February 2022 Weather Discussion

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22869
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

tpweather wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 7:51 am
tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 7:44 am
tpweather wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 7:38 am A nice light snow falling during the game would be great. Neighbors start the party at 4pm so by 630 when the game starts I should have finished my first beer lol. My problem with the Bengals in big games and this goes back over 40 years is I drink tons of beer when I am nervous and really never stop during the game. Lucky my wife will be there and hand me a water or two over those 6-7 hours.
:lol: :lmao: Might be a good time to whip out the cards during the half time show. I see easy money! :lmao: :lol:
Lol. My guess 2 hours of cards before the game and no doubt during the halftime show.
I used to play poker every Friday with some people for over 20 years a long time ago. I play with the fam every once and a while. I play more Euchre over the winter usually. Love Texas Hold'em, too!
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4350
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

Still have 1-2" of ice ruts the length of drive, hope the rain and warmth today can make a bigger dent
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

My driveway is clean because it faces south. My back patio is still a nice play to ice skate. Hopefully that will be gone before the heavier rains later next week. Moving my moms furniture out next Wednesday and that day looks great in terms of mild weather.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22869
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

tpweather wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 8:04 am My driveway is clean because it faces south. My back patio is still a nice play to ice skate. Hopefully that will be gone before the heavier rains later next week. Moving my moms furniture out next Wednesday and that day looks great in terms of mild weather.
Might make a run at 60 if we get enough sun.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Models still advertising a potential severe weather outbreak down in Dixie on Thursday 2/17.

Day_7_SVR.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

Mike looks somewhat further south than yesterday. Really want to see if the models move north or south today and of course much of that has to do with the strength of the system. Euro and Gfs pretty much in agreement and the CMC is further south but that model has been bad this season.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22869
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

CVG's morning low was 29 at midnight. Been slowly rising ever since with the warm frontal passage. 36 as of 8am.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4350
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

Bee you tea full morning. Blue skies abound here on the east side
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22869
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Becoming mostly cloudy here. Still some sun getting thru though right now. 40 degrees.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22869
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

45 at CVG, temps are skyrocketing today with the warm S flow even with some clouds. Mid 50s perhaps?
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22869
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

12Z GFS has 0.04" QPF for the SB afternoon and evening clipper. Best run I've seen yet actually. With temps in the 20s, maybe 1/2" to 1" in some areas?
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Low was 27 here early and now up to 46.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22869
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

50 as of 12pm at CVG. Low was 29.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
winterstormjoe
EF1 Tornado
Posts: 404
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 9:13 am
Location: Westwood/Cheviot

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by winterstormjoe »

tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:34 pm 50 as of 12pm at CVG. Low was 29.
52 with filtered sun here at 12:45 pm...light rain a few hours away just in time for the Who Dey pub crawl in Cheviot, we'll be in side for the most part but there will be this tailgate/bomb fire party in the parking lot out back.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22869
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

winterstormjoe wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:49 pm
tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:34 pm 50 as of 12pm at CVG. Low was 29.
52 with filtered sun here at 12:45 pm...light rain a few hours away just in time for the Who Dey pub crawl in Cheviot, we'll be in side for the most part but there will be this tailgate/bomb fire party in the parking lot out back.
If the fire is hot enough and if you'd had enough beers, you'll be fine as long as the rain isn't heavy. :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
winterstormjoe
EF1 Tornado
Posts: 404
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 9:13 am
Location: Westwood/Cheviot

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by winterstormjoe »

tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:52 pm
winterstormjoe wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:49 pm
tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:34 pm 50 as of 12pm at CVG. Low was 29.
52 with filtered sun here at 12:45 pm...light rain a few hours away just in time for the Who Dey pub crawl in Cheviot, we'll be in side for the most part but there will be this tailgate/bomb fire party in the parking lot out back.
If the fire is hot enough and if you'd had enough beers, you'll be fine as long as the rain isn't heavy. :lol:
They will have tubs of beer on the sidewalks for everyone to be able to walk on the sidewalks with an open can allowed. It's going to be nuts as there will be a couple retired Bengal players there too. :) Some of the sidewalks still have piled ice on them. Oh well!
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

winterstormjoe wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:57 pm
tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:52 pm
winterstormjoe wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:49 pm
tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:34 pm 50 as of 12pm at CVG. Low was 29.
52 with filtered sun here at 12:45 pm...light rain a few hours away just in time for the Who Dey pub crawl in Cheviot, we'll be in side for the most part but there will be this tailgate/bomb fire party in the parking lot out back.
If the fire is hot enough and if you'd had enough beers, you'll be fine as long as the rain isn't heavy. :lol:
They will have tubs of beer on the sidewalks for everyone to be able to walk on the sidewalks with an open can allowed. It's going to be nuts as there will be a couple retired Bengal players there too. :) Some of the sidewalks still have piled ice on them. Oh well!
Joe sounds like a great time. Very jealous. Enjoy my friend
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6421
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 6:46 am A week after Sleet Fest 2022, and I am finally going to get garbage pick up today! YAY! :) :lol:

EDIT: So I have 2 weeks worth of trash waiting for them. ;)
Great to hear, bro! :thumbupleft:

Currently 43 here in G'ville.
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22869
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

tpweather wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 1:40 pm
winterstormjoe wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:57 pm
tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:52 pm
winterstormjoe wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:49 pm
tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:34 pm 50 as of 12pm at CVG. Low was 29.
52 with filtered sun here at 12:45 pm...light rain a few hours away just in time for the Who Dey pub crawl in Cheviot, we'll be in side for the most part but there will be this tailgate/bomb fire party in the parking lot out back.
If the fire is hot enough and if you'd had enough beers, you'll be fine as long as the rain isn't heavy. :lol:
They will have tubs of beer on the sidewalks for everyone to be able to walk on the sidewalks with an open can allowed. It's going to be nuts as there will be a couple retired Bengal players there too. :) Some of the sidewalks still have piled ice on them. Oh well!
Joe sounds like a great time. Very jealous. Enjoy my friend
Yeah! That does sound like an awesome time! :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22869
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

MVWxObserver wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:21 pm
tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 6:46 am A week after Sleet Fest 2022, and I am finally going to get garbage pick up today! YAY! :) :lol:

EDIT: So I have 2 weeks worth of trash waiting for them. ;)
Great to hear, bro! :thumbupleft:

Currently 43 here in G'ville.
It's nice not to have to stare at garbage sitting in front of my house for the last week. :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22869
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Nothing much on the Euro today until we get into next week. An inch and some change for rain on Thursday at CVG.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6421
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

Currently ILN has just a 20% chance for snow showers SB Sunday late afternoon and evening. Not expecting much up my way with that low a percentage. ;)
Eric

Greenville, OH
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:33 pm Nothing much on the Euro today until we get into next week. An inch and some change for rain on Thursday at CVG.
Les,interesting as the Euro sort of had the clipper first and again clippers in the near term not the Euro's cup of tea. The bigger storm next week is weaker this time around with the Euro so its further south. If we can see this trend continue then a little snow if possible at the end of the storm followed by more cold air. Like every other run it shows low pressures in western and central Canada or stronger high pressure. Models really having problem trying to know which way to go which is more towards the forecasts we threw out which you get a few mild days followed by cold and no long term warmth if those highs continue to form in Canada.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22869
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

tpweather wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:45 pm
tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:33 pm Nothing much on the Euro today until we get into next week. An inch and some change for rain on Thursday at CVG.
Les,interesting as the Euro sort of had the clipper first and again clippers in the near term not the Euro's cup of tea. The bigger storm next week is weaker this time around with the Euro so its further south. If we can see this trend continue then a little snow if possible at the end of the storm followed by more cold air. Like every other run it shows low pressures in western and central Canada or stronger high pressure. Models really having problem trying to know which way to go which is more towards the forecasts we threw out which you get a few mild days followed by cold and no long term warmth if those highs continue to form in Canada.
The Euro has not been very good this winter, but at the same time, a weaker / SE trend is always possible with that storm next week. If so, SPC has a lot of adjustments to make. :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

The problem with the little clippers this weekend is the air is so cold and dry on the east side where you need to be normally plus with the cold front just moving through later today not enough warm air return in the central plains. So yes some flurries looks about the best we can do here locally. Best place is in eastern Kentucky and W.Virginia as a nice up slope could give some folks a few inches of snow later Saturday
Post Reply