Absolute Vorticity

The second line of storms should be moving in over the next 1/2 hour to 1hour.

That second line will be in my hood probably within the next 15 mins. These things are cooking right along at 60-65 mph.

Flood Warning

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
352 PM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

INC041-047-161-177-OHC037-109-113-135-040045-
/O.NEW.KILN.FA.W.0004.230303T2052Z-230304T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fayette IN-Franklin IN-Union IN-Wayne IN-Darke OH-Miami OH-
Montgomery OH-Preble OH-
352 PM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...REPLACES FLOOD ADVISORY...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.

* WHERE...Portions of Indiana and West Central Ohio, including the
following counties, in Indiana, Fayette IN, Franklin IN, Union IN
and Wayne. In West Central Ohio, Darke, Miami, Montgomery and
Preble.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying
and flood-prone locations is imminent or occurring. Streams
continue to rise due to excess runoff from earlier rainfall.
Low-water crossings are inundated with water and may not be
passable.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 352 PM EST, radar and automated rain gauges indicated
heavy rain due to thunderstorms. Flooding is ongoing or
expected to begin shortly in the warned area. Between 2 and
2.5 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts
of 1 to 1.5 inches are possible.

- Some locations that may experience flooding include...
Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Huber Heights, Richmond,
Troy, Trotwood, Piqua, Miamisburg, Springboro, Vandalia,
Connersville, Englewood, Greenville, Franklin, Tipp City,
Eaton, Bellbrook, Moraine and Carlisle.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

To report flooding, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and submit
your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

&&

$$

JDR

Cells are crossing the river now into KY so it won't be much longer now. Skies getting dark.

Here comes the rain again.

This cell needs to be watched. Showing weak rotation.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southeastern Dearborn County in southeastern Indiana...
Northern Kenton County in northern Kentucky...
Northern Boone County in northern Kentucky...
Western Hamilton County in southwestern Ohio...

* Until 500 PM EST.

* At 421 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Aurora,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Cincinnati, Covington, Erlanger, Newport, North College Hill,
Cheviot, Fort Mitchell, Villa Hills, Mount Healthy, Fort Wright,
Lawrenceburg, Greendale, Ludlow, Crescent Springs, Aurora, Park
Hills, Hidden Valley, Finneytown, Burlington and Cleves.

Hah well just as I posted that a t’storm warning was issued. Has a tornado possible tag on it as well. Watch that one closely.

Heavy rain now.... some gusty winds but nothing too crazy yet.

Trevor wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 4:24 pm Hah well just as I posted that a t’storm warning was issued. Has a tornado possible tag on it as well. Watch that one closely.

Yeah that one's headed right at me...

----

It appears that the ole Burlington split is happening where the worst part of the cell goes to my NW and SE and that is exactly what is happening. Nothing severe whatsoever. The winds will become nasty after the storms have passed though.

Rain just started again and would call it light to moderate but wind is picking up

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northern Kenton County in northern Kentucky...
Western Bracken County in northern Kentucky...
Campbell County in northern Kentucky...
Pendleton County in northern Kentucky...
Eastern Hamilton County in southwestern Ohio...
Clermont County in southwestern Ohio...
Northwestern Brown County in southwestern Ohio...

* Until 515 PM EST.

* At 434 PM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Finneytown to 9 miles south of Williamstown, moving
northeast at 70 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to
mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
Cincinnati, Covington, Norwood, Fort Thomas, Newport, Blue Ash,
Loveland, Reading, Montgomery, Madeira, Alexandria, Wyoming,
Highland Heights, Milford, Taylor Mill, Bellevue, Deer Park,
Dayton, Southgate and Falmouth.

Very heavy rain at the moment

Behind the line Shelby and Owen co mesonets have gusted to 62 and 63 mph respectively.

Pretty cool looking as we have white-out conditions and just added thunder and lightning. Wind is strong

The show's over for my hood... awaiting the stronger winds behind the line to move in here shortly.

From the boys:

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
Very strong low pressure over southern Indiana will track
northeast across the region late this afternoon and through the
evening, gradually filling. Precipitation associated with
this will continue to pivot northeast. Airmass will be modifying
considerably as this low moves through. Looks like a limited
warm sector will push into northern Kentucky and far southern
Ohio. This will be where the greatest potential for severe
thunderstorms will occur over the next few hours. Strong to
damaging synoptic winds have been observed to occur 1/2 to 1
hour after the convective line moves through. This corresponds
well with mixing into strong low level jet that will translate
across the southern tier of the forecast area. No changes are
planned at this point to the high wind warning.

A strong pressure gradient will occur in the wake of the low
which will bring strong wind gusts across the rest of the
forecast area late today into this evening. Winds areawide will
slowly diminish during the overnight hours. Precipitation
wrapping around the low could mix with snow before ending across
parts of west central Ohio.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Kenton County in northern Kentucky...
Boone County in northern Kentucky...
Grant County in northern Kentucky...
Western Pendleton County in northern Kentucky...
Eastern Gallatin County in northern Kentucky...

* Until 515 PM EST.

* At 444 PM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Villa Hills to near Williamstown, moving east
at 45 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to
mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
Covington, Florence, Independence, Erlanger, Edgewood, Elsmere,
Fort Mitchell, Villa Hills, Highland Heights, Taylor Mill, Fort
Wright, Williamstown, Crescent Springs, Walton, Crestview Hills,
Park Hills, Lakeside Park, Oakbrook, Burlington and Union.

Dry spot up here for the first time since about 9am. More rain soon to be here.

I can hear that familiar roaring sound we've heard all winter long with these windy systems. Strong winds now moving into my hood... gradient winds.

Winds gusting over 40 now... 41 mph at CVG. Temp is 58.

Wow that wind means business

Well that dry spell didn't last long.