January 5-6th, 2025 The Double Digit Storm

[Phr0z3n]

The 12Z GFS to me still looks like a northern outlier.

Definitely but a lot closer than what it was.

[tron777]

All models that I have seen today give us some decent deform snows on Monday. Originally, it looked like we were going to be done by noon. If today's trends hold, we will see snow lasting until the late afternoon or early evening hours (depending on your location). The primary looks to hang on into WV and the upper low also remains intact over North Central KY. Hopefully, we will continue to see that. It'll help out with snow totals esp if sleet or frz rain gets involved.

[tron777]

The 12Z GFS to me still looks like a northern outlier.

Definitely but a lot closer than what it was.

True. It's trying! As long as the foreign models continue to look good that's all I am concerned about for today.

[mikeyp]

Canadian is a nice hit. 6-8" and we stay mainly, if not all snow

[Bgoney]

The dry slot brought up yesterday looks real But in this case it looks to be a good thing atm as it has only been showing up where icing would have been going on and that may cut down on those amounts , at least in some areas to the south

[Phr0z3n]

Canadian is a nice hit. 6-8" and we stay mainly, if not all snow

Definitely went south and more of a snow hit for cincy

[tron777]

12Z RGEM = Googly Moogly for Boone, Kenton, Campbell on north. Major snow hit for Cincinnati!

[Phr0z3n]

Icon 12z

IMG_1235.png

[tron777]

Can anyone post the 12Z RGEM please? I bet it is similar to the ICON.

[Phr0z3n]

Can anyone post the 12Z RGEM please? I bet it is similar to the ICON.

[Phr0z3n]

Can anyone post the 12Z RGEM please? I bet it is similar to the ICON.

A little weaker

[tron777]

Thank you Phr0z3n (and everyone else too) for posting what I am asking. I appreciate it! A few more hours to go then I will have zero restrictions.

[Phr0z3n]

Thank you Phr0z3n (and everyone else too) for posting what I am asking. I appreciate it! A few more hours to go then I will have zero restrictions.

No problem!

[dce]

Here is NWS call

My opinion is that they're 8-12 area is too far north.

[Phr0z3n]

Jan 11 is looking interesting for your area per the 12z gfs

[tpweather]

Thank you Phr0z3n (and everyone else too) for posting what I am asking. I appreciate it! A few more hours to go then I will have zero restrictions.

zero restrictions and we are in trouble lol

[Phr0z3n]

12z gfs ensemble mean is just a tad bit north. Wouldn’t amount to much of a change

[tron777]

Jan 11 is looking interesting for your area per the 12z gfs

See our main January thread for that one. I've been talking about it for a couple of days now.

[tpweather]

Jan 11 is looking interesting for your area per the 12z gfs

Yes we have that one pegged as well. What a great pattern over the next 2 weeks. Plenty of energy floating around and of course cold air

[tron777]

Thank you Phr0z3n (and everyone else too) for posting what I am asking. I appreciate it! A few more hours to go then I will have zero restrictions.

zero restrictions and we are in trouble lol

Isn't it great?

[Phr0z3n]

Jan 11 is looking interesting for your area per the 12z gfs

See our main January thread for that one. I've been talking about it for a couple of days now.

Ah sorry wrong thread for that one.

[tron777]

Jan 11 is looking interesting for your area per the 12z gfs

See our main January thread for that one. I've been talking about it for a couple of days now.

Ah sorry wrong thread for that one.

All good! No problem whatsoever.

[tron777]

12z gfs ensemble mean is just a tad bit north. Wouldn’t amount to much of a change

I start paying less attention to the Ensembles this close in and rely more on the globals. By tomorrow, it'll pretty much be a short term and hi-res thing by then.

[Phr0z3n]

12z gfs ensemble mean is just a tad bit north. Wouldn’t amount to much of a change

I start paying less attention to the Ensembles this close in and rely more on the globals. By tomorrow, it'll pretty much be a short term and hi-res thing by then.

I do the same thing Saturday afternoon on that close to an event I rely on Hi res nam and HRRR. Too many time the global deterministic models miss too much

[tron777]

12z gfs ensemble mean is just a tad bit north. Wouldn’t amount to much of a change

I start paying less attention to the Ensembles this close in and rely more on the globals. By tomorrow, it'll pretty much be a short term and hi-res thing by then.

I do the same thing Saturday afternoon on that close to an event I rely on Hi res nam and HRRR. Too many time the global deterministic models miss too much

Can't wait to see what the HRRR shows tomorrow. Also, I am waiting on the NAM to NAM us too! You know how that goes. There is always that one NAM run that predicts the end of the word that never comes true.