Re: March 2024 Weather Discussion
Posted: Thu Mar 14, 2024 9:24 pm
CVG got to 75, DAY 73 and CMH 74 today.
Ohio Valley Weather Observation & Discussion
https://absolutevorticity.com/
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Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
155 AM EDT Fri Mar 15 2024
...DAMAGE SURVEYS PLANNED TODAY...
Due to recent severe weather across our area, the National Weather
Service plans to conduct storm damage surveys today. We will be
in contact with emergency managers from affected counties to
determine which locations will be surveyed.
If you have observed any weather-related damage, please report it
to the National Weather Service via severe weather reporting
methods or by calling 937-383-0031.
Good Morning Les and 0.66 here so happy with that but sad about the loss of life yesterday. Locally we missed much of the severe weather but it was very close by and sure the NWS was so busy last night. I have no ideal if these were F1,2,or 3 and sure we will get information on that later today.
Lots of damage reports for sure and it'll be interesting to see the final tornado count and how long some of them were on the ground. This spring looks active so these last couple of events, are only the beginning.tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 6:38 amGood Morning Les and 0.66 here so happy with that but sad about the loss of life yesterday. Locally we missed much of the severe weather but it was very close by and sure the NWS was so busy last night. I have no ideal if these were F1,2,or 3 and sure we will get information on that later today.
Looks very active and hopefully this leads to a good deal of rain without the severe weathertron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 6:46 amLots of damage reports for sure and it'll be interesting to see the final tornado count and how long some of them were on the ground. This spring looks active so these last couple of events, are only the beginning.tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 6:38 amGood Morning Les and 0.66 here so happy with that but sad about the loss of life yesterday. Locally we missed much of the severe weather but it was very close by and sure the NWS was so busy last night. I have no ideal if these were F1,2,or 3 and sure we will get information on that later today.
Bgoney it was interesting and to me Tuesday and Wednesday the wind energy was not showing a big event but I believe that was wrong and it happens with models. Still I thought there was enough data to support a little more concern but again sometimes Mother Nature will do what she does and of course she is so much smarter than the models lol
I only saw the slight risk as well. Goes to show you our outbreaks can be quite unpredictable. I have seen moderate risk days a lot calmer than yesterday was,tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 7:22 am Storm Reports from the SPC:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html
Just the slight risk was all I saw. Enhanced was down in AR and OK. I did play the event too conservatively. The HRRR actually did a great job.
Absolutely Tim. But I do think by their normal early afternoon update yesterday it was evident that there was a pretty good bullseye in Indiana/Ohio with the late afternoon/evening activitytpweather wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 7:13 amBgoney it was interesting and to me Tuesday and Wednesday the wind energy was not showing a big event but I believe that was wrong and it happens with models. Still I thought there was enough data to support a little more concern but again sometimes Mother Nature will do what she does and of course she is so much smarter than the models lol
I agree Mike. It seems that the marginal / slight risk days over perform and the Moderate / High risk days don't.cloudy72 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 8:02 amI only saw the slight risk as well. Goes to show you our outbreaks can be quite unpredictable. I have seen moderate risk days a lot calmer than yesterday was,tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 7:22 am Storm Reports from the SPC:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html
Just the slight risk was all I saw. Enhanced was down in AR and OK. I did play the event too conservatively. The HRRR actually did a great job.
100p/c agree and really by the afternoon update like you mentioned the models were on top of it and also how severe it may become. I thought the leftovers from the morning and enough energy from the southern system involved was a recipe for a rather large outbreak. Once I saw that cell earlier in the day that went through parts of southeast Indiana and northern Kentucky this told me the atmosphere is primed and primed for tornado's.Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 8:04 amAbsolutely Tim. But I do think by their normal early afternoon update yesterday it was evident that there was a pretty good bullseye in Indiana/Ohio with the late afternoon/evening activitytpweather wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 7:13 amBgoney it was interesting and to me Tuesday and Wednesday the wind energy was not showing a big event but I believe that was wrong and it happens with models. Still I thought there was enough data to support a little more concern but again sometimes Mother Nature will do what she does and of course she is so much smarter than the models lol
I echo the being surprised part. That loan supercell was a good lesson for me. I figured it would be a good outbreak too after that cell plus the fact that we had ample sunshine for the atmosphere to recover after the first round moved thru.tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 8:31 am100p/c agree and really by the afternoon update like you mentioned the models were on top of it and also how severe it may become. I thought the leftovers from the morning and enough energy from the southern system involved was a recipe for a rather large outbreak. Once I saw that cell earlier in the day that went through parts of southeast Indiana and northern Kentucky this told me the atmosphere is primed and primed for tornado's.Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 8:04 amAbsolutely Tim. But I do think by their normal early afternoon update yesterday it was evident that there was a pretty good bullseye in Indiana/Ohio with the late afternoon/evening activitytpweather wrote: ↑Fri Mar 15, 2024 7:13 amBgoney it was interesting and to me Tuesday and Wednesday the wind energy was not showing a big event but I believe that was wrong and it happens with models. Still I thought there was enough data to support a little more concern but again sometimes Mother Nature will do what she does and of course she is so much smarter than the models lol
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Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1241 PM EDT Fri Mar 15 2024
...EF1 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN SWITZERLAND COUNTY INDIANA...
The National Weather Service office in Louisville KY has
confirmed an EF1 tornado southwest of Vevay in Switzerland County,
Indiana. Survey teams are currently conducting a storm survey in
the area and in locations further east into Carroll County,
Kentucky. The survey is in relation to the severe thunderstorms
that moved through the area on March 14, 2024.
A final assessment including results of the survey are expected
to be completed and transmitted via a Public Information
Statement by later this evening.
The National Weather Service in Wilmington OH would like to thank
the National Weather SErvice in Louisville KY for support and
assistance with this survey.
The storm survey information will also be available on our
website at http://www.weather.gov/iln
Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1236 PM EDT Fri Mar 15 2024
...EF1 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN LICKING COUNTY OHIO...
The National Weather Service office in Wilmington OH has confirmed
an EF1 tornado north of Johnstown in Licking County, Ohio. Survey
teams are currently conducting a storm survey in the area and in
locations further west. The survey is in relation to the severe
thunderstorms that moved through the area on March 14, 2024.
A final assessment including results of the survey are expected
to be completed and transmitted via a Public Information
Statement by later this evening.
The storm survey information will also be available on our
website at http://www.weather.gov/iln
$$
Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1139 AM EDT Fri Mar 15 2024
...EF-1 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN WESTERN MERCER COUNTY OHIO...
The National Weather Service in Wilmington, Ohio has confirmed an EF-
1 tornado occurred in far western Mercer County, OH, Thursday
afternoon. The survey remains ongoing at this time, with additional
details still to come.
Additional information, including tornado estimated maximum wind
speeds and track data, will be made available later this evening.
A final assessment, including results of the survey, are expected
to be completed and transmitted via a Public Information Statement
later this evening or tomorrow.
The storm survey information will also be available on our website
at http://weather.gov/iln.