March 2022 Weather Discussion

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
dce
EF5 Tornado
Posts: 810
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 7:45 pm
Location: Huber Heights

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by dce »

cloudy72 wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 10:13 am Something else interesting to note, and I may be jumping into full hype mode here LOL Both the Euro and GFS models have K Index values near 20 in that 06-09z Sat timeframe. Could there be a rumble of thunder with these squalls?
I think Les is still waiting to see thundersnow if my memory serves me correctly. Let's hope so!
Doug

Huber Heights
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 20377
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

dce wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 11:51 am
cloudy72 wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 10:13 am Something else interesting to note, and I may be jumping into full hype mode here LOL Both the Euro and GFS models have K Index values near 20 in that 06-09z Sat timeframe. Could there be a rumble of thunder with these squalls?
I think Les is still waiting to see thundersnow if my memory serves me correctly. Let's hope so!
I have seen it once living here, a very long time ago with one of those big ones we got back in the 1990s.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
dce
EF5 Tornado
Posts: 810
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 7:45 pm
Location: Huber Heights

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by dce »

tron777 wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 11:54 am
dce wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 11:51 am
cloudy72 wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 10:13 am Something else interesting to note, and I may be jumping into full hype mode here LOL Both the Euro and GFS models have K Index values near 20 in that 06-09z Sat timeframe. Could there be a rumble of thunder with these squalls?
I think Les is still waiting to see thundersnow if my memory serves me correctly. Let's hope so!
I have seen it once living here, a very long time ago with one of those big ones we got back in the 1990s.
I thought I remembered something along those lines. That's way too long though! You are way overdue! I've probably seen it 5 or 6 times in the Dayton area since the 90's.
Doug

Huber Heights
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 20377
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

dce wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 2:29 pm
tron777 wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 11:54 am
dce wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 11:51 am
cloudy72 wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 10:13 am Something else interesting to note, and I may be jumping into full hype mode here LOL Both the Euro and GFS models have K Index values near 20 in that 06-09z Sat timeframe. Could there be a rumble of thunder with these squalls?
I think Les is still waiting to see thundersnow if my memory serves me correctly. Let's hope so!
I have seen it once living here, a very long time ago with one of those big ones we got back in the 1990s.
I thought I remembered something along those lines. That's way too long though! You are way overdue! I've probably seen it 5 or 6 times in the Dayton area since the 90's.
Oh wow! That's awesome! It is rare down here further to the south without the lakes influences and such. We'll see! It's a nice looking shortwave coming in from ILL.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 20377
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

There's some nice 700 MB frontogenic forcing over NW ILL and S Wisc for this thing to work with as it drops in. We won't have anything interesting to talk about until like 3-5am in the morning and thru the morning at least of tomorrow.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2159
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Indy just gusted to 58 mph with thunder
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
Browneyedgirl
Heavy Rain
Posts: 104
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 10:19 pm
Location: Liberty Township, Butler County

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by Browneyedgirl »

Can’t tell if it’s hail or graupel but something is coming down hard!
Lisa
Liberty Township, Butler County


Still learning all this weather stuff!
Snowbrain2
Rain Shower
Posts: 42
Joined: Thu Oct 07, 2021 3:19 pm

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by Snowbrain2 »

Up here in north east Ohio 8-12++ inches of snowfall is likely between synoptic snow and lake effect into tomorrow.
2022/23 Winter snowfall 61 inches
Seasonal average 107-113 inches depending on source.
Chardon, Ohio
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2159
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Yeah I think we had some graupel with the squall that came through yesterday evening. Some of the rooftops had a skiff of snow this morning.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 3654
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

A lot of nothing out this way
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
airwolf76
EF0 Tornado
Posts: 380
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2021 11:11 am
Location: Pa

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by airwolf76 »

if we dont squeeze out anything this weekend maybe first week of April has a possibility
22'/23' snowfall > 11"
23'/24' snowfall > 19.5"
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 3654
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

airwolf76 wrote: Sat Mar 26, 2022 11:01 am if we dont squeeze out anything this weekend maybe first week of April has a possibility
Chances for something wintry next weekend or thereabouts from the OHvalley to the interior east is not out of the question. Another deep trough for the east with a possibly better ridge out west. At the very least , yet another cold wintry type weekend ahead
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
snowbo
EF0 Tornado
Posts: 337
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 9:45 am
Location: Brookville, Ohio

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by snowbo »

Under a decent fetch off Lake Michigan...trying to whiten the mulched areas.
Brookville, Ohio
Northwest Montgomery county
I70 Corridor
snowbo
EF0 Tornado
Posts: 337
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 9:45 am
Location: Brookville, Ohio

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by snowbo »

snowbo wrote: Sat Mar 26, 2022 4:08 pm Under a decent fetch off Lake Michigan...trying to whiten the mulched areas.
It's been snowing nonstop all afternoon. Grassy areas, especially those that are typically in shade, have a light covering. We probably got a tenth or two to accumulate. It will be interesting to see what KDAY says.

Edit: Channel 7 reporting 1.4" in Dayton and 1.7 inches in Xenia. Not sure where they get their numbers though.
Brookville, Ohio
Northwest Montgomery county
I70 Corridor
Snowbrain2
Rain Shower
Posts: 42
Joined: Thu Oct 07, 2021 3:19 pm

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by Snowbrain2 »

3 new inches over night. So far 5 inches since yesterday, and 12 inches so far for month of March. May see some more today.
All morning yesterday warm ground and solar radiation were a killer. Not unexpected, but still nice to watch from the sofa.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
2022/23 Winter snowfall 61 inches
Seasonal average 107-113 inches depending on source.
Chardon, Ohio
User avatar
Trevor
Site Admin
Posts: 1710
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 4:38 pm
Location: Blue Ash, OH

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by Trevor »

Seeing a few flakes out there this morning. @Les I am done. UNCLE!! :lol:
Silverton, OH

More active on my FB page...come follow me! :-)
https://www.facebook.com/cwc513
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 5523
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

Trevor wrote: Sun Mar 27, 2022 10:34 am Seeing a few flakes out there this morning. @Les I am done. UNCLE!! :lol:
Same here bro! :thumbupleft:

Currently at the freezing mark here in G'ville.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 20377
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Loved the flake action yesterday! Been busy working on the bathroom remodeling project all weekend. My Brother and I got the flooring and majority of the painting done. Have to paint and do a little more trim work and such still.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 3654
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

20 here this morning. First 10 days of April still void of any long term warm ups.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 20377
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

19 here this morning. We still may have a touch of wintry weather / rain tomorrow morning but not as big deal at all. Our big warm day in the 70s Wed then a strong T-storm risk to keep an eye on before turning colder again. We continue to be stuck in this pattern. A 3-5 day cool snap, 1 or 2 warm days... some rain / storms then wash, rinse, and repeat. 1st half of April looks to continue this trend as previously mentioned.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 20377
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

CVG also down to 19 as of about 6:45.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 20377
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 5523
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

Wonder if the SPC will extend the Marginal risk into the Tri-state and MV at some point?
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 20377
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

MVWxObserver wrote: Mon Mar 28, 2022 10:23 am Wonder if the SPC will extend the Marginal risk into the Tri-state and MV at some point?
It is going to depend on timing to see if any CAPE can build up. A little early to know for sure. Last I saw, timing was not great.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 20377
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Currently, the timing of the front looks to be early Thurs morning with falling temps for the day on Thursday. If correct, that would make the severe threat pretty low. If the guidance begins to speed this system up in the next 24 to 36 hours, then we'll have something to talk about. We'll see!@ For now, another night in the 20s tonight and another day with the 40s tomorrow with clouds and a small shot at a shower. The airmass is dry so the chances are low of seeing measurable precip until Wed night / Thurs morning time frame.

After that system, a small almost clipper like system zips on by to keep us unsettled with a chance for light rain Sat night into Sun. Other then the big spike into the 70s Wed, temps the rest of the time after that storm will primarily be in the 50s with lows in the 30s.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
Post Reply