 30 mph this afternoon. U30s to the L40s are expected for most areas.

The weather for next week is quiet with a warming trend. Expecting 50 for Pres Day (after another very cold morning), then the 50s for Tues, near 60 Wed, and back into the 50s on Thurs. Rain moves in by Thurs afternoon and ends overnight. That is our next system to deal with. Thinking 0.25 to 0.50" rainfall amounts at this time. Then a nice weekend on tap. Then we close February out with more rainy / stormy conditions.
Watching the signal for well above normal temps and possible severe thunderstorms as we close out the month.
Certainly looks interesting for active weather at least for the central part of the country. It’s the first time all season I’ve seen the polar jet with any kind of meat to it showing up in the long range, even showing it with more strength than the STJ at day 10. Should make for some potent cutters for the mid section of country for that time period



Jet.gif
I agree. A deep -PNA appears to be coming with a trough out West and a ridge for The East Coast. Perfect set up for Plains Severe wx and perhaps the OV too.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 10:22 am
by Bgoney
-70°F at Delyankir, Russia Yesterday, just another day in Siberian paradise.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 10:54 am
by Bgoney
Activity has died off considerably in phase 8 , and to a lesser degree in 6/7 where most tropical activity remains



IMG_1465.jpeg

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 11:07 am
by tron777
Bgoney wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 10:22 am -70°F at Delyankir, Russia Yesterday, just another day in Siberian paradise.
Amazing kind of cold for someone like me to think about but you learn how to adapt and survive.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 11:07 am
by tron777
Bgoney wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 10:54 am Activity has died off considerably in phase 8 , and to a lesser degree in 6/7 where most tropical activity remains




IMG_1465.jpeg
As of 2/16 it's still in Phase 7 per the Aussies and diving towards the neutral circle.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 12:42 pm
by tron777
The Fantasy 12Z GFS long term today has a classic late winter / early spring pattern. We get the advancing warm front on Feb 28-th, then the cold front on Leap Year Day. 3/3 a clipper passes thru. :lol:

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 3:10 pm
by tron777
Euro's starting to look more stormy towards the end of its run today.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 4:20 pm
by Bgoney
44 here. Ground is snow free

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 5:03 pm
by tron777
Bgoney wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 4:20 pm 44 here. Ground is snow free
Ditto... minus a few shaded areas.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 7:00 pm
by Pete1
tron777 wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 5:03 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sun Feb 18, 2024 4:20 pm 44 here. Ground is snow free
Ditto... minus a few shaded areas.
Well Les. We had one day of snow cover. I guess it’s better than 0 days of snow cover. Still pathetic, but the snow gods seemed to have turned their backs on us.

I still blame Jason and his snowblower. lol The day he showed the world that snowblower was the day it all went bad for us. lol

If you read this Jason, I’m just kidding ….lol

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Feb 18, 2024 11:37 pm
by MVWxObserver
CVG reached 44, DAY 35 and CMH 37 today.

Re: February 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Feb 19, 2024 1:05 am
by Trevor
Watching Thu for a sneaky strong t’storm threat. Nothing major but isolated small hail and gusty winds possible.

00z GFS advertising quite a large multi-day severe weather outbreak a week from Tuesday. Also something to watch.