January 5-6th, 2025 The Double Digit Storm

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tpweather
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tpweather »

Most storms of this size for us has a stronger southeast ridge and yes normally the push of warmer air is further north than models show but this go around that may not be the case but again living here you must be cautious when making a forecast
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tpweather »

This is just a pure guess but by Tuesday morning at 8am I believe we will have 61 pages on this thread. Who wants the over/under on that call
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by Bgoney »

tpweather wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:01 am This is just a pure guess but by Tuesday morning at 8am I believe we will have 61 pages on this thread. Who wants the over/under on that call
lol, not biting Tim . You’ll have to much say in the outcome
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tpweather »

Bgoney wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:05 am
tpweather wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:01 am This is just a pure guess but by Tuesday morning at 8am I believe we will have 61 pages on this thread. Who wants the over/under on that call
lol, not biting Tim . You’ll have to much say in the outcome
Lol and with Les around the over is the way to go
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by mlapensee »

tpweather wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:01 am This is just a pure guess but by Tuesday morning at 8am I believe we will have 61 pages on this thread. Who wants the over/under on that call
It went from 10 to 15 pages in the last 5 hours. It will go WAY over at this pace. :lol:
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by Bgoney »

So many layers/zones stacked closely together as we have mentioned many times already . A mostly freezing rain zone, a sleet freezing rain zone, a sleet zone, a snow/sleet zone, and an all snow zone . Did I miss any? I’m zoned out
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tpweather »

Bgoney wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:19 am So many layers/zones stacked closely together as we have mentioned many times already . A mostly freezing rain zone, a sleet freezing rain zone, a sleet zone, a snow/sleet zone, and an all snow zone . Did I miss any? I’m zoned out
Lol so true and we are still 48 hours away from the start of the storm
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by fyrfyter »

Bgoney wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:19 am So many layers/zones stacked closely together as we have mentioned many times already . A mostly freezing rain zone, a sleet freezing rain zone, a sleet zone, a snow/sleet zone, and an all snow zone . Did I miss any? I’m zoned out
What about the rainy 32 zone??? :lol:
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tpweather »

Bgoney wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:19 am So many layers/zones stacked closely together as we have mentioned many times already . A mostly freezing rain zone, a sleet freezing rain zone, a sleet zone, a snow/sleet zone, and an all snow zone . Did I miss any? I’m zoned out
Just one and that is all rain lol
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tpweather »

I forgot about the dry slot zone which I am not a fan of
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by mikeyp »

Here is NWS call
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tpweather »

mikeyp wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:21 amHere is NWS call
Love when you post and hope all is going well. That is a reasonable call this far out imo
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by Bgoney »

Based on all the current info looks good to me
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by mikeyp »

tpweather wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:23 am
mikeyp wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:21 amHere is NWS call
Love when you post and hope all is going well. That is a reasonable call this far out imo
Thanks! All has been well! Wife and I just had our first child and he is 2 weeks old! Been a busy year for us lol! Ready for this storm!
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by Trentonwx06 »

12Z ICON total, just posting for trends etc not actual forecast.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tpweather »

mikeyp wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:26 am
tpweather wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:23 am
mikeyp wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:21 amHere is NWS call
Love when you post and hope all is going well. That is a reasonable call this far out imo
Thanks! All has been well! Wife and I just had our first child and he is 2 weeks old! Been a busy year for us lol! Ready for this storm!
Wonderful news and hope everyone is healthy. My oldest grandson is 19 and the youngest twins are 13 with 2 in between. Time just fly's by but I have been blessed with 2 great kids and 5 great grand kids and a wife that has not changed the locks on the door.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by mikeyp »

tpweather wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:33 am
mikeyp wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:26 am
tpweather wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:23 am
mikeyp wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:21 amHere is NWS call
Love when you post and hope all is going well. That is a reasonable call this far out imo
Thanks! All has been well! Wife and I just had our first child and he is 2 weeks old! Been a busy year for us lol! Ready for this storm!
Wonderful news and hope everyone is healthy. My oldest grandson is 19 and the youngest twins are 13 with 2 in between. Time just fly's by but I have been blessed with 2 great kids and 5 great grand kids and a wife that has not changed the locks on the door.
Everyone is happy and healthy! Time is already flying by!! Hope this storm makes for an exciting week 3 for him and I hahaha!
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by fyrfyter »

12z GFS is way high on the snow totals again. Seems further South, but still gives us .27” of Ice.
IMG_0907.jpeg
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by fyrfyter »

The 12z GFS snowfall is WAY overdone. It isn’t accounting for the ice. Still, glad it is further South.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tron777 »

tpweather wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:08 am
Bgoney wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:05 am
tpweather wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:01 am This is just a pure guess but by Tuesday morning at 8am I believe we will have 61 pages on this thread. Who wants the over/under on that call
lol, not biting Tim . You’ll have to much say in the outcome
Lol and with Les around the over is the way to go
Thank you, thank you! :lol:
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by MattyD »

fyrfyter wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:57 am The 12z GFS snowfall is WAY overdone. It isn’t accounting for the ice. Still, glad it is further South.

IMG_0908.jpeg
I'll take that for sure :)!
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tron777 »

mikeyp wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:26 am
tpweather wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:23 am
mikeyp wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:21 amHere is NWS call
Love when you post and hope all is going well. That is a reasonable call this far out imo
Thanks! All has been well! Wife and I just had our first child and he is 2 weeks old! Been a busy year for us lol! Ready for this storm!
Congrats to you and Ashley! How about a nice snow Dad? :) :lol: A nice start to 2025 for sure.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tron777 »

The 12Z GFS to me still looks like a northern outlier.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by fyrfyter »

As close as the Low gets to us:
IMG_0909.jpeg
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

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Before I forget.... I'd like to point out that we have quite a few new members that have joined us for this storm. I'd like to tell each one of you WELCOME TO AV and we are certainly glad that you are here. Please ask questions and engage in the discussion. We are here to not only have fun but to educate as well. Tell your friends and family about our little forum too. The more the merrier! :)
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