Absolute Vorticity

Somehow managed 0.03” this evening! LOL

We got whacked just after 9pm. Another 1.16" at CVG and about the same here, an inch! Over 6" of rain now down here for the month of August thru the first 9 days!

CVG Aug total: 6.25"
Normal to date: 1.09"
Departure: + 5.16 "
Last year at this time: 0.19"

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 7:13 am We got whacked just after 9pm. Another 1.16" at CVG and about the same here, an inch! Over 6" of rain now down here for the month of August thru the first 9 days!

CVG Aug total: 6.25"
Normal to date: 1.09"
Departure: + 5.16 "
Last year at this time: 0.19"

Good Morning Les and hopefully some of that fell in Edgewood. Last time you stole most of the rainfall. Btw so muggy down here in SC and already did the morning walk before the sun rose.

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 7:13 am We got whacked just after 9pm. Another 1.16" at CVG and about the same here, an inch! Over 6" of rain now down here for the month of August thru the first 9 days!

CVG Aug total: 6.25"
Normal to date: 1.09"
Departure: + 5.16 "
Last year at this time: 0.19"

Impressive, but isolated. Better rains of course have been along the River and south, but I'd say the majority of ILNs FA is close to normal or below avg for the month. Here in East Hamilton they could still use more rain , as parts have continued to miss out on soaking rains

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 7:42 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 7:13 am We got whacked just after 9pm. Another 1.16" at CVG and about the same here, an inch! Over 6" of rain now down here for the month of August thru the first 9 days!

CVG Aug total: 6.25"
Normal to date: 1.09"
Departure: + 5.16 "
Last year at this time: 0.19"

Impressive, but isolated. Better rains of course have been along the River and south, but I'd say the majority of ILNs FA is close to normal or below avg for the month. Here in East Hamilton they could still use more rain , as parts have continued to miss out on soaking rains

Yes and much like summer time rains. Most summers are like this though maybe not quite this high in certain areas. Like I mentioned before when traveling down to SC that south of Lexington everything looks like a rain forest with so much growth and everything a bright green. Bad part of course was all the flooding in eastern Kentucky.

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 7:21 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 7:13 am We got whacked just after 9pm. Another 1.16" at CVG and about the same here, an inch! Over 6" of rain now down here for the month of August thru the first 9 days!

CVG Aug total: 6.25"
Normal to date: 1.09"
Departure: + 5.16 "
Last year at this time: 0.19"

Good Morning Les and hopefully some of that fell in Edgewood. Last time you stole most of the rainfall. Btw so muggy down here in SC and already did the morning walk before the sun rose.

LOL! Sorry about that. The storms were coming in from the SW last night. I don't know what it is but Boone Co has been on a roll lately. Hope I don't use all my luck up now and lose in the snow dept come winter.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 7:42 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 7:13 am We got whacked just after 9pm. Another 1.16" at CVG and about the same here, an inch! Over 6" of rain now down here for the month of August thru the first 9 days!

CVG Aug total: 6.25"
Normal to date: 1.09"
Departure: + 5.16 "
Last year at this time: 0.19"

Impressive, but isolated. Better rains of course have been along the River and south, but I'd say the majority of ILNs FA is close to normal or below avg for the month. Here in East Hamilton they could still use more rain , as parts have continued to miss out on soaking rains

For sure. It is like night and day if you travel N to S across the region. I-70 folks on north really need it. 50 / 50 further south and then down here, we're good to go and could use a drying out period.

I'm going with the river on south for today as having the best chance for additional rainfall. Then we get that second front Thurs night which really brings in that delightful air! Dews will go from the 70s today, L60s tomorrow then the 40s by Friday!!! Saturday also gorgeous, make outdoor plans now! Sunday is a day where we may see rain, we may not. Depends on the speed and track of that next low. Thinking Monday into Tues right now for the best chances with that system, but all it will do is reinforce the trough over the Eastern US which none of us will mind one bit.

Long Term still looking troughy for us with the heat out West. +PNA pattern. If the tropics can get going, it would leave the East Coast in a bad spot for issues but so far, so good there. We will watch it naturally.

Checking the mesoscale analysis page on SPC's site this morning and per the visible sat, I don't see much sun coming our way for a while. Lot of low level moisture around. Dews are still juicy along and S of the river, 1.9" PWATS. Also seeing that instability gradient forming again too like yesterday. That front is close to the River so we are still fair game for action in our S counties.

Watch for patchy dense fog too. 8am obs had CVG only at 1/4 mile vis. Fog has lifted here, but as the sun was coming up this morning, it was foggy here for about an hour or so.

Seeing some sun and patchy blue skies here in Indian Hill atm

I had a peak of sun for about 5 mins now back to overcast. 500 J/KG of CAPE for the I-71 corridor and 1000 for our SE Crew.

79 here on east side of Hamilton County. Convective temp.? Edit: I found it , 83

Seeing another peak of sun here.

Update from the boys:

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Morning update...
No major changes made to the near term period forecast.
Widespread cloud cover will initially limit surface heating
along and south of the broad surface boundary. Late evening
convection disrupted the surface flow but it appears the front
is near the Ohio River area. It may nudge northward slightly
this morning before additional convection forms this afternoon.
Morning upper air sounding still shows considerable moisture
(1.92 PWAT) and weak effective shear (14 knots). Expect more
heavy rain showers/thunderstorms this afternoon so likely no
changes to the flood watch until convection clears this evening.

Thanks for all the Birthday wishes everyone !

Radar at this hour showing scattered convection over our SE counties as well as Central KY.

Next chance of rain is Thurs night with that secondary front coming thru. Coverage and amounts are low so not a big deal really. Then the 12Z GFS nails us on Sunday with that next low. If correct, could be a very cool day on Sunday with the clouds and showers around along with cool NW Flow aloft. U60s to L70s likely for highs should this solution pan out. A little taste of September? Bring it! This does agree with the 0Z or overnight Euro model run too.

One loan shower in Kenton Co between Edgewood and Independence. Otherwise, most everything else is in our E and SE counties. Scattered at best. Central KY big winners today.

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 1:28 pm One loan shower in Kenton Co between Edgewood and Independence. Otherwise, most everything else is in our E and SE counties. Scattered at best. Central KY big winners today.

Maybe just maybe that hit my house since I live in the southern part of Edgewood. Les could you go over to my house and see if its raining lol

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 2:15 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 10, 2022 1:28 pm One loan shower in Kenton Co between Edgewood and Independence. Otherwise, most everything else is in our E and SE counties. Scattered at best. Central KY big winners today.

Maybe just maybe that hit my house since I live in the southern part of Edgewood. Les could you go over to my house and see if its raining lol

We'll put down a trace for you because literally, if you got anything at all that literally would have been it.

12Z Euro coming in with a wet Sunday morning.

I'm going to go ahead and issue my temp and precip forecast for the next 5-7 days for CVG Land.

Thurs: 83 / 67 - Dry during the day. 20% of a shower overnight with the next frontal passage.
Fri - 78 / 60 - Dry
Sat - 79 / 57 - Dry
Sun - 72 / 61 - Light rain esp first half of the day.
Mon - 78 / 58 - Dry
Tue - 80 / 64 - Dry