Absolute Vorticity

68mph gust in Lexington per CB

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 3:27 pm 100+ shear , anything can happen



100.PNG

Agreed. It really won’t take much to get some tornado warnings in the area.

Winds starting to ramp up here.

KY Mesonet sites behind the line continue to gust in the 45-65 mph range! Remember, this is after the storms pass! A 2-4 hour period of strong winds of this magnitude are likely.

2.1 inches so far

Temps are in the low 50s here... 65 to 70 immediately on the other side of the warm front. We are probably going to remain just north of the warm front and along and just north of it is where I'd be watching for a spin up once the line comes into our hoods. This post is for the Cincy Metro on southward.

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 3:34 pm KY Mesonet sites behind the line continue to gust in the 45-65 mph range! Remember, this is after the storms pass! A 2-4 hour period of strong winds of this magnitude are likely.

I’m beginning to wonder if ILN will further expand the high wind warnings to encompass more of the tri-state.

Made it at 28.98. Wind gust at Bowling Green,Ky last hour at 68mph

Trevor wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 3:36 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 3:34 pm KY Mesonet sites behind the line continue to gust in the 45-65 mph range! Remember, this is after the storms pass! A 2-4 hour period of strong winds of this magnitude are likely.

I’m beginning to wonder if ILN will further expand the high wind warnings to encompass more of the tri-state.

I'm not sure to be honest. Those higher winds are only going to make it so far north. Wind advisory may cover it for folks north west of us.

Posting this since our CWA should be next.

The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Eastern Oldham County in central Kentucky...
North central Shelby County in central Kentucky...
Southeastern Trimble County in central Kentucky...
Western Henry County in central Kentucky...

* Until 400 PM EST.

* At 337 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm was located over La Grange,
moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to
mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
New Castle around 345 PM EST.

Brief dry slot entering the Cincy area ahead of the next line. It’s small so shouldn’t allow for much in the way of a huge temp boost or a lot of CAPE but might be just enough to rise a few degrees and see a couple hundred CAPE for areas especially along and south of the river.

Areas northwest continue to get hammered with some heavy elevated thunderstorms. Very heavy rain and lots of lightning.

My hood has entered the brief break in the action. Might get a peak of sun in here after all per visible. I'll post if that happens or not. Wind has really started to crank as a result of the dry slot moving in.

LOuisville gusted to 71mph after the tstorms were past

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Ohio County in southeastern Indiana...
Switzerland County in southeastern Indiana...
Carroll County in northern Kentucky...
Owen County in northern Kentucky...
Gallatin County in northern Kentucky...

* Until 430 PM EST.

* At 342 PM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 11 miles north of Madison to near La Grange, moving
northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Carrollton, Rising Sun, Vevay, Warsaw, Owenton, Florence, Kentucky
Speedway, Patriot, Pleasant, French, Hartford, Glencoe, Fairview,
Ghent, Sanders, Sparta, Worthville, Prestonville, Monterey and
Gratz.

ILN has issued a t’storm warning in advance of the line. See attached image for counties. 60mph wording.

I'll be next in line for the warning. Yep, can see a peak of sun here now. Might be just enough of a break to assist with keeping the storms severe a bit longer.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 3:46 pm LOuisville gusted to 71mph after the tstorms were past

Been hammering this point all day that the winds were going to crank regardless of seeing severe t-storms or not once the line passed. Strong winds are as close as Oldham and Shelby co's in KY per current Mesonet gusts in the 40 to 45 mph range.

Something I’m noticing on these supercellular structures is that they are more elongated than the classic kidney bean shape. Probably due to the extremely high shear.

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 3:48 pm I'll be next in line for the warning. Yep, can see a peak of sun here now. Might be just enough of a break to assist with keeping the storms severe a bit longer.

It’s a small break but curious to see what your temperature does. Keep me posted.

Trevor wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 3:51 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 3:48 pm I'll be next in line for the warning. Yep, can see a peak of sun here now. Might be just enough of a break to assist with keeping the storms severe a bit longer.

It’s a small break but curious to see what your temperature does. Keep me posted.

55 now

54 at CVG with a SE wind.

EDIT: 28.92" for pressure or 979 MB.

Some very impressive winds just above our heads being picked up on radar.

Partly sunny now

T-storm warning now until 4:45pm... for NKY and SE IN.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Ohio County in southeastern Indiana...
Northeastern Switzerland County in southeastern Indiana...
Kenton County in northern Kentucky...
Boone County in northern Kentucky...
Grant County in northern Kentucky...
Owen County in northern Kentucky...
Pendleton County in northern Kentucky...
Eastern Gallatin County in northern Kentucky...

* Until 445 PM EST.

* At 406 PM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Patriot to 8 miles northwest of Frankfort,
moving northeast at 65 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Covington, Florence, Independence, Erlanger, Edgewood, Elsmere,
Fort Mitchell, Villa Hills, Taylor Mill, Fort Wright, Ludlow,
Williamstown, Crescent Springs, Walton, Crestview Hills, Park
Hills, Lakeside Park, Rising Sun, Falmouth and Oakbrook.