Absolute Vorticity

Most storms of this size for us has a stronger southeast ridge and yes normally the push of warmer air is further north than models show but this go around that may not be the case but again living here you must be cautious when making a forecast

This is just a pure guess but by Tuesday morning at 8am I believe we will have 61 pages on this thread. Who wants the over/under on that call

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:01 am This is just a pure guess but by Tuesday morning at 8am I believe we will have 61 pages on this thread. Who wants the over/under on that call

lol, not biting Tim . You’ll have to much say in the outcome

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:05 am

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:01 am This is just a pure guess but by Tuesday morning at 8am I believe we will have 61 pages on this thread. Who wants the over/under on that call

lol, not biting Tim . You’ll have to much say in the outcome

Lol and with Les around the over is the way to go

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:01 am This is just a pure guess but by Tuesday morning at 8am I believe we will have 61 pages on this thread. Who wants the over/under on that call

It went from 10 to 15 pages in the last 5 hours. It will go WAY over at this pace.

So many layers/zones stacked closely together as we have mentioned many times already . A mostly freezing rain zone, a sleet freezing rain zone, a sleet zone, a snow/sleet zone, and an all snow zone . Did I miss any? I’m zoned out

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:19 am So many layers/zones stacked closely together as we have mentioned many times already . A mostly freezing rain zone, a sleet freezing rain zone, a sleet zone, a snow/sleet zone, and an all snow zone . Did I miss any? I’m zoned out

Lol so true and we are still 48 hours away from the start of the storm

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:19 am So many layers/zones stacked closely together as we have mentioned many times already . A mostly freezing rain zone, a sleet freezing rain zone, a sleet zone, a snow/sleet zone, and an all snow zone . Did I miss any? I’m zoned out

What about the rainy 32 zone???

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:19 am So many layers/zones stacked closely together as we have mentioned many times already . A mostly freezing rain zone, a sleet freezing rain zone, a sleet zone, a snow/sleet zone, and an all snow zone . Did I miss any? I’m zoned out

Just one and that is all rain lol

I forgot about the dry slot zone which I am not a fan of

Here is NWS call

mikeyp wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:21 amHere is NWS call

Love when you post and hope all is going well. That is a reasonable call this far out imo

Based on all the current info looks good to me

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:23 am

mikeyp wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:21 amHere is NWS call

Love when you post and hope all is going well. That is a reasonable call this far out imo

Thanks! All has been well! Wife and I just had our first child and he is 2 weeks old! Been a busy year for us lol! Ready for this storm!

12Z ICON total, just posting for trends etc not actual forecast.

mikeyp wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:26 am

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:23 am

mikeyp wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:21 amHere is NWS call

Love when you post and hope all is going well. That is a reasonable call this far out imo

Thanks! All has been well! Wife and I just had our first child and he is 2 weeks old! Been a busy year for us lol! Ready for this storm!

Wonderful news and hope everyone is healthy. My oldest grandson is 19 and the youngest twins are 13 with 2 in between. Time just fly's by but I have been blessed with 2 great kids and 5 great grand kids and a wife that has not changed the locks on the door.

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:33 am

mikeyp wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:26 am

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:23 am

mikeyp wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:21 amHere is NWS call

Love when you post and hope all is going well. That is a reasonable call this far out imo

Thanks! All has been well! Wife and I just had our first child and he is 2 weeks old! Been a busy year for us lol! Ready for this storm!

Wonderful news and hope everyone is healthy. My oldest grandson is 19 and the youngest twins are 13 with 2 in between. Time just fly's by but I have been blessed with 2 great kids and 5 great grand kids and a wife that has not changed the locks on the door.

Everyone is happy and healthy! Time is already flying by!! Hope this storm makes for an exciting week 3 for him and I hahaha!

12z GFS is way high on the snow totals again. Seems further South, but still gives us .27” of Ice.

The 12z GFS snowfall is WAY overdone. It isn’t accounting for the ice. Still, glad it is further South.

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:08 am

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:05 am

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:01 am This is just a pure guess but by Tuesday morning at 8am I believe we will have 61 pages on this thread. Who wants the over/under on that call

lol, not biting Tim . You’ll have to much say in the outcome

Lol and with Les around the over is the way to go

Thank you, thank you!

fyrfyter wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:57 am The 12z GFS snowfall is WAY overdone. It isn’t accounting for the ice. Still, glad it is further South.

IMG_0908.jpeg

I'll take that for sure !

mikeyp wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:26 am

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:23 am

mikeyp wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:21 amHere is NWS call

Love when you post and hope all is going well. That is a reasonable call this far out imo

Thanks! All has been well! Wife and I just had our first child and he is 2 weeks old! Been a busy year for us lol! Ready for this storm!

Congrats to you and Ashley! How about a nice snow Dad? A nice start to 2025 for sure.

The 12Z GFS to me still looks like a northern outlier.

As close as the Low gets to us:

Before I forget.... I'd like to point out that we have quite a few new members that have joined us for this storm. I'd like to tell each one of you WELCOME TO AV and we are certainly glad that you are here. Please ask questions and engage in the discussion. We are here to not only have fun but to educate as well. Tell your friends and family about our little forum too. The more the merrier!