Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion 2024

[tron777]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rafael Advisory Number 29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182024
900 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

...RAFAEL BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 91.9W
ABOUT 370 MI...600 KM NNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

[Bgoney]

Looks like another named storm in the works in the Caribbean

[tron777]

Looks like another named storm in the works in the Caribbean

Yes Sir! I called for one more named storm then I believe the Atlantic basin should be largely over.

[tpweather]

Les you called that one and what a end to the Hurricane season. Still not a believer that its a tropical system once it hits the mainland but it does help over the next 10 days or so to build the southeast ridge and this hopefully will keep that area dry for that time period. The next item is once this system is off the map this should allow colder air to move further south and I believe models are trying to see this though we know if the system gets stronger over the next few days the models will tend to back off on the cold but will return once the models figure out the path.

[tron777]

Les you called that one and what a end to the Hurricane season. Still not a believer that its a tropical system once it hits the mainland but it does help over the next 10 days or so to build the southeast ridge and this hopefully will keep that area dry for that time period. The next item is once this system is off the map this should allow colder air to move further south and I believe models are trying to see this though we know if the system gets stronger over the next few days the models will tend to back off on the cold but will return once the models figure out the path.

I don't see the tropical system impacting the CONUS yet, but I do see one final one developing in the Caribbean. If I lived in FL, I'd have to keep one eye open on it, but otherwise, it might remain a fish storm hopefully for the country's sake.

[MVWxObserver]

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[tron777]

The above image is now at a 30% chance in the next 2 or 3 days. A 70% chance in the next 5-7 days for development.